1 9-0 Steubenville 28.1075 clinched home game
2 9-0 Minerva 23.8944 clinched home game
3 8-1 Dover 22.9222 clinched playoff spot
4 5-3 Cardinal Mooney 21.7658 clinched playoff spot
5 7-2 Northwest 19.0505
6 7-2 Indian Creek 17.6317
7 6-3 Poland 17.1389
8 8-1 Sheridan 16.6778
9 7-2 Marlington 15.7333
10 8-1 Granville 15.6167

If Dover beats New Phila they will jump back to 2nd ... as long as Minerva wins they will finish 3rd.

LocoEngineer66;942726 wrote:1 9-0 Steubenville 28.1075 clinched home game
2 9-0 Minerva 23.8944 clinched home game
3 8-1 Dover 22.9222 clinched playoff spot
4 5-3 Cardinal Mooney 21.7658 clinched playoff spot
5 7-2 Northwest 19.0505
6 7-2 Indian Creek 17.6317
7 6-3 Poland 17.1389
8 8-1 Sheridan 16.6778
9 7-2 Marlington 15.7333
10 8-1 Granville 15.6167

If Dover beats New Phila they will jump back to 2nd ... as long as Minerva wins they will finish 3rd.

Was I.C. 6th last week or 8th?

SUPER787;943311 wrote:Was I.C. 6th last week or 8th?

I believe they were 9th.


Sent from my iPhone 4S using Tapatalk

SUPER787;943311 wrote:Was I.C. 6th last week or 8th?

Indian Creek was 8th last week.

...Best of luck to the Creek, I hope you guys get in!

Haven't done this in a bit, so my #'s could be a bit off and trying to pick the winners of some of these games isn't always the easiest. But this is what I am getting after week 10. NOTE: I am assuming CCC tops Aquinas and Dover beats Phila. I also didn't figure Big Red, Dover or Minerva's totals because they seemed to be locked 1,2,3 respectively if they win in week 10. Also assuming everyone wins their week 10 games unless otherwise noted.

Poland Loss to Canfield
1 - Big Red
2 - Dover
3 - Minerva
4 - Mooney - 25.909
5 - Northwest - 21.826
6 - Sheridan - 21.5
7 - Indian Creek - 20.658
8 - Granville - 19.45
9 - Marlington - 18.75 (19.2 if Aquinas upsets CCC, 19.3 if Garfield upsets Kenmore 19.75 if BOTH Aquinas and Garfield win)
10 - Poland - 18.454

If Poland beats Canfield
1 - Big Red
2 - Dover
3 - Minerva
4 - Mooney - 25.909
5 - Poland - 22.185
6 - Sheridan - 21.5
7 - Northwest - 21.321 (21.776 if Aquinas upsets CCC)
8 - Creek - 20.658
9 - Granville - 19.45
10 - Marlington - 19.3

If anyone else has done this, are these #'s close to yours?

EDIT: changes to Northwest and Poland. Error pointed out by sloopyhangon. For some reason I gave Northwest and extra win when figuring Poland beating Canfield instead of taking one away.

How do your points magically go up for NW with Poland beating Canfield. It should be the opposite, if Canfield beats Poland (Scenario 1) then NW will get L2 pts from Canfield, but in Scenario 2 you have NW going up in Points but only variable that changed was Poland beating Canfield. Just something to look at.

sloopyhangon;943387 wrote:How do your points magically go up for NW with Poland beating Canfield. It should be the opposite, if Canfield beats Poland (Scenario 1) then NW will get L2 pts from Canfield, but in Scenario 2 you have NW going up in Points but only variable that changed was Poland beating Canfield. Just something to look at.

Fixed it, THX

Your projections are close to the ones on fantatic50 and they haven't been updated for this week yet

Region 11 Projections
1) Steubenville 31.43
2) Dover 29.20
3) Minerva 27.50
4) Cardinal Mooney (Youngstown) 24.08
5) Northwest (Canal Fulton) 21.83
6) Sheridan (Thornville) 21.40
7) Indian Creek (Wintersville) 20.44
8) Granville 19.45

I dont think Poland or Northwest wanna get the 5 seed

I think Poland would like to avoid Mooney in the first round, if possible... but I'm sure they'd like another shot at the Cards.

IMO... Poland will beat Canfield.

I tried to put all the teams in one post but was given a message it was too long. I will have a second post with the remaining teams.

The point total beside the school name is the minimum point total after week 10. I have already added in the points where two defeated teams play each other.

(9-0) STEUBENVILLE 27.8121

add .7346 if (9-0) Steubenville beats (1-7) Tonawanda Cardinal O'Hara (NY)
add .6593 if (6-2) Morgantown (WV) beats (2-3) Morgantown University School (WV)
add .6044 if (5-4) Akron Buchtel beats (5-4) Akron Firestone
add .6044 if (3-3) Hamilton Bishop Ryan (ON) beats (3-2) Hamilton St. Thomas More (ON)
add .6044 if (4-4) Wellsburg Brooke (WV) beats (0-8) Glen Dale John Marshall (WV)
add .5495 if (3-6) Youngstown Ursuline beats (8-1) Akron St. Vincent-St. Mary
add .5495 if (0-9) East Liverpool beats (0-8) Weirton (WV)
add .6593 if (3-4) Baltimore Mount St. Joseph (MD) beats (?-?) Baltimore Gilman (MD)
add .6593 if (6-2) Buffalo St. Joseph’s (NY) beats (2-1) Buffalo Bishop Timon (NY)
add .6593 if (7-2) Massillon beats (7-2) Canton McKinley

(9-0) MINERVA 24.90

add 1.55 if (9-0) Minerva beats (2-7) Carrollton
add .55 if (4-5) Mogadore Field beats (2-7) Akron Springfield
add .45 if (5-4) Louisville St. Thomas Aquinas beats (8-1) Canton Central Catholic
add .45 if (4-5) Massillon Tuslaw beats (2-7) Navarre Fairless
add .05 if (1-8) Canton South beats (5-4) Louisville
add .05 if (7-2) Alliance Marlington beats (5-4) Alliance

(8-1) DOVER 23.00

add 4.25 if (8-1) Dover beats (7-2) New Philadelphia
add .50 if (2-7) Carrollton beats (9-0) Minerva
add .55 if (5-4) Ashland beats (5-4) Lexington
add .50 if (8-1) Dresden Tri-Valley beats (6-3) Philo
add .60 if (0-9) Toledo Woodward beats (3-6) Toledo Waite
add .45 if (7-2) Uhrichsville Claymont beats (1-8) Zanesville West Muskingum
add .45 if (7-2) Cambridge beats (3-6) Byesville Meadowbrook

(5-3) CARDINAL MOONEY 21.3908

add 1.9904 if (5-3) Youngstown Cardinal Mooney beats (2-7) Uniontown Lake
add .6897 if (7-2) Canton McKinley beats (7-2) Massillon
add .6897 if (6-3) Youngstown Boardman beats (6-3) Austintown-Fitch
add .4598 if (3-4) Bear Red Lion Christian (DE) beats (1-5) Valley Forge Military (PA)
add .6897 if (5-3) Lewistown Mifflin County (PA) beats (?-?) Mill Hall Central Mountain (PA)
add .4598 if (8-1) Akron St. Vincent-St. Mary beats (3-6) Youngstown Ursuline

(7-2) NORTHWEST 18.6505

add 2.1157 if (7-2) Canal Fulton Northwest beats (3-6) Barberton
add .6061 if (6-3) Cleveland John Hay beats (5-3) Cleveland Glenville
add .5556 if (1-8) Canton South beats (5-4) Louisville
add .5051 if (1-8) Parma Padua beats (1-8) Akron Hoban
add .5051 if (7-2) New Philadelphia beats (8-1) Dover
add .5556 if (3-6) Columbus St. Charles beats (3-6) Marion Harding
add .5051 if (6-3) Canfield beats (6-3) Poland Seminary
add .4545 if (5-4) Louisville St. Thomas Aquinas beats (8-1) Canton Central Catholic

(7-2) INDIAN CREEK 18.1469

add 1.9449 if (7-2) Wintersville Indian Creek beats (3-6) Richmond Edison
add .5155 if (0-8) Weirton (WV) beats (0-9) East Liverpool
add .5155 if (8-1) New Cumberland Oak Glen (WV) beats (4-4) Magnolia (WV)
add .0515 if (5-4) Bellaire beats (7-2) Martins Ferry
add .4639 if (0-9) Belmont Union Local beats (8-1) St. Clairsville
add .0515 if (4-5) Cadiz Harrison Central beats (5-4) Rayland Buckeye Local

(6-3) POLAND 17.4439

add 3.7319 if (6-3) Poland Seminary beats (6-3) Canfield
add .4545 if (5-4) Cortland Lakeview beats (2-7) Warren Champion
add .5556 if (7-2) Canal Fulton Northwest beats (3-6) Barberton
add .5556 if (3-6) Youngstown East beats (5-4) Akron Ellet
add .4545 if (1-8) Lisbon Beaver Local beats (8-1) Brookfield

(8-1) SHERIDAN 17.15

add 3.80 if (8-1) Thornville Sheridan beats (7-2) New Lexington
add .35 if (1-8) Hebron Lakewood beats (4-5) Newark Catholic
add .50 if (1-8) Zanesville West Muskingum beats (7-2) Uhrichsville Claymont
add .10 if (4-5) Crooksville beats (2-7) New Concord John Glenn
add .45 if (7-2) Cambridge beats (3-6) Byesville Meadowbrook
add .55 if (6-3) Philo beats (8-1) Dresden Tri-Valley

Here are the remaining teams.

(8-1) GRANVILLE 16.50

add 2.80 if (8-1) Granville beats (5-4) Gahanna Columbus Academy
add .40 if (2-7) Utica beats (7-2) Centerburg
add .55 if (0-9) Lancaster Fairfield Union beats (4-5) Ashville Teays Valley
add .05 if (3-6) Heath beats (6-3) Newark Licking Valley
add .15 if (4-5) Newark Catholic beats (1-8) Hebron Lakewood

(7-2) MARLINGTON 15.85

add 2.90 if (7-2) Alliance Marlington beats (5-4) Alliance
add .45 if (5-4) Louisville St. Thomas Aquinas beats (8-1) Canton Central Catholic
add .55 if (2-7) Akron Garfield beats (5-4) Akron Kenmore
add .55 if (6-3) Poland Seminary beats (6-3) Canfield
add .50 if (2-7) Carrollton beats (9-0) Minerva
add .55 if (1-8) Canton South beats (5-4) Louisville

(7-2) CAMBRIDGE 13.8010

add 1.4194 if (7-2) Cambridge beats (3-6) Byesville Meadowbrook
add .5612 if (0-8) Glen Dale John Marshall (WV) beats (4-4) Wellsburg Brooke (WV)
add .5612 if (2-7) Mount Vernon beats (7-2) New Albany
add .4592 if (2-7) Warsaw River View beats (7-2) Coshocton
add .5102 if (7-2) New Philadelphia beats (8-1) Dover
add .5102 if (0-9) East Liverpool beats (0-8) Weirton (WV)

(7-2) CLAYMONT 13.2000

add .9551 if (7-2) Uhrichsville Claymont beats (1-8) Zanesville West Muskingum
add .5051 if (4-5) Cadiz Harrison Central beats (5-4) Rayland Buckeye Local
add .4545 if (6-3) Gnadenhutten Indian Valley beats (4-5) Zoarville Tuscarawas Valley
add .5051 if (2-7) Carrollton beats (9-0) Minerva
add .4545 if (2-7) Warsaw River View beats (7-2) Coshocton
add .4040 if (5-4) Zanesville Rosecrans beats (5-4) Beverly Fort Frye
add .4545 if (1-8) Lisbon Beaver Local beats (8-1) Brookfield
add .5051 if (3-6) Byesville Meadowbrook beats (7-2) Cambridge

(7-2) NEW LEXINGTON 11.1788

add 4.3889 if (7-2) New Lexington beats (8-1) Thornville Sheridan
add .5556 if (0-9) Lancaster Fairfield Union beats (4-5) Ashville Teays Valley
add .5556 if (6-3) Philo beats (8-1) Dresden Tri-Valley
add .5051 if (1-8) McConnelsville Morgan beats (4-5) Zanesville Maysville
add .5051 if (3-6) Byesville Meadowbrook beats (7-2) Cambridge
add .1010 if (4-5) Crooksville beats (2-7) New Concord John Glenn
add .5051 if (1-8) Zanesville West Muskingum beats (7-2) Uhrichsville Claymont

outpost;944173 wrote:I tried to put all the teams in one post but was given a message it was too long. I will have a second post with the remaining teams.

The point total beside the school name is the minimum point total after week 10. I have already added in the points where two defeated teams play each other.
(9-0) MINERVA 24.90

add 1.55 if (9-0) Minerva beats (2-7) Carrollton
add .55 if (4-5) Mogadore Field beats (2-7) Akron Springfield
add .45 if (5-4) Louisville St. Thomas Aquinas beats (8-1) Canton Central Catholic
add .45 if (4-5) Massillon Tuslaw beats (2-7) Navarre Fairless
add .05 if (1-8) Canton South beats (5-4) Louisville
add .05 if (7-2) Alliance Marlington beats (5-4) Alliance

A couple questions ... no points from the West Branch/Salem game???? Wouldn't Minerva get more if Louisville won against South????

LocoEngineer66;944293 wrote:A couple questions ... no points from the West Branch/Salem game???? Wouldn't Minerva get more if Louisville won against South????

I'm assuming he already has the points from the West Branch/Salem game in Minerva's total, since both are D3 it doesn't matter who wins. And no, a South(d3) win over Louisville(d2) is worth .5 more L2 points than the other way around.

Minerva will finish 2nd if Dover falls to Phila, 3rd if Dover beats Phila.

Wooball;944567 wrote:I'm assuming he already has the points from the West Branch/Salem game in Minerva's total, since both are D3 it doesn't matter who wins

Most likely. They get a D3 team moving from 4 wins to 5 either way, so it's the same amount of points regardless of who wins and can be figured in now.

Wooball;944567 wrote:I'm assuming he already has the points from the West Branch/Salem game in Minerva's total, since both are D3 it doesn't matter who wins. And no, a South(d3) win over Louisville(d2) is worth .5 more L2 points than the other way around.

Minerva will finish 2nd if Dover falls to Phila, 3rd if Dover beats Phila.

Thanks Woo ... I wasn't sure how it worked.

"I'm assuming he already has the points from the West Branch/Salem game in Minerva's total, since both are D3 it doesn't matter who wins. And no, a South(d3) win over Louisville(d2) is worth .5 more L2 points than the other way around."

Correct on both cases.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?V=b2bfk...eature=related