barbarian;935375 wrote:Barnesville is the huckleberry. I don't think they will win out with games against Magnolia (WV) and Shadyside. Then Ursuline will be in a "beaten opponents" war with Salineville Southern for the 8th spot.
5.
Columbiana: Expect them to beat Springfield, eliminating their playoff hopes, and then win against "Miseral" Ridge. They will be in.
6.
Southern Local: Should roll over Lowellville, and barring an upset to Sebring, should win and be in.
7.
Garaway: Should beat Newcomerstown, but will have a battle against Strasburg-Franklin, a D6 team that despite being 5-3, is better than their record indicates. Two of their three losses were by 7 in OT and by 5. If they win each, they should be in.
8.
Barnesville: Play Mongolia out of WV. They each played and lost to Monroe Central of WV. Should be close, but they should be favored. The other game is the biggie in Week 10 vs. 5-3 Shadyside, who has won 4 of 5, with the lone loss coming to 7-0 Wheeling Central Catholic 34-20. They also played and lost to Monroe Central. Shadyside is the #3 team in D6, Region 21, despite the 5-3 record. If they do win that one, far from guaranteed, they are still not a lock as that will only get them 13.39. They will need some help from their opponents to get around 14.5 points (the number I am expecting the #8 seed to have). This team is one all Ursuline fans need to be watching if we were to win out. Even if they do win both games, looking at their possible L2 points, the only team I think has any chance of winning would be Caldwell over Shenandoah. Their other wins have very difficult schedules to finish out.
9.
Springfield: They must beat Columbiana to have a chance. Not sure I like the Tigers shot. They each lost to Crestview, Columbiana 30-20, Springfield 49-0. Don't think they get by the Clippers, essentially ending their hopes.
10.
St. Thomas Aquinas: Has a mammoth task against Canal Fulton Northwest, who just beat Canfield, and then Canton Central Catholic. They will be lucky win either of these games. Don't think they have a chance.
11.
Rootstown: Win out and they still need virtually all of their opponents they beat to win. Outside looking in.
12.
Cuyahoga Heights: A team to definitely watch at 7-1 right now. They are in must win mode against Beachwood and then Independence. If they take down 6-2 Beachwood, they have a very good shot at sneaking in and taking that #8 spot from any of the teams in the hunt because they should take down Independence. Ursuline needs CH to lose this week.
13-16: Don't see any of them having any chance.
17:
Ursuline: Need to win out and really need Zanesville to take down a very good Cambridge team this week, then beat Marietta next week. Ursuline also needs SVSM to take down Buchtel and Mooney to beat Lake, which they should do. East Tech has no shot in their two games so the best the Irish can do is around 14.49 points it would appear:
So for Ursuline, they need Columbiana to beat Springfield (good chance), Garaway to lose to Strasburg-Franklin (decent chance), Barnesville to lose to Shadywide (decent chance), and/or Cuyahoga Heights to lose to Beachwood this week (decent chance). I would say they need 3 of these four results to occur, not necessarily all four.
Shall see what transpires!
