Division 6 Region 21

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dhs22p's avatar

dhs22p

Senior Member

431 posts
Sep 14, 2010 11:50 AM
We are 3 weeks into the season already! The region is looking interesting so far. Thoughts?
Sep 14, 2010 11:50am
neohfan's avatar

neohfan

Senior Member

177 posts
Oct 14, 2010 8:21 AM
Ok now that we are 7 weeks in. This region overall seems to be down but once again very competitive. Looks like Mogadore will host a game week 11. Wynford wins Friday and they will also. Western Reserve is looking strong also. Dalton I thiink if they get healthy could be a dangerous team. St. Paul sitting at 9 right now will be dangerous as a lower seed if they get in..Should be interesting next three weeks.
Oct 14, 2010 8:21am
neohfan's avatar

neohfan

Senior Member

177 posts
Oct 16, 2010 6:48 AM
Now that week 8 is over (well almost over) this region could get interesting. If McDonald can some how beat WR they will be back in the hunt for a playoff spot. Hopewell losing really hurts them. Thought I had things figured out going into this week..now have to refigure
Oct 16, 2010 6:48am
dhs22p's avatar

dhs22p

Senior Member

431 posts
Oct 16, 2010 8:48 AM
neohfan;521325 wrote:Now that week 8 is over (well almost over) this region could get interesting. If McDonald can some how beat WR they will be back in the hunt for a playoff spot. Hopewell losing really hurts them. Thought I had things figured out going into this week..now have to refigure

I got it refigured. McDonald has to win both more than likely to make it. As crazy as it sounds Dalton just needs to win out and McDonald lose one and the Dogs will make it.
Oct 16, 2010 8:48am
neohfan's avatar

neohfan

Senior Member

177 posts
Oct 16, 2010 10:42 PM
I did my uneducated figuring as for now I have it like this.

1. Wynford
2. Mogadore
3. Western Reserve
4. Ledgemont
5. Buckeye Central
6. St. Paul
7. Hopewell
8. Dalton
9. McDonald
10. Monroeville

Last two weeks could be interesting. Always seems like something always happens to throw a curve ball into things.
Oct 16, 2010 10:42pm
S

Sonofanump

Oct 16, 2010 11:28 PM
I can not see Wynford not being #1 if they win out due to having two D4 5-2 left on the schedule.

Monroeville and St. Paul play week 10, that should be win and in, lose and out.
Oct 16, 2010 11:28pm
riders1's avatar

riders1

Yankees,Riders,Bengals

2,275 posts
Oct 16, 2010 11:43 PM
There will be a lot of scoreboard watching for the 5th thru 10th teams as I see a close grouping there of less than a point difference and those teams will need help from the teams they beat earlier so those nonleague wins earlier may payoff with helping points in the next 2 weeks, and the Monroeville/St. Paul loser may still be in if they get help from their opponents.
Oct 16, 2010 11:43pm
J

jmog

Senior Member

6,567 posts
Oct 17, 2010 10:46 AM
I also see Mogadore dropping to #2 even at 10-0, their last 2 teams just do not provide hardly any points.

Wynford, if they win, will end up #1.

Man, the teams that finish 1/2/3 aren't going to get a break as perennial powers BHL, NSP, and Dalton look to be finishing 6/7/8.

Hey, at least it will be at home.
Oct 17, 2010 10:46am
neohfan's avatar

neohfan

Senior Member

177 posts
Oct 18, 2010 10:29 AM
Joe Eitel has region like this after 8 weeks

1. Mogadore 17.2883
2. Wynford 15.9250
3. Western Reserve 14.4125
4. Ledgemont 13.4444
5. Buckeye Central 9.4375
6. Dalton 9.3875
7. St. Paul 9.0750
8. Hopewell 8.9500
9. Monroeville 8.8375
10. McDonald 6.9875

Next two weeks are going to be fun and interesting to watch.
Oct 18, 2010 10:29am
0

0311sdp

Senior Member

580 posts
Oct 18, 2010 11:24 AM
Watched Hopewell Louden lose to Carey 68-14 Friday night, not the H-L of the past 5 years. They can't stop the run (Carey 563 yards rushing) just don't have the athletes. They should beat North Baltimore and Lakota in their last two games and might sneak into the playoffs
Oct 18, 2010 11:24am
neohfan's avatar

neohfan

Senior Member

177 posts
Oct 18, 2010 3:01 PM
Hopewell plays Tiffin Calvert away on Saturday and North Baltimore at home on the 29th. I agree they should win both and get in. Are they running same system with the new coach?
Oct 18, 2010 3:01pm
0

0311sdp

Senior Member

580 posts
Oct 19, 2010 3:54 PM
Pretty much, but they have no running game at all, their o-line is not very good. Defensively can't stop the run. They play with good effort just don't have the talent they've had in the past. Tyree is a pretty good QB with a couple good receivers but with a weak line can be pressured into mistakes (12 INT) don't see this team winning a playoff game no matter who they would play.
Oct 19, 2010 3:54pm
S

Sonofanump

Oct 21, 2010 9:32 AM
http://www.fantastic50.net/index.php?pr=Ohio_Region_21

Playoff Berth Probabilities
(projected Harbin cutoff 11.73 points)
Wynford (Bucyrus) 100% (8W-17.7H-100%)
Western Reserve (Berlin Center) 100% (8W-16.4H-100%)
Mogadore 100% (8W-19.8H-100%)
Ledgemont (Thompson) 100% (8W-15.4H-100%)
Buckeye Central (New Washington) 86% (7W-9.9H-2% 8W-12.1H-92% 9W-14.5H-100%)
St Paul (Norwalk) 80% (6W-10.3H-3% 7W-11.4H-45% 8W-14.5H-100%)
Hopewell-Loudon (Bascom) 77% (5W-9.7H-2% 6W-11.1H-32% 7W-12.5H-97%)
Dalton 65% (5W-10.2H-9% 6W-10.9H-25% 7W-11.8H-71%)
Monroeville 60% (6W-9.6H-1% 7W-11.5H-43% 8W-14.5H-100%)
Mc Donald 27% (7W-11.2H-20% 8W-14.7H-100%)
Seneca East (Attica) 3% (6W-9.0H-1% 7W-12.3H-73%)
Mathews (Vienna) 3% (6W-7.4H-1% 7W-11.3H-26%)
Rittman 1% (7W-10.8H-3%)
Oct 21, 2010 9:32am
neohfan's avatar

neohfan

Senior Member

177 posts
Oct 22, 2010 8:12 AM
According to Joe Eitel

Mogadore has clinched Home game
Wynford Clinched playoff spot
Western Reserve has cllinched a playoff spot
Legemont control own Destiny

According to Fantastic 50

Wynford clinched home game
Mogadore clinched home game
Western Reserve clinched home game
Legmont Clinched playoff birth
Oct 22, 2010 8:12am
S

Sonofanump

Oct 22, 2010 8:33 AM
Assuming top 4 in.

Buckeye Central (New Washington) 86% (7W-9.9H-2% 8W-12.1H-92% 9W-14.5H-100%) Should win both games against near .500 opponents.
St Paul (Norwalk) 80% (6W-10.3H-3% 7W-11.4H-45% 8W-14.5H-100%) Monroeville week 10.
Hopewell-Loudon (Bascom) 77% (5W-9.7H-2% 6W-11.1H-32% 7W-12.5H-97%) Plays two 2-6 schools.
Dalton 65% (5W-10.2H-9% 6W-10.9H-25% 7W-11.8H-71%) playing schools with a total of 1 win.
Monroeville 60% (6W-9.6H-1% 7W-11.5H-43% 8W-14.5H-100%) St. Paul week 10.
Mc Donald 27% (7W-11.2H-20% 8W-14.7H-100%) playing schools with a total of 1 loss.

I can not see the loser of Mvill v St.P in. (Sat night even though at Mville)
McDonald could win out and knock Dalton out.
Oct 22, 2010 8:33am
riders1's avatar

riders1

Yankees,Riders,Bengals

2,275 posts
Oct 23, 2010 12:50 AM
McDonald wins over Western Reserve 15-13 get about 32 total points , not good for Dalton.
Oct 23, 2010 12:50am
riders1's avatar

riders1

Yankees,Riders,Bengals

2,275 posts
Oct 23, 2010 8:54 AM
Joe Eitel has region like this after 9 weeks

1. Mogadore 19.9830
2. Wynford 19.4944
3. Western Reserve 15.8167
4. Ledgemont 14.9040
5. Buckeye Central 11.6500
6. Monroeville 10.8000
7. McDonald 10.6278
8. St. Paul 10.3000
9. Dalton 9.9889
10. Hopewell 9.4000

So week 10 and a lot of scoreboard watching to see who will help who make the final 8 :)
Oct 23, 2010 8:54am
dhs22p's avatar

dhs22p

Senior Member

431 posts
Oct 23, 2010 10:26 AM
Yes there will be scoreboard watching. I got it figured our for the Dogs here are the scenarios:

Dalton wins +

Basic + Buckeye Central loss + Garaway, Rittman or Timken Win
Basic + H-L loss
Basic + McDonald Loss
Basic + Garaway, Rittman or Timken Win + Lakota Win
Basic + Garaway win + Rittman or Timken win

Basic = Tuslaw win, Smithville win,

All we need is 1 of the 5 options. Easier said than done. I would watch out for the Calvert/Hopewell-Loudon game. Calvert beat St. Paul so we'll see if they can beat another good team tonight.
Oct 23, 2010 10:26am
riders1's avatar

riders1

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2,275 posts
Oct 23, 2010 11:16 AM
Timken won't beat triway, so scratch that part out :(
Oct 23, 2010 11:16am
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THE4RINGZ

R.I.P Thread Bomber

16,816 posts
Oct 23, 2010 11:46 AM
riders1;529431 wrote:Timken won't beat triway, so scratch that part out :(
Anything is possible.
Oct 23, 2010 11:46am
dhs22p's avatar

dhs22p

Senior Member

431 posts
Oct 23, 2010 12:17 PM
I know its not likely but I put it in there to cover all the bases.
Oct 23, 2010 12:17pm
neohfan's avatar

neohfan

Senior Member

177 posts
Oct 23, 2010 5:52 PM
From what I was told from a friend who follows ITCL close he said Southern always gives McDonald a tough time so McDonald losing week 10 is possible. There will be alot of texting going on this week. :)
Oct 23, 2010 5:52pm
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riders1

Yankees,Riders,Bengals

2,275 posts
Oct 23, 2010 7:25 PM
Last 4 games, 3 by 3 or less, 1 by 7 points , didn't remember that MacDonald was 1st in the region last year.
Oct 23, 2010 7:25pm
dhs22p's avatar

dhs22p

Senior Member

431 posts
Oct 23, 2010 10:21 PM
Calvert 21
Hopewell Loudon 20 per joeeitel

Dog fans all we need is a W!
Oct 23, 2010 10:21pm
riders1's avatar

riders1

Yankees,Riders,Bengals

2,275 posts
Oct 23, 2010 11:47 PM
Joe doesn't show Dalton controls own destiny, so they also will still need help from their opponents or others:)
Oct 23, 2010 11:47pm