Coronavirus

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  • Sat, Mar 7, 2020 9:06 AM
    posted by queencitybuckeye

    At the ballpark mortality rate thrown around of 3%, this would mean 500,000 people getting it, or about one person in 15. Seems pretty unlikely.

    3% seems awfully high too. HHS came out the other day and said it was most likely between .1 and 1%, due to the theory that there are way more cases than we know about, so the denominator is higher than they thought. 

    Sat, Mar 7, 2020 2:16 PM
    posted by iclfan2

    3% seems awfully high too. HHS came out the other day and said it was most likely between .1 and 1%, due to the theory that there are way more cases than we know about, so the denominator is higher than they thought. 

    $2.4T hit to global GDP seems awfully low with that kind of outbreak.

    Seems like 3% might be @ the mortality rate for known cases, people who are diagnosed and/or seeking treatment.  Which with unknown infection 3X that or more puts mortality under 1%.   I'd be interested to know how many people are freaking out about CV19 but don't bother to get a flu shot.

    But I have no idea if 15M is a realistic number of infected or not.  I'd guess once you get past a certain threshold, you've lost containment and basically everyone ends up being exposed at some point.

    Sat, Mar 7, 2020 4:39 PM

    sweatergod, if this stupid thing causes hiccups in our trip to Costa Rica, I'll be furious.  If we are not forbidden to travel, we will travel.  I'm not throwing that money away.

    Sun, Mar 8, 2020 9:39 AM

    I am thinking about just finding someone with it and getting it over with while I am pretty healthy.......get your antibodies to it and then wait till the zombies come

    Sun, Mar 8, 2020 7:23 PM
    posted by Spock

    I am thinking about just finding someone with it and getting it over with while I am pretty healthy.......get your antibodies to it and then wait till the zombies come

    Better yet, wait and see if you get it (you overwhelmingly likely won’t) and just be sick for a few days and then be better because you’re healthy and that’s how this seems to be playing out. 

    Sun, Mar 8, 2020 8:43 PM

    S&P 500 futures are down over 4%, so tomorrow is going to be a rough day for the markets.

    I don't know when, or if, I'll pull the trigger.  The outbreak is getting worse instead of better...lot of uncertainty to throw money at.  But if you look at Friday, it rallied later in the day so it's starting to look pretty oversold.  Even if the timing isn't terrible, it's never fun to plunk down a bunch of your hard-earned money and ride out an immediate 10% decline.

    Mon, Mar 9, 2020 11:23 AM
    posted by queencitybuckeye

    At the ballpark mortality rate thrown around of 3%, this would mean 500,000 people getting it, or about one person in 15. Seems pretty unlikely.

     

    I think you meant 500,000,000.

    Mon, Mar 9, 2020 11:27 AM
    posted by QuakerOats

     

    I think you meant 500,000,000.

    I think I did too.

    Mon, Mar 9, 2020 12:03 PM

    All I know is I am scheduling a cruise in July. Will be booking in the next week or so.

     

    Hopefully this drops the prices some.

    Mon, Mar 9, 2020 12:08 PM
    posted by jmog

    All I know is I am scheduling a cruise in July. Will be booking in the next week or so.

     

    Hopefully this drops the prices some.

    hopefully you're allowed to dock and not stranded for 30 days on rationed food. 

    Mon, Mar 9, 2020 12:09 PM

    Not a chance in hell I'd be going on a cruise anytime in the near future.

    Mon, Mar 9, 2020 12:23 PM
    posted by jmog

    All I know is I am scheduling a cruise in July. Will be booking in the next week or so.

     

    Hopefully this drops the prices some.

    Good luck.

    I'm not a fan of cruises anyway, but I would be a hard pass for any cruises in the next year plus...

    My parents are taking a cruise in October..It is still on for now... 

    Mon, Mar 9, 2020 12:28 PM

    I have a trip planned to Spain MDW, large music events in Ibiza.

    The main planner of the group is actually worried now. Spain with +376 cases in a day. Fuck.

    Mon, Mar 9, 2020 3:29 PM

    Ohio with it's first 3 cases in Cuyahoga County.

    Mon, Mar 9, 2020 3:38 PM
    posted by kizer permanente

    Ohio with it's first 3 cases in Cuyahoga County.

    A couple that went on a cruise....

     

    Mon, Mar 9, 2020 3:40 PM

    My work just came down with the hammer, pretty much cancelling all travel for at least the rest of the month. They have pretty much told us, cancel your events and meetings with clients in person. If possible, do everything via call or video. 

    Mon, Mar 9, 2020 3:48 PM
    posted by ptown_trojans_1

    A couple that went on a cruise....

     

    the other went to the AIPIC conference in DC

    Mon, Mar 9, 2020 3:56 PM
    posted by ptown_trojans_1

    My work just came down with the hammer, pretty much cancelling all travel for at least the rest of the month. They have pretty much told us, cancel your events and meetings with clients in person. If possible, do everything via call or video. 

    There could be some serious, unexpected long-term consequences of this.  This will push a lot more companies to temporarily try teleconferencing and working from home, and a lot may see benefits and choose to stick with it.

    I wonder if some of those meal delivery services will see a surge in sales - arrives frozen, no one else touches your food preparing it, and you avoid going out to the store.

    Mon, Mar 9, 2020 4:00 PM

    Not looking forward to working sporting events with no fans...It’s going to be super weird and feel like it means way less.

    Mon, Mar 9, 2020 4:10 PM

    WFH is an option at my company. Just need to get it signed off by your boss. 2 members of my team opted in.

    I probably won't unless there is a signifant spike in NYC. I can't get a lot done at home. I communicate with several other teams daily. It would just make things a PITA. I also don't have desk at home or external monitors...both a must. Should probably look into that soon.

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