NBA 2012-13

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gport_tennis
Posts: 1,796
Feb 21, 2013 10:30am
Rotinaj;1393527 wrote:Production is all that matters.

Kwame brown is going to be a beast.
GOONx19's avatar
GOONx19
Posts: 7,147
Feb 21, 2013 10:35am
^ Kwame Brown never had production anywhere near Dion's current line. He averaged 5 points and 4 rebounds as a rookie. Your post makes no sense.
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sleeper
Posts: 27,879
Feb 21, 2013 10:48am
lhslep134;1393522 wrote:Only in production, not long term.
Not even sure what this means. That's like saying "Well only in actual game play, not potential game play". :rolleyes:
Pick6's avatar
Pick6
Posts: 14,946
Feb 21, 2013 10:52am
When Dion was coming off the bench, he was puttting up better numbers in nearly every statistical category than any other 6th men out there.
G
gport_tennis
Posts: 1,796
Feb 21, 2013 11:01am
GOONx19;1393541 wrote:^ Kwame Brown never had production anywhere near Dion's current line. He averaged 5 points and 4 rebounds as a rookie. Your post makes no sense.

Quoted the wrong person. Just a sarcastic response anyways
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hoops23
Posts: 15,696
Feb 21, 2013 11:17am
Pick6;1393555 wrote:When Dion was coming off the bench, he was puttting up better numbers in nearly every statistical category than any other 6th men out there.
Including JR Smith and Jamal Crawford.
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Pick6
Posts: 14,946
Feb 21, 2013 11:23am
hoops23;1393586 wrote:Including JR Smith and Jamal Crawford.
correct.
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lhslep134
Posts: 9,774
Feb 21, 2013 11:45am
sleeper;1393550 wrote:Not even sure what this means. That's like saying "Well only in actual game play, not potential game play". :rolleyes:
Fine I'll be more explicit. In no f*cking fantasy world is Dion the 2nd best rookie in this class. Anthony Davis is.

There, does that clear it up?
Pick6's avatar
Pick6
Posts: 14,946
Feb 21, 2013 12:06pm
lhslep134;1393612 wrote:Fine I'll be more explicit. In no f*cking fantasy world is Dion the 2nd best rookie in this class. Anthony Davis is.

There, does that clear it up?
Meh, its possible. Just because Lilliard is having a good rookie season, doesnt mean he can maintain it. And its really not that much better than Dion. He is shooting 41% compared to Dion's 40%, playing 38.5 minutes per game compared to Dion's 29.5 and is only averaging 4 more points per game.

Dion's PER 48 is actually better at 23.1 PPG compared to Lilliard's 22.9
I would say Dion's ceiling is higher than Lilliard's.
sleeper's avatar
sleeper
Posts: 27,879
Feb 21, 2013 12:15pm
lhslep134;1393612 wrote:Fine I'll be more explicit. In no f*cking fantasy world is Dion the 2nd best rookie in this class. Anthony Davis is.

There, does that clear it up?
Have you watched Davis play? Dude is the next Hasheem Thabeet; wouldn't be surprised to see him in the D-league next year.
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lhslep134
Posts: 9,774
Feb 21, 2013 12:32pm
Pick6;1393623 wrote:Meh, its possible. Just because Lilliard is having a good rookie season, doesnt mean he can maintain it. And its really not that much better than Dion. He is shooting 41% compared to Dion's 40%, playing 38.5 minutes per game compared to Dion's 29.5 and is only averaging 4 more points per game.

Dion's PER 48 is actually better at 23.1 PPG compared to Lilliard's 22.9
I would say Dion's ceiling is higher than Lilliard's.
This is the exact reason advanced stats were created and why you can't just look at PPG.

Here are the categories Lillard is better at than Waiters statistically (and actually):

PER
True shooting percentage
Effective field goal percentage
[Their rebounding percentages are close enough to be negligible]
Assist percentage
Offensive rating (defensive rating is the same for both)
Win shares (3.5 to .6)

So really, it's not that close between the two
sleeper's avatar
sleeper
Posts: 27,879
Feb 21, 2013 12:37pm
Dion is also option #2 or #3 at best on the Cavs. I think Lillard is better, but Dion isn't too far off.
hoops23's avatar
hoops23
Posts: 15,696
Feb 21, 2013 12:37pm
lhslep134;1393645 wrote:This is the exact reason advanced stats were created and why you can't just look at PPG.

Here are the categories Lillard is better at than Waiters statistically (and actually):

PER
True shooting percentage
Effective field goal percentage
[Their rebounding percentages are close enough to be negligible]
Assist percentage
Offensive rating (defensive rating is the same for both)
Win shares (3.5 to .6)

So really, it's not that close between the two
The three bolded are kind of no brainers.

Of course Dion isn't going to have a higher assist%, he's not a PG. However, he can handle the rock and make plays by getting to the basket and either finishing, getting fouled, or dumping it off.

Dion's offensive game is inconsistent thus far, but you can see his offensive potential is through the roof. He doesn't have the talent around him that Lillard does either. Kyrie is the best player on either team, but Portland is a more complete team with better vets.

Win shares... Again, Portland is a better team.

As it is, you can definitely make the case the Waiters is one of the top 2 rookies in this class, and at WORST the 3rd. That's saying A LOT, especially since he was picked 4th, but projected in the 8-10 range. The Cavs scouting department really has done a great job with these guys.

Look at the improvement of Tristan in his first 15 months or so. Amazing progress. Dion has a good work ethic by all accounts and his game will continue to get better. He kept the Cavs afloat last night until Kyrie took the 4th quarter over.
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sleeper
Posts: 27,879
Feb 21, 2013 12:41pm
Yeah TT has really blossomed nicely. He's a much better player than Davis will ever be and we got him at #4. Davis is so overrated; really a garbage player.
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Ironman92
Posts: 49,363
Feb 21, 2013 12:46pm
So how far away are the Cavs from being a bottom playoff team? A winning playoff team? A title contender?
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GOONx19
Posts: 7,147
Feb 21, 2013 12:51pm
One year from playoffs. One player and two years away from being a winning playoff team. Two players and four years from title contenders, excluding injuries and loss of free agents.
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sleeper
Posts: 27,879
Feb 21, 2013 1:06pm
Ironman92;1393656 wrote:So how far away are the Cavs from being a bottom playoff team? A winning playoff team? A title contender?
I think they are going to hit both metrics next year besides title contender. I believe they will be a title contender in two years.
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GOONx19
Posts: 7,147
Feb 21, 2013 1:13pm
GOONx19;1393659 wrote:One year from playoffs. One player and two years away from being a winning playoff team. Two players and four years from title contenders, excluding injuries and loss of free agents.
And this is assuming they do not get Lebron.
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Pick6
Posts: 14,946
Feb 21, 2013 1:14pm
sleeper;1393632 wrote:Have you watched Davis play? Dude is the next Hasheem Thabeet; wouldn't be surprised to see him in the D-league next year.
He did a pretty good job on TT last night.
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like_that
Posts: 26,625
Feb 21, 2013 1:18pm
GOONx19;1393672 wrote:And this is assuming they do not get Lebron.
What if they do?
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Midstate01
Posts: 14,766
Feb 21, 2013 1:21pm
Pick6;1393675 wrote:He did a pretty good job on TT last night.

Lol
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Pick6
Posts: 14,946
Feb 21, 2013 1:23pm
Midstate01;1393683 wrote:Lol
2-8 shooting.
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sleeper
Posts: 27,879
Feb 21, 2013 1:23pm
Pick6;1393675 wrote:He did a pretty good job on TT last night.
lol? No he didn't. TT > Davis and it's not even close.
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sleeper
Posts: 27,879
Feb 21, 2013 1:24pm
Pick6;1393685 wrote:2-8 shooting.
Davis, 2-7 shooting, 4 rebounds 12 points.

TT, 2-8 shooting, 13 rebounds, 9 points.

I'll take TT any day of the week.
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Pick6
Posts: 14,946
Feb 21, 2013 1:27pm
sleeper;1393687 wrote:Davis, 2-7 shooting, 4 rebounds 12 points.

TT, 2-8 shooting, 13 rebounds, 9 points.

I'll take TT any day of the week.
I never said he played better. I said he did a solid job on defense in holding TT to 25% shooting last night, and kept him below his average in scoring. No way in hell is Davis another Thabeet.