ptown_trojans_1;1869915 wrote:I don't see that happening at all. Why would North Korea play by those traditional rules? They have seen the leaders that decided to plan by normal rules..they are all dead.
As soon as bombs start dropping who's to say they do not unleash a massive artillery and missile barrage against Seoul? We can't get everything in one strike. The north has too many mobile missiles. They will probably unleash all of those to their various targets, Guam, Japan, etc.
Also, we have a shitty track record at taking out leaders during initial war operations. Other than Bin Laden, we have failed to take out any recently in first strikes. The intel is all bad. And, North Korea is shitty on getting actual intel.
Why would they not also have missiles and WMD stored away in mountain complexes? We already do not have great visibility into the caves, who's to say they do not have weapons there and a plan to retreat there? Once the first wave of bombs is done, they then launch a nuclear or chemical strike.
The North Korean people have also been brainwashed into thinking the U.S. would topple the regime. If that happens, what makes it so sure the population will flip on them so easily? I could see the North rallying around Kim and the generals, not giving up, and fighting tooth and nail against the U.S.
I don't doubt the U.S. military's readiness. We are the best. But, North Korea won't play by our rules and will try and inflict as much damage as possible once shit hits the fan.
Finally, I would be careful to assume they play by the same rules of engagement in terms of warning shots and escalation theory. We may take out something just as a warning shot, and they may see it as all out war.
Oh, and that is still not even mentioning again, the China factor.
LOL. D'oh! Rogue...
The so called warning shots in this situation would be verbal. I can envision possiblyone more warning of this nature.
The rest would come by force to their military installations with SoKo likely also taking part and ready for a possible escalation of force.
It really is a difficult and tough decision to make for our President and south korea. This is the first time in quite awhile where the enemy is ready and able to strike outside its boundaries if action should be taken. SOKO well take the brunt of the response so they must be on board and participate as well.
It will not be an easy decision by any means.
In the past it was easy to dismiss his ramblings but what he has done recently is extremely difficult to just ignore. It's almost impossible to isolate them any more than they already are.
Over the years the govt has psyop'd their own people enough to indoctrinate them against the world.
One major thing they dont have is the benefit of......lessons learned. All they have done is tested and trained but not used their weapons, tactics, decision making and soldiering skills in a true fight.
They say the battle plan changes when that first shot is fired. The US has been fighting for a long time and have tens of thousands of folks who have been in battles and know how to fight.
One of the reasons no one has been able to totally conquer Afghanistan is because they have been fighting and fending off invaders for decades plus. They grow up and know how to fight.
Many contend that Russia's involvement and weapons they had used in Syria was as much to do with training their fighting force and testing their weapons systems than anything else. They would use weapons systems that were not needed but wanted a real life proving ground form their revamped military. They saw the US technology in the first gulf war and realized how antiquated their arsenal was and tried to catch up. They took Krimea without a fight so Syria was the next test.
The ramifications are huge in this situation. China won't stand up to them as they build their fleet worldwide. They just opened their first overseas base in East Africa and could see NoKo as a proving ground as well.
No matter the decision that is made I believe it will be the wrong one.
