posted by ptown_trojans_1
Ds take the House, winning an additional 30 seats. Rs hold on to the Senate as all the races are a wash. Ds hold on to all seats, except North Dakota, but take Arizona. Rs still hold 51-49. I think Ds clean up in Governor's races too.
Getting back to predictions and results...
I was pretty close. Ds are at a gain of 30 seats with several votes still to count out in CA. I was off on the Senate races, but the Ds did clean up the Gov races.
Overall as well, the polls and the general narrative going into the night turned out to be right. The Ds would take the House and the Rs would most likely control the Senate. The wave happened, it was just more singles and doubles then home runs as the big names in Tx, GA, and FL lost.
Polling also was fairly accurate as the only big misses were I believe in TN and FL. Everything else occurred within the margin of error.
In comparison to previous waves, Dave Wassermann at the Cook Political report tweeted:
"In 2006/2010, the party "riding the wave" won an average of 57% of Toss Ups, 19% of opposite Leans, & 9% of opposite Likely races per
@CookPolitical ratings. In 2018, Dems won/are leading in 57% of Toss Ups, 7% of Lean R races & 3% of Likely races. In the House, this was a wave."