posted by CenterBHSFanHe may not be far off, though. There's a lot of single issue women voters out there.
Perhaps but I'm highly skeptical that Ohio, where Trump's projected by 12% and Florida where it's about 15%, will be "toss ups." What's baffling is Iowa where the claim is that she's up 3% in the polls, Trump won by 8% in 2020 and nobody likes her in Iowa. 11% swing in Iowa makes no sense.
posted by BR1986FBPerhaps but I'm highly skeptical that Ohio, where Trump's projected by 12% and Florida where it's about 15%, will be "toss ups." What's baffling is Iowa where the claim is that she's up 3% in the polls, Trump won by 8% in 2020 and nobody likes her in Iowa. 11% swing in Iowa makes no sense.
His tariffs are horrible for farmers. The women in Iowa have voted pretty drastically in the past to show they hate 6 week abortion ban.
If Florida is 15%, why did Trump send all that money the last week down there? Why did he have Rubio, DeSantis, et al go on shows and support and campaign for him. Why did the Dems pour a bunch of time and energy into it towards the end. I do not give 2 fucks what any single poll says. I look at what the actions of those with stake in the game are showing me. And the last few weeks have shown me that Dems think they can flip it, and GOP doesn't think its a lock.
Over/Under on how many hours after all polls close before we have a winner: 42
posted by QuakerOatsOver/Under on how many hours after all polls close before we have a winner: 42
Will be some recounts….I’ll go with Nov 19th
This upcoming Monday.
posted by CenterBHSFanI think I've finally figured out the pathway for Kamala to win. I just don't think there are enough farmers in central Pennsylvania to overcome the big city turnout.
Barring some major event happening, this is probably my last prediction.
Bumping
Ha, Florida wasn’t even close. I guess the polls were actually right!
posted by Laley23Ha, Florida wasn’t even close. I guess the polls were actually right!
I’m not sure what you read or saw for Florida. Everything I saw said there was extremely low ad spend there bc it was a known loss for the Dems. There was a lot of money spent on the weed and abortion items, which both narrowly lost.
Iowa wasn’t close either. So much for that Selzer poll that got the Dems all riled up that they could win there.
posted by Laley23Ha, Florida wasn’t even close. I guess the polls were actually right!
Except that weird one in Iowa lol
Laley you usually are pretty spot on with your thoughts…I almost felt like you were reverse jinxing like I might do on occasion 😁
posted by justincredibleDon't @ me.
posted by Ironman92Laley you usually are pretty spot on with your thoughts…I almost felt like you were reverse jinxing like I might do on occasion 😁
That's why I didn't make a prediction that I expected Trump to boat race her. Every time I do something like that it comes up miserable.
posted by Ironman92Laley you usually are pretty spot on with your thoughts…I almost felt like you were reverse jinxing like I might do on occasion 😁
Nah. Just didn’t read the country. Which is not a surprise. Trump is an insane candidate to get a grasp on. You don’t meet a single person who actually likes the guy, but over half the country keeps voting for him!
I went more on historical precedent of the 3rd time/party in power/former president/etc the polls OVER compensate after UNDER hr first few times. That obviously didn’t happen, so my one track analysis was way off haha. Oh well.
posted by Laley23Nah. Just didn’t read the country. Which is not a surprise. Trump is an insane candidate to get a grasp on. You don’t meet a single person who actually likes the guy, but over half the country keeps voting for him!
I went more on historical precedent of the 3rd time/party in power/former president/etc the polls OVER compensate after UNDER hr first few times. That obviously didn’t happen, so my one track analysis was way off haha. Oh well.
Stay off Reddit man, the echo chamber isn't good for you. "You don't meet a single person who actually likes the guy" riiiiiiiiight
posted by Trueblue23Stay off Reddit man, the echo chamber isn't good for you. "You don't meet a single person who actually likes the guy" riiiiiiiiight
Trump is actually a pretty likeable guy, from what I've heard, and would probably be kind of fun to hang out with. Guy has a sense of humor (garbage truck, McDonald's stint) and comes across as more down to earth (even though he's rich). What I heard throughout this campaign was how "unlikeable" Harris was.
posted by Trueblue23Stay off Reddit man, the echo chamber isn't good for you. "You don't meet a single person who actually likes the guy" riiiiiiiiight
We know a lot different of people if you know a lot of people that like Trump. My experience has been of Laleys.
posted by kizer permanenteWe know a lot different of people if you know a lot of people that like Trump. My experience has been of Laleys.
The guy has the most loyal fanbase in politics yet you can't find someone who likes him. That's silly.
posted by Trueblue23The guy has the most loyal fanbase in politics yet you can't find someone who likes him. That's silly.
I can't even think of anyone on here except you that says they actually like him. What are you talking about? And this place has always leaned conservative.
posted by Trueblue23The guy has the most loyal fanbase in politics yet you can't find someone who likes him. That's silly.
To give you an idea of how unlikeable Harris was, I saw several Amish buggies cruising around with Trump flags waiving on them.
posted by BR1986FBTo give you an idea of how unlikeable Harris was, I saw several Amish buggies cruising around with Trump flags waiving on them.
We’ve seen that since 2016 though.
