enigmaax;481548 wrote:Syk - So if you don't understand the computers it can't be a viable formula? Okay, let's dumb it down because that obviously makes it better.
No, the issue is that some of the computer polls are 'private' and we don't know what their calculations are that bring them to their final ranking. It's not a matter of understanding or not understanding the formula. The problem is that we don't know what formula some of them are using.
Peter Wolfe
Wes Colley
Sagarin
Seattle Times
Richard Billingsley
Kenneth Massey
http://www.palmbeachpost.com/sports/content/sports/epaper/2008/11/21/1121computers.html
There also is the issue of accountability. Only Colley has made his formula public. The other five keep theirs secret, for business purposes.
And the BCS does not audit the formulas to make sure they are being run correctly.
Seems to me we really don't know. Right? Or, should we do this on faith?
Then you go back to, "you win your conference you're in". Now you are assuming all conferences are equal. But didn't you also just say you wanted a computer system? I don't really know what you are arguing any more. A computer system could quite easily favor the same schools and conferences that are favored now. And again, why would a conference champion be any more entitled to a "do-over" as you keep calling it even if they played inferior competition. Unless you are going to try and some way balance conferences, the simple fact is that they are not equal and should not be treated as such.
If they're inferior, it will be found out on the field, would it not? It's not like I'm suggesting school can do an end-run around their own inability to play.
Secondly, you keep talking about best, but Alabama played their schedule last year, and won every game. Would you not agree that Alabama, given all the same players, coaches, etc. would also go undefeated if they played Louisiana-Monroe's schedule? I would. But, this great team is hamstrung because of their schedule, not because they're any worse for wear.
So, you can argue my system is letting in inferior teams, while I know your system DOES let in inferior teams. If team A is #1 in your eyes, and team B is #2. And team B beats Team A. Who is to say that Team C (#3) couldn't also. You were wrong once. You could've been wrong again. We'll never know.
It's a popularity contest that no one wins.
None of this has to do with being non-conformist. It has everything to do with the system works just fine. Big time schools get the biggest cut? Well, big time schools bring in the most dough. Look at attendance. Look at TV ratings. Why would those schools want to give equal revenue to schools that aren't contributing in kind? Do you know how far that money goes to support numerous other sports at the schools pulling it in? Call it totalitarian or whatever you want. Everybody isn't created equal, though. The sport is doing fine, the schools that pull in the money do well and the schools who don't always do well still get some slices of the pie. Why does anyone else deserve a handout?
The payout would be based on tournament performance. If the bigger are best, they get the bigger cut of the money. But they don't want to take that chance. What if the Big Ten keeps flaming out in the first round. While the MWC keeps going to the semifinals. That would seriously crush their net revenue, while increasing the Mountain West's revenue. See where we're going? I'm not talking about a handout. If the payout is $a for an appearance, $b for a first round win, $c for a semifinal win, and $d for winning it all... you win, you get paid. You don't win, you don't get paid. That's not rocket science. That's how the March Madness system works. You advance, you make more money (which by conference affiliation you share with your conference), you lose. You don't make any more money.
And if you're driving your car and you have a half a tank, you're 'doing just fine'. But, keep on driving to Los Angeles and see just how 'fine' you are by doing nothing.
"The biggest schools control where the money goes in the bowl system. Good or bad, win or lose, they've gamed the system over the decades to favor them."
Exactly right. They CREATED the system. The members own it. If anyone is unhappy, they could start a movement to create a different system. Why won't that happen? Because they aren't strong enough. But they are being treated unfairly? Please.
66 schools in FBS are BCS schools. There's 120 FBS schools. Simple math dictates how the vote will fall every time. Which is why when the Big East was raided by the ACC the BCS felt it was imperative that the Big East remain a BCS conference. Otherwise, you'd have roughly 58 of 120 schools in the BCS. Which, is low enough to lose the vote. Same reason ESPN (which just agreed to billions of dollars for the BCS starting next year) were in background talks with the Big 12 promising more money to them if they stuck together while not reporting a word to the public about their conflict of interest. If the Big 12 dissolved (Nebraska to the Big Ten, and the six to the PAC-10) would've left the BCS with 61 of 120, much too close to 50%. If the Big East were raided by the Big Ten and ACC, the castoffs would probably put the BCS below 60, and unable to control the vote.
It was more than 'should the Big Ten invite Rutgers, Nebraska, Missouri, etc'. it was 'if we kill this league and their castoffs fall to non-BCS leagues, we're no longer in control'. The age of the superconference would only work if all four big conference switched immediately. Which, there was too much disagreement. Why? Because four superconferences would mean the creation of a playoff exclusive of the bottom-feeders. Which would fly in the face of congress (these are tax-free institutions of higher learning, after all). You can't argue the current system is better, but then create the same system you railed against while keeping the little schools down when your original argument was they couldn't compete for the title because there was no playoffs.
By the way, it is much easier to pull out and put quotations around the couple of sentences I'm responding to in your posts than quote the whole thing and delete 90% of it. Sorry, you'll just have to deal with that one.
No problems then.
Sykotyk