LOCKED: Coronavirus

33,369 posts 119 reps Joined Nov 2009
Fri, Feb 28, 2020 5:35 PM

As a US citizen aged 34 with good healthcare, I’m not personally worried about impending death. But I do travel weekly and have a 10 month old. Terrified of contracting and passing it to him.

friendfromlowry Senior Member
7,778 posts 71 reps Joined Nov 2009
Fri, Feb 28, 2020 6:35 PM

Holy fuck. A Seattle high school canceled classes today because a family member of someone on the staff “developed symptoms.” 

gut Senior Member
18,369 posts 92 reps Joined Nov 2009
Sat, Feb 29, 2020 10:42 AM

Italy looks like the mortality rate could be 3-4%, but not enough numbers to come up with a reliable estimate.  I've heard others say to expect @ 0.7% in developed countries.  Mostly the old/young/compromised, but still not a number I'd willing roll the dice on.

Bill Gates saying this could be the 100-yr contagion we've been worrying about.  Yep, not if, but when.  What makes this such a big deal is that people are contagious before they have symptoms.  You can imagine a doomsday scenario where basically everyone is quarantined for up to 4 weeks.  The most alarming thing I've heard is that this will probably hang around and survive until next winter, which with it being global would have the potential for a much more major global pandemic.

Market rallied about 3% since I posted that yesterday.  But not sure I want to jump on those train tracks trying to pick-up pennies.  3 potentially new cases in a few states with unknown origins

33,369 posts 119 reps Joined Nov 2009
Sat, Feb 29, 2020 1:38 PM

First US death. Washington state.

justincredible Honorable Admin
37,969 posts 198 reps Joined Nov 2009
Sat, Feb 29, 2020 1:40 PM
posted by Laley23

First US death. Washington state.


like_that 1st Team All-PWN
29,228 posts 312 reps Joined Apr 2010
Sat, Feb 29, 2020 1:45 PM

I'm just at the acceptance stage that it's just going to spread and run its course.  It was delusional to think it was only going to stay in China.  The outbreak occurred during Chinese new year, which is one of their biggest travel seasons.  

So far in Italy, which is 100000x more dramatic about it than the US, most people have recovered within 48 hours.   My wife and I were going to Milan at the end of March, but that will be postponed. 

MontyBrunswick Senior Member
1,065 posts 15 reps Joined Mar 2015
Sun, Mar 1, 2020 5:59 PM

been talking with administrators at my kids school, considering holding my son out for a few weeks. can never be too careful!

gut Senior Member
18,369 posts 92 reps Joined Nov 2009
Sun, Mar 1, 2020 8:02 PM
posted by like_that

I'm just at the acceptance stage that it's just going to spread and run its course. 

I'm not sure.  China appears to have gotten it under control, so if that is the case no reason to expect more than a few dozen / few hundred cases in most countries.  SARS, and every other "outbreak", were kept very much under control.  Of course, none of those were as sneakily contagious.

The question will be does the US take the extreme steps to restrict travel to other countries where more than a few cases are popping up?  That would be a major blow to GDP.

And the other thing that would really devastate the markets is if there are new outbreaks outside Wuhan in China.  If that happens, then there's probably a big problem.

gut Senior Member
18,369 posts 92 reps Joined Nov 2009
Mon, Mar 2, 2020 2:55 PM

LOL markets up 2.5% because they're more excited about potential stimulus than concerned about 4 deaths in Washington.

thavoice Senior Member
15,437 posts 41 reps Joined Nov 2009
Wed, Mar 4, 2020 1:32 PM

Cancelled pretty much most of The Arnold Classic here in Columbus because of this.

 

Lots of folks will be losing out on $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$

Automatik Senior Member
15,737 posts 94 reps Joined Nov 2009
Wed, Mar 4, 2020 1:39 PM

They floated the idea of cancelling SXSW. It's still happening.

Same with Ultra fest in Miami, mayor said nahh.

Also, LA declares a state of emergency after 6 new cases popped up in the last 48 hours.

With the news of limited early testing, I assume this will now be a daily thing.

justincredible Honorable Admin
37,969 posts 198 reps Joined Nov 2009
Fri, Mar 6, 2020 9:48 AM

Our company just cancelled all non-critical business travel. Anyone with personal travel to any of the high risk countries must self-quarantine for 14 days before returning to work.

like_that 1st Team All-PWN
29,228 posts 312 reps Joined Apr 2010
Fri, Mar 6, 2020 10:47 AM

The Navy is forcing ships to stay out at sea between port visits, if they stop at a European or Asian port. 

jmog Senior Member
7,737 posts 38 reps Joined Nov 2009
Fri, Mar 6, 2020 11:10 AM
posted by justincredible

Our company just cancelled all non-critical business travel. Anyone with personal travel to any of the high risk countries must self-quarantine for 14 days before returning to work.

Our company cancelled all trips to conferences, "large party training", etc. In other words anywhere that will have big groups.

 

They are still ok with us traveling to any/all customers.

iclfan2 Reppin' the 330/216/843
9,465 posts 81 reps Joined Nov 2009
Fri, Mar 6, 2020 11:36 AM

Why are places (like Costco) selling out of toilet paper? WTF are people planning on doing with it? I have a conference in May that I am supposed to attend, I haven't booked yet, I wonder if I should hold off booking or if the summer will help kill this thing.

gut Senior Member
18,369 posts 92 reps Joined Nov 2009
Fri, Mar 6, 2020 11:41 AM
posted by iclfan2

Why are places (like Costco) selling out of toilet paper?

Have you done the math on how much toilet paper a family of 4 needs to self-quarantine for a month?

I can't tell you how many doomsday bunkers they fail because they only had like one week's worth of shit tickets.

iclfan2 Reppin' the 330/216/843
9,465 posts 81 reps Joined Nov 2009
Fri, Mar 6, 2020 9:44 PM
posted by Automatik

They floated the idea of cancelling SXSW. It's still happening.

Cancelled 

BR1986FB Senior Member
27,923 posts 113 reps Joined Feb 2010
Fri, Mar 6, 2020 10:28 PM

Australian researchers are predicting a "best case scenario" of a $2.4 trillion loss in global GDP and 15 MILLION deaths? Dafuk?

gut Senior Member
18,369 posts 92 reps Joined Nov 2009
Sat, Mar 7, 2020 2:23 AM
posted by BR1986FB

....and 15 MILLION deaths? Dafuk?

Typo?  Or same people that blamed arson on climate change?!?

queencitybuckeye Senior Member
8,068 posts 111 reps Joined Nov 2009
Sat, Mar 7, 2020 7:12 AM
posted by BR1986FB

Australian researchers are predicting a "best case scenario" of a $2.4 trillion loss in global GDP and 15 MILLION deaths? Dafuk?

At the ballpark mortality rate thrown around of 3%, this would mean 500,000 people getting it, or about one person in 15. Seems pretty unlikely.

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