I've been looking to buy a new house for over two years. It's ridiculous - almost everything was priced 20-30% above fair value. It's gotten better this season, but most are still 15-20% above market. I haven't even bothered to make an offer because there's no way I'm getting the sellers down 15-20%.
The laws of interest rates and economics are not driving this market. "A new mortgage is going to cost me a lot more money because of the higher interest rate....therefore, I need to raise the price of my house". Ummm, no, that's not at all how it works.
But I get it. Just no way I'm taking a guaranteed 20%+ hit when the market inevitably does reset. If I was downsizing, then the math works. Unfortunately I'm looking for a much bigger place.