Justin Tucker Draft Question

Ironman92 Administrator
56,729 posts 164 reps Joined Nov 2009
Sun, Dec 16, 2018 8:44 PM

Knowing what we know with Tucker....if you are the GM of a team and there was a kicker in the draft that was a guarantee to perform just as Justin Tucker has over his career....and this imaginary kicker would be at Tucker level for at least a decade....

What’s he highest round you’d take him in....and if you say 1st round, how high up would you take this GOAT kicker?


SportsAndLady Senior Member
39,070 posts 24 reps Joined Nov 2009
Sun, Dec 16, 2018 8:48 PM

5th round

Ironman92 Administrator
56,729 posts 164 reps Joined Nov 2009
Sun, Dec 16, 2018 8:52 PM

Is there a WAR for kickers? I swear a few years back Tucker won 3 games with his insane kicking that I just don’t believe anyone else does. Not a great kicking division either. A lot of wind and poor footing. 

Ironman92 Administrator
56,729 posts 164 reps Joined Nov 2009
Sun, Dec 16, 2018 9:14 PM

A ton of face palms ...Ray Guy did alright

https://uproxx.com/sports/nfl-draft-a-brief-history-of-the-19-times-a-kicker-or-punter-was-picked-early/

cat_lover Senior Member
3,629 posts 44 reps Joined Nov 2009
Sun, Dec 16, 2018 9:42 PM

4th round. Can't see spending a 1st through 3rd round pick on a kicker.

Ironman92 Administrator
56,729 posts 164 reps Joined Nov 2009
Sun, Dec 16, 2018 9:47 PM

If he’s guaranteed to be 10 years at Tucker level...I’d take him in the 3rd

24,621 posts 244 reps Joined May 2010
Mon, Dec 17, 2018 5:45 AM

With current NFL rules favoring offense, and xp distances, plus more teams going for it on fourth down.... Id say 7th round. 

superman Senior Member
4,377 posts 71 reps Joined Nov 2009
Mon, Dec 17, 2018 7:12 AM

I could see going as high as third.  That's an amazing weapon.  

justincredible Honorable Admin
37,969 posts 246 reps Joined Nov 2009
Mon, Dec 17, 2018 8:42 AM

Remember when the Jets drafted Nugent in the 2nd? Yeah, I wouldn't do that again. I'd say 4th or 5th round.

Ironman92 Administrator
56,729 posts 164 reps Joined Nov 2009
Mon, Dec 17, 2018 9:21 AM
posted by justincredible

Remember when the Jets drafted Nugent in the 2nd? Yeah, I wouldn't do that again. I'd say 4th or 5th round.

That was dumb for sure but guaranteed Tucker accuracy for a decade. This ain’t Nugent or a top collegiate kicker...this is GOAT

 

friendfromlowry Senior Member
7,778 posts 86 reps Joined Nov 2009
Mon, Dec 17, 2018 10:13 AM
posted by Verbal Kint

https://deadspin.com/sebastian-janikowski-knows-his-limitations-1831133482?utm_medium=sharefromsite&utm_source=deadspin_copy&utm_campaign=top

Lol'd at a podcast this morning that said he looked like he was trying to cross the street to get out of the way of a car. 

Ironman92 Administrator
56,729 posts 164 reps Joined Nov 2009
Mon, Dec 17, 2018 10:54 AM
posted by friendfromlowry

Lol'd at a podcast this morning that said he looked like he was trying to cross the street to get out of the way of a car. 

He wouldnt have done that 15 years ago

 

Heretic Son of the Sun
20,517 posts 202 reps Joined Nov 2009
Mon, Dec 17, 2018 4:47 PM

If we're playing "magic land" and being able to know that, with no chance of error, this hypothetical kicker is going to be Tucker-level, I might go as high as second-third round IF I already have a potential SB-caliber team (ie: very, very few of those glaring holes you want those top draft picks to fill) or at least one that has a shot, but is facing a closing window (like the situation we're possibly looking at with Pittsburgh). If I had a poor team or one that is in the slot that's been occupied by teams like Cincinnati, Dallas, Detroit and their like over the past decade or so where they might be a threat to make the playoffs, but don't really do anything when/if they get there, he'd be a luxury I'd have to pass on because I'd have more important holes to fill to go that high on a kicker who might push me from 7 to 9 wins.

But if I had a legit good team, I'd be willing to go pretty high in order to get a near-automatic kicker who has great range because that can be a big difference in any close game. Hell, you should know that, Ironman. What would Pittsburgh's record be right now if they had Tucker instead of Boswell (or even the Boswell of the past couple years instead of the Boswell of this year, for that matter)? I'm not gonna take the time to chart every miss and when it happened for him, but I know they've been in a lot of close games and lost a few of them and he's been shaky enough for me to guess that 8-5-1 could easily be 11-3 or even 12-2 with someone like Tucker, who makes those kicks formalities 99% of the time.

 

 

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