If you were an oddsmaker, what would you make it?

You will have to consider that 4 of the 64 teams will make it (1/16) (Not saying everytime would have this, just a starting point. Some teams will be 1,000 to 1 odds)

The top 32 teams are the only ones with close to a realistic shot (4/32) = 1/8

The top 16 are probably 3/1 favorites over the bottom 16 , that would have a 3/16 shot. Two of the top 8 will probably make it. That would give them a 1/4 shot. With 1 more loss factored in, I would give set their odds at a conservative 5 to 1 shot.

OSU's official over/under - 5 to 1 (Spend 5 bucks, get back 25 if they make it)

Id go 9/1 right now.

Cuse is probably at a 3/1
UK and KU at 4/1
Duke is at 6/1

Laley23 wrote: Id go 9/1 right now.

Cuse is probably at a 3/1
UK and KU at 4/1
Duke is at 6/1

My logic is probably very flawed, but I like the 5/1 bet (maybe 6/1)

rydawg5 wrote:

My logic is probably very flawed, but I like the 5/1 bet (maybe 6/1)

Well looking over the teams, 9/1 may to too high. maybe a 15/2 is closer. I do not think, without a #1 seed, they have any shot at being 5/1 or better. In fact, only three teams have a chance at odds that good imo (Syracuse, UK, and KU).

I wouldnt put it pas Vegas to overrank the Big East and give OSU similar odds to WVU and Villanova even though OSU is better than both.

I'm sure that you could find the odds out there somewhere.

I don't know the logic of how they set the odds, but I'd think OSU would be like 15/1. Not sure how I came up with that.

I just think that Kentucky, Kansas and Syracuse are all heavy favorites for the Final 4 and then there are a handful of teams who are in that second tier for the last spot (Duke, Villanova, Georgetown and maybe WVU.

Then I think their is a 3rd tier, which consists of OSU, Michigan St., Purdue and some of the other teams in the top 15.

I think OSU is capable of beating anyone if they get all 5 starters to play well together. But in most games it's been 2-3 that play well and the other 2 don't show up. I think OSU is a legit Elite 8 team, and a Final 4 appearance would be a surprise to many.

What team do you think would be the best "bang for your buck"?

rydawg5 wrote: What team do you think would be the best "bang for your buck"?

I usually try to bet on about 4 teams in the 15-20/1 range hoping for the big pay-out. Ive done it for 5 years and hit on 2 of them. Take that for what its worth.

Just checked their odds (albeit to win the whole thing right now) and OSU is at 15/1.

KU was at 2/1
Syracuse at 5/1
UK at 4/1
Nova at 8/1
Texas at 13/1 (WHAT!!!!)
W. Virginia at 18/1
Michigan St. at 18/1
Duke at 14/1

I did a quick search of Tourney odds and found nothing of interest other than games still on the schedule. I doubt there will be anything worth looking at until the field is announced.

OSU at 9-1 seems a little high I would imagine, 15-2 sounds a lot closer to me. Odds makers will look at their depth as an issue.

15-1 to win the whole thing?

That's a lot better than I would have imagined...

I made a 5/1 bet at the beginning of the year with my friend for $5 (to win $25) I took Kentucky he took the field.

That's probably the only betting I'll take a part in haha.

Although Texas' odds are pretty favorable for them, I understand it. They are as talented as almost any team in the country, but just don't play well together. Maybe the odds makers think once they have a sense of urgency to them, they can get it together.

18/1

thedynasty1998 wrote: Although Texas' odds are pretty favorable for them, I understand it. They are as talented as almost any team in the country, but just don't play well together. Maybe the odds makers think once they have a sense of urgency to them, they can get it together.

*cough**cough* Rick Barnes *cough**cough*

Well actually, using this logic, its a 4 out of 65 chance, not 64.

Another way to look at it, after 4 games, only these scenarios are possible for OSU:

*OSU 0-1
*OSU 1-1
*OSU 2-1
*OSU 3-1
*OSU 4-0

So, using that admittedly-flawed mathmetically logic, OSU indeed does have a 1 in 5 chance ... but so would a #16 seed!

All kidding aside, lets assume OSU is a #2 seed. They would be favored to win their first three games, and likely an underdog in the 4th game. Because 4 wins are needed, the odds are most pertinent in the 4th game, assuming OSU wins the first three. I think if OSU played Syracuse, they would win 3 times out of every 10 that they played. Throw in the potential of a stumble in the first three rounds, and I actually think 5-1, or maybe something like 7-1 odds make sense here.

Actually 64, they are in a tourny of 64 teams. There is a play in game to get in the tourny. I don't consider that being in the tourny.

Pretty good. OSU will be a 2 seed. 2 seeds make the final 4 a lot of the time.

if osu wins the big 10 tourney, could they be a 1 seed?

UA5straightin2008 wrote: if osu wins the big 10 tourney, could they be a 1 seed?

Yes, but it wont be without help. They do NOT control their own destiny.

Syracuse, KU, UK and Duke all control their fate for a #1 seed right now.

I have Buckeyes at 3 to 1 in making final 4. They have almost a fifty fifty chance to get to the elite 8, and then will be slight underdogs in the regional title game.

I might take a flyer at 15 to 1 payoff.