BCS Bowl Projections

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enigmaax

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4,511 posts
Nov 15, 2010 8:36 AM
pinstriper;559013 wrote:LSU will lose to ARK in Little Rock in 2 weeks. That leaves ARK at 10-2, LSU at 10-2. The interesting thing will be how far they will drop. It could leave 3 BigTen teams with 1 loss, a Stanford team with 1 loss, and Boise State.
That puts Wisc in the ROSE, and OSU in the SUGAR vs. Boise. It also places Stanford in the ORANGE vs. Nebraska/Okl St.

I assume then you've got Auburn winning out? I highly doubt the Sugar Bowl will pass on a 10-2 SEC team in favor of Boise.
Nov 15, 2010 8:36am
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pinstriper

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225 posts
Nov 15, 2010 8:40 AM
enigmaax;559024 wrote:I assume then you've got Auburn winning out? I highly doubt the Sugar Bowl will pass on a 10-2 SEC team in favor of Boise.

Yeah, AUB wins out...and I agree, it'd be tough for them to pass on ARk vs. OSU, or LSU vs. OSU...but the pressure to take Boise will be there.
Nov 15, 2010 8:40am
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Cleveland Buck

Troll Hunter

5,126 posts
Nov 15, 2010 9:26 AM
An 11-1 Ohio State would be more deserving than 11-1 Stanford. Stanford will have beaten 2 teams all year with a winning record. Ohio State will have beaten 5 should they win out. It doesn't really matter who is more deserving though, because the only way Stanford gets picked at large is if a non AQ makes the title game. The Rose Bowl would take them. No other BCS bowl would take them over Ohio State, Oklahoma, LSU, or really anyone.
Nov 15, 2010 9:26am
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Cleveland Buck

Troll Hunter

5,126 posts
Nov 15, 2010 9:38 AM
The only way Boise (or TCU, whichever one finishes lower) gets an at large bid to the BCS is if the final choice of at large teams is limited to teams like Stanford and Oklahoma State, teams which aren't going to bring much more money than Boise. Then the bowls would give in to the pressure and take Boise to shut everyone up. If Oklahoma is sitting out there, sorry Boise.
Nov 15, 2010 9:38am
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Leonardo

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4,986 posts
Nov 21, 2010 11:39 PM
BCS NC: Auburn (#1) vs. Oregon (#2)

Rose Bowl: Boise State (2nd at-large pick/rule) vs. Wisconsin (Big 10 champion)

Orange Bowl: Virginia Tech (ACC champion) vs. TCU (4th at-large pick)

Sugar Bowl: LSU (1st at-large pick) vs. Ohio State (3rd at-large pick)

Fiesta Bowl: Nebraska (Big-12 champion) vs. Pittsburgh (5th at-large pick)
Nov 21, 2010 11:39pm
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Leonardo

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4,986 posts
Nov 21, 2010 11:41 PM
Mark Schlabach:
BCS NC: Oregon vs. Auburn

Rose: Boise State vs. Wisconsin

Orange: Virginia Tech vs. Ohio State

Sugar: LSU vs. TCU

Fiesta: Oklahoma State vs. Pittsburgh
Nov 21, 2010 11:41pm
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Leonardo

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4,986 posts
Nov 21, 2010 11:43 PM
Andrea Adelson:
BCS NC: Oregon vs. Boise State

Rose: Wisconsin vs. Stanford

Orange: Virginia Tech vs. Ohio State

Sugar: Auburn vs. TCU

Fiesta: Nebraska vs. Pittsburgh
Nov 21, 2010 11:43pm
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dazedconfused

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2,662 posts
Nov 21, 2010 11:56 PM
Leonardo;570384 wrote:Mark Schlabach:
BCS NC: Oregon vs. Auburn

Rose: Boise State vs. Wisconsin

Orange: Virginia Tech vs. Ohio State

Sugar: LSU vs. TCU

Fiesta: Oklahoma State vs. Pittsburgh

that would be mine as well
Nov 21, 2010 11:56pm
Cleveland Buck's avatar

Cleveland Buck

Troll Hunter

5,126 posts
Nov 22, 2010 12:09 AM
The Sugar Bowl isn't going to take a mid major after getting stuck with Cincinnati last year, and Utah and Hawaii the prior two years. They will want a big money matchup.
Nov 22, 2010 12:09am
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dazedconfused

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2,662 posts
Nov 22, 2010 12:41 AM
Cleveland Buck;570417 wrote:The Sugar Bowl isn't going to take a mid major after getting stuck with Cincinnati last year, and Utah and Hawaii the prior two years. They will want a big money matchup.
so with the rose bowl and sugar bowl both losing their tie-ins in schlabach's scenario, does the sugar bowl get the next two selections after the rose bowl takes boise or do they only get one? obviously if they get two in a row, ohio state and lsu will be their selections. if they only have one, why would they chose stanford over tcu?
Nov 22, 2010 12:41am
Cleveland Buck's avatar

Cleveland Buck

Troll Hunter

5,126 posts
Nov 22, 2010 12:46 AM
dazedconfused;570478 wrote:so with the rose bowl and sugar bowl both losing their tie-ins in schlabach's scenario, does the sugar bowl get the next two selections after the rose bowl takes boise or do they only get one? obviously if they get two in a row, ohio state and lsu will be their selections. if they only have one, why would they chose stanford over tcu?

In Schlabach's scenario (Oregon vs. Auburn title game), the selection order would be:

Rose (forced to take the highest ranked non-AQ)
Sugar
Sugar
Orange
Fiesta
Nov 22, 2010 12:46am
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dazedconfused

Senior Member

2,662 posts
Nov 22, 2010 12:56 AM
Cleveland Buck;570481 wrote:In Schlabach's scenario, the selection order would be:

Rose (forced to take the highest ranked non-AQ)
Sugar
Sugar
Orange
Fiesta

that's what i thought after reading the selection rules again. so it becomes either tcu or stanford for the orange bowl. i don't think either is a ratings juggernaut, so i'd go with the undefeated team
Nov 22, 2010 12:56am
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Cleveland Buck

Troll Hunter

5,126 posts
Nov 22, 2010 1:02 AM
TCU would get picked over Stanford for any BCS bowl except the Rose Bowl. If Auburn loses, Boise State would go to the title game, so the Rose Bowl wouldn't be forced to take a non-AQ. They would take Stanford to play the Big Ten champion. The Sugar Bowl would still take a second Big Ten team, leaving TCU to play in the Poinsettia Bowl or whatever.
Nov 22, 2010 1:02am
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darbypitcher22

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8,000 posts
Nov 22, 2010 2:00 AM
wow... seems like whatever way you go that's gonna be one clunker of a Fiesta Bowl with a pretty good Oklahoma State team facing a potentially 5 loss Pittsburgh team
Nov 22, 2010 2:00am
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krambman

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3,606 posts
Nov 22, 2010 9:56 AM
darbypitcher22;570546 wrote:wow... seems like whatever way you go that's gonna be one clunker of a Fiesta Bowl with a pretty good Oklahoma State team facing a potentially 5 loss Pittsburgh team

Whichever team wins the Big XII is going to play someone awful from the Big Least. At this point Syracuse could still end up in Glendale. Let's just hope that Nebraska makes it and blows them out so that we have the last Big XII champion and an impressive BCS bowl winner joining the Big Ten next year. How great would it be to have three defending BCS bowl winners in the conference next season?
Nov 22, 2010 9:56am
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lhslep134

why so serious?

9,774 posts
Nov 22, 2010 10:23 AM
krambman;570678 wrote: How great would it be to have three defending BCS bowl winners in the conference next season?

Considering it's impossible except for this exact scenario, I'd say it'd be pretty freakin cool.
Nov 22, 2010 10:23am
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Sonofanump

Nov 22, 2010 12:00 PM
One sites opinion. Looks like a Big Ten fest on New Years Day.

December 31, 2010 Tempe, AZ
Insight Bowl
Big Ten No. 4 or 5 vs. Big 12 No. 4
Projection: Michigan vs. Missouri

December 31, 2010 Atlanta, GA
Chick-fil-A Bowl 7:30 pm ESPN
ACC No. 2 vs. SEC No. 3, 4 or 5
Projection: NC State vs. Mississippi State

January 1, 2011 Tampa, FL
Outback Bowl 1:00 pm ABC
Big Ten No. 3 vs. SEC No. 3, 4 or 5
Projection: Iowa vs. Arkansas

January 1, 2011 Orlando, FL
Capital One Bowl 1:00 pm ABC
Big Ten No. 2 vs. SEC No. 2
Projection: Michigan State vs. South Carolina

January 1, 2011 Jacksonville, FL
Gator Bowl 1:30 pm ESPN2
Big Ten No. 4 or 5 vs. SEC No. 6
Projection: Penn State vs. Florida

January 1, 2011 Dallas, TX
Dallas Football Classic 11:30 am ESPNU
Big Ten No. 6 vs. Big 12 No. 7 (C-USA No. 7 if no Big Ten or Big 12, MAC is the second backup)
Projection: Northwestern vs. Texas Tech

January 2, 2011 Arlington, TX
AT&T Cotton Bowl Classic 8:00 pm FOX
Big 12 No. 2 vs. SEC No. 3, 4, or 5 (West)
Projection: Nebraska vs. LSU

BCS BOWLS

January 1, 2011 Pasadena, CA
Rose Bowl 4:30 pm ABC
Big Ten No. 1 vs. Pac 10 No. 1
Projection: Wisconsin vs. Boise State

January 1, 2011 Glendale, AZ
Fiesta Bowl 8:00 pm ABC
Big 12 No. 1 vs. BCS
Projection: Oklahoma vs. Pitt

January 3, 2011 Miami, FL
Orange Bowl 8:00 pm ABC
ACC No. 1 vs. BCS at-large
Projection: Virginia Tech vs. Ohio State

January 4, 2011 New Orleans, LA
Sugar Bowl 8:00 pm ABC
SEC No. 1 vs. BCS at-large
Projection: Alabama vs. TCU

January 10, 2011 Glendale, AZ
BCS Championship 8:00 pm ABC
BCS No. 1 vs. BCS No. 2
Nov 22, 2010 12:00pm
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Skyhook79

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5,739 posts
Nov 22, 2010 1:08 PM
National Championship- Oregon vs Auburn
Rose- Wisky vs Stanford
Sugar- Nebraska vs TCU
Orange- Va Tech vs Pitt
Fiesta- Ohio St vs Boise St.

That is what I would like to see.
Nov 22, 2010 1:08pm
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Leonardo

Senior Member

4,986 posts
Nov 22, 2010 1:10 PM
Skyhook79;570935 wrote:National Championship- Oregon vs Auburn
Rose- Wisky vs Stanford
Sugar- LSU vs TCU
Orange- Va Tech vs Pitt
Fiesta- Ohio St vs Boise St.

That is what I would like to see.

Where's your Big 12 champion? They have an automatic tie-in to the Fiesta Bowl.
Nov 22, 2010 1:10pm