2024 NFL Playoffs

Ironman92 Administrator
56,729 posts 168 reps Joined Nov 2009
Sun, Jan 21, 2024 6:08 PM
posted by gut

Seemed like a stupid call to go for 2.

Collinsworth all in

55% conversion rate on 2 pt this season

95% on making both XP


BUT….the 55% basically says you are going to not be successful on 1, and if that’s the first one then the chances are still just 55% on the next one to tie it


gut Senior Member
18,369 posts 117 reps Joined Nov 2009
Sun, Jan 21, 2024 6:22 PM
posted by Ironman92

Collinsworth all in

55% conversion rate on 2 pt this season

95% on making both XP


BUT….the 55% basically says you are going to not be successful on 1, and if that’s the first one then the chances are still just 55% on the next one to tie it

It completely ignores how the odds change in different scenarios.  An alternative description of the same scenario is that calls LOSES you the game 20% of the time.  That's what makes it dumb.

I don't think that decision improved their chances to win the game. Even if it did, it's a one shot deal - you don't get the benefit of realizing those odds over 100 shots.

Ironman92 Administrator
56,729 posts 168 reps Joined Nov 2009
Sun, Jan 21, 2024 7:06 PM
posted by gut

It completely ignores how the odds change in different scenarios.  An alternative description of the same scenario is that calls LOSES you the game 20% of the time.  That's what makes it dumb.

I don't think that decision improved their chances to win the game. Even if it did, it's a one shot deal - you don't get the benefit of realizing those odds over 100 shots.

Yeah and the 4th and 4 going for it instead of punting.

I hope the 49ers and Steelers aren’t considered equals….that’s a factor and if 49ers are going against the Commanders and the Steelers are going against the Ravens. And to go farther if Steelers are at Ravens and 49ers are at home….oh and 49ers are playing in 70 degree weather with no wind and Steelers are in a blowing rain with 20 mph winds


So many factors that don’t seem to be factored in…BY ANYONE




Ironman92 Administrator
56,729 posts 168 reps Joined Nov 2009
Sun, Jan 21, 2024 7:52 PM

How can you leave Kelce uncovered????

Oops I left Curry open 

Whoops I threw Juan Soto a fastball down the middle


Some things just can’t happen…confusion is not an excuse. Leave one of their stone hand receivers accidentally open, not Kelce


And brother Kelce shirtless with beer in hand hanging out of the luxury box is GREAT

Ironman92 Administrator
56,729 posts 168 reps Joined Nov 2009
Sun, Jan 21, 2024 8:02 PM

On the 12 w 44 seconds and 2 timeouts

I would’ve let it go down to 34 seconds ds before the timeout

Ironman92 Administrator
56,729 posts 168 reps Joined Nov 2009
Sun, Jan 21, 2024 8:12 PM

This is the game. Many get tired of the same teams but these are the best games.

mhs95_06 Senior Member
8,603 posts 13 reps Joined Nov 2009
Sun, Jan 21, 2024 8:50 PM


Looks like both offenses have solved the opposing defenses, so we're into whoever has the ball last mode, barring turnovers.

Ironman92 Administrator
56,729 posts 168 reps Joined Nov 2009
Sun, Jan 21, 2024 8:52 PM
posted by mhs95_06


Looks like both offenses have solved the opposing defenses, so we're into whoever has the ball last mode, barring turnovers.

One of the defenses will do something  unexpected and be a major factor in this outcome 


mhs95_06 Senior Member
8,603 posts 13 reps Joined Nov 2009
Sun, Jan 21, 2024 8:59 PM
posted by Ironman92

One of the defenses will do something  unexpected and be a major factor in this outcome 


Both D coordinators holding something back!  I'll bet Reid has more offensive quirks left than Buffalo.

Ironman92 Administrator
56,729 posts 168 reps Joined Nov 2009
Sun, Jan 21, 2024 9:03 PM
posted by mhs95_06

Both D coordinators holding something back!  I'll bet Reid has more offensive quirks left than Buffalo.

Good Lord….fake punt with Hamlin?

Jesus


mhs95_06 Senior Member
8,603 posts 13 reps Joined Nov 2009
Sun, Jan 21, 2024 9:03 PM

I think that Bills 2nd and 5 was going to be a flea flicker, but the blitzer got the RB before he could flick it back gto the QB.

Ironman92 Administrator
56,729 posts 168 reps Joined Nov 2009
Sun, Jan 21, 2024 9:06 PM

Reid’s 2nt time going with the weak ass receiver has been stupid both times. An insane call and this might be gigantic.

Nothing about him says ball security

mhs95_06 Senior Member
8,603 posts 13 reps Joined Nov 2009
Sun, Jan 21, 2024 9:09 PM

This game like the last classic KC/Buff playoff game will prompt a rule change.

Ironman92 Administrator
56,729 posts 168 reps Joined Nov 2009
Sun, Jan 21, 2024 9:11 PM

Should prompt a coach to not have receivers run the ball near the goal line and reaching for yardage when possession is key

friendfromlowry Senior Member
7,778 posts 87 reps Joined Nov 2009
Sun, Jan 21, 2024 9:15 PM

Does Stefon Diggs still play for the Bills? When was the last time he did anything 

Ironman92 Administrator
56,729 posts 168 reps Joined Nov 2009
Sun, Jan 21, 2024 9:23 PM
posted by friendfromlowry

Does Stefon Diggs still play for the Bills? When was the last time he did anything 

I picked him to have the highest yardage receiving game….so I’m the issue this game


mhs95_06 Senior Member
8,603 posts 13 reps Joined Nov 2009
Sun, Jan 21, 2024 9:40 PM

There is the missed kick I was expecting from Bass, he was shaky last week.

friendfromlowry Senior Member
7,778 posts 87 reps Joined Nov 2009
Sun, Jan 21, 2024 9:41 PM

I’m good on hearing anymore about this “rivalry.” Burrow and Bengals have actually beat the Chiefs in the postseason. Buffalo is so incredibly overrated. 

Ironman92 Administrator
56,729 posts 168 reps Joined Nov 2009
Sun, Jan 21, 2024 9:42 PM
posted by friendfromlowry

I’m good on hearing anymore about this “rivalry.” Burrow and Bengals have actually beat the Chiefs in the postseason. Buffalo is so incredibly overrated. 

“Incredibly” is quite the stretch


Ironman92 Administrator
56,729 posts 168 reps Joined Nov 2009
Sun, Jan 21, 2024 9:42 PM
posted by friendfromlowry

I’m good on hearing anymore about this “rivalry.” Burrow and Bengals have actually beat the Chiefs in the postseason. Buffalo is so incredibly overrated. 

“Incredibly” is quite the stretch


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