CFP Rankings

College Sports 695 replies 24,441 views
wildcats20's avatar
wildcats20
Posts: 27,794
Dec 4, 2014 10:23am
centralbucksfan;1682052 wrote:Its called the "eye test". Thats why. Disagree if you want. Thats fine. That common opponent vs OSU, was JT 2nd game he had played in, in over 2yrs. Most people realize that. Since that game, OSU is light years better. And yes, Jones is the trump card. But I feel he will surprise many this weekend. I also feel the system OSU has going, with the play makers they have, will be enough. IMO, defense is going to make or break this game.
Common opponent is Minnesota, not Va Tech
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rydawg5
Posts: 2,639
Dec 4, 2014 10:29am
You can't compare common opponents other than both won.
Terrible terrible logic.

For example: TCU beat Kansas by 4.

Baylor beat Kansas by 46

TCU beat Oklahoma by 4

Baylor beat ok by 34

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This common opponent thing is stupid other than outcome.





Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
rrfan's avatar
rrfan
Posts: 1,922
Dec 4, 2014 10:34am
Defense is the wild card....I sure would like to see some played by the Buckeyes!
Heretic's avatar
Heretic
Posts: 18,820
Dec 4, 2014 12:03pm
DeyDurkie5;1681885 wrote:You've never been wrong before
This site has caused me to utterly despise (talking Rec vs Australia hatred here) jinxes, reverse jinxes and all that fucking bullshit. I fucking swear those people need to take up Russian Roulette against their reflection in the mirror until they find the bullet chamber.
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centralbucksfan
Posts: 5,111
Dec 4, 2014 1:26pm
wildcats20;1682056 wrote:Common opponent is Minnesota, not Va Tech
My bad. And game was where? In what conditions? TCU played them in Texas. OSU @ Minny, in blistering conditions.
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centralbucksfan
Posts: 5,111
Dec 4, 2014 1:28pm
rydawg5;1682061 wrote:You can't compare common opponents other than both won.
Terrible terrible logic.

For example: TCU beat Kansas by 4.

Baylor beat Kansas by 46

TCU beat Oklahoma by 4

Baylor beat ok by 34

---------

This common opponent thing is stupid other than outcome.





Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Agree. Not too mention much can depend on timing. Teams get on a roll, are playing better, injuries, away, home, mathups etc, etc. Too many variables to play that common apponent thing. And I think the committee knows as much.
FatHobbit's avatar
FatHobbit
Posts: 8,651
Dec 4, 2014 3:48pm
rydawg5;1682061 wrote:You can't compare common opponents other than both won.
Terrible terrible logic.

For example: TCU beat Kansas by 4.

Baylor beat Kansas by 46

TCU beat Oklahoma by 4

Baylor beat ok by 34

---------

This common opponent thing is stupid other than outcome.





Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
I agree that you can't look at common opponents to determine who will win, but you really can't even look at when teams have played each other to determine who would win. How many times do teams rematch and the outcome is different the second time around? If you truly wanted to find the best team they would have to play a series and I'm not sure anyone wants that.
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thavoice
Posts: 14,376
Dec 5, 2014 1:51pm
How messed up will it be if both win out and TCU finishes ahead of Baylor?
Also, how messed up with it be if they had TCU ahead of them all season but all of a sudden pull the head-to-head card out of the deck and put Baylor ahead of them?
lhslep134's avatar
lhslep134
Posts: 9,774
Dec 5, 2014 1:56pm
thavoice;1682659 wrote:How messed up will it be if both win out and TCU finishes ahead of Baylor?
I guess you could say that the committee would be sending the message of "schedule someone other than cupcakes"
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thavoice
Posts: 14,376
Dec 5, 2014 2:01pm
lhslep134;1682662 wrote:I guess you could say that the committee would be sending the message of "schedule someone other than cupcakes"
I meant how could you take two one loss teams in the same conference, both losing fairly early, and somehow the team that won the head to head got the short end of the stick?
wildcats20's avatar
wildcats20
Posts: 27,794
Dec 5, 2014 2:19pm
thavoice;1682665 wrote:I meant how could you take two one loss teams in the same conference, both losing fairly early, and somehow the team that won the head to head got the short end of the stick?
Because the best team doesn't always win?

Or are you in CC's boat of the team that wins is always the best team??
wildcats20's avatar
wildcats20
Posts: 27,794
Dec 5, 2014 2:22pm
lhslep134;1682662 wrote:I guess you could say that the committee would be sending the message of "schedule someone other than cupcakes"
And pretty sure that Briles has even publicly said that he won't change his way of scheduling.

If Baylor gets left out, they have no one to blame but themselves. Their best OOC game was Buffalo, who is a middle of the pack MAC school.
Heretic's avatar
Heretic
Posts: 18,820
Dec 5, 2014 2:23pm
wildcats20;1682674 wrote:And pretty sure that Briles has even publicly said that he won't change his way of scheduling.

If Baylor gets left out, they have no one to blame but themselves. Their best OOC game was Buffalo, who is a middle of the pack MAC school.
That's being too kind to Buffalo. As far as the MAC goes, in the East, BG is middle-of-the-pack and everyone else is pure shit.
lhslep134's avatar
lhslep134
Posts: 9,774
Dec 5, 2014 2:24pm
thavoice;1682665 wrote:I meant how could you take two one loss teams in the same conference, both losing fairly early, and somehow the team that won the head to head got the short end of the stick?
By factoring in everything of relevance. Their job is to find the 4 best teams. That means there's more to the conversation than who won on October 11 in Waco.
T
thavoice
Posts: 14,376
Dec 5, 2014 2:28pm
wildcats20;1682673 wrote:Because the best team doesn't always win?

Or are you in CC's boat of the team that wins is always the best team??
No, but if you both finish with the same record (1 loss), played NINE of the same opponants, and there is a head to head matcup between the two, how can you NOT choose the team who won the head to head"?
T
thavoice
Posts: 14,376
Dec 5, 2014 2:31pm
lhslep134;1682676 wrote:By factoring in everything of relevance. Their job is to find the 4 best teams. That means there's more to the conversation than who won on October 11 in Waco.
Again.
same record. Faced 9 of the same opponents. Head to head matchup. That winner needs to be ahead.


If OSU and whatever other big ten team finished 11-1 and OSU was the winner of the head to head game there is no way to put the other team ahead of them.
wildcats20's avatar
wildcats20
Posts: 27,794
Dec 5, 2014 2:32pm
thavoice;1682678 wrote:No, but if you both finish with the same record (1 loss), played NINE of the same opponants, and there is a head to head matcup between the two, how can you NOT choose the team who won the head to head"?
Because they feel TCU is a better team?

I really don't get why this is so hard. In the committee's eyes, TCU is the better team. And that is all that matters to them.
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thavoice
Posts: 14,376
Dec 5, 2014 2:36pm
wildcats20;1682681 wrote:Because they feel TCU is a better team?

I really don't get why this is so hard. In the committee's eyes, TCU is the better team. And that is all that matters to them.
Just makes no fucking sense.
and if your favorite college team was in this situation you would be going nutso about it.
Heretic's avatar
Heretic
Posts: 18,820
Dec 5, 2014 2:42pm
thavoice;1682682 wrote:Just makes no fucking sense.
and if your favorite college team was in this situation you would be going nutso about it.
Definitely. But unless my favorite team was in the Big 12, there'd be no way this situation would be possible. They don't have a conference championship game. Every other conference of note does, where things would eventually get settled in early December. Big 12 essentially put themselves in the old-school AP Poll land, where they are 100% dependent on the whims of decision-makers who may or may not be legitimately deserving of making said decisions.

Pop in, say, Cinci and Boise State, have a playoff game and a situation like this won't happen. Whenever you're dependent on the opinions of people to determine your worth, it's your duty to put as many failsafes in as possible.
lhslep134's avatar
lhslep134
Posts: 9,774
Dec 5, 2014 2:44pm
thavoice;1682679 wrote:Again.
same record. Faced 9 of the same opponents. Head to head matchup. That winner needs to be ahead.
Again. Baylor didn't play anyone outside of their conference, TCU did. Again. All of these things matter. Again. Baylor's loss is worse than TCU's loss. Again. Stop typing like this.
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thavoice
Posts: 14,376
Dec 5, 2014 2:47pm
Heretic;1682684 wrote:Definitely. But unless my favorite team was in the Big 12, there'd be no way this situation would be possible. They don't have a conference championship game. Every other conference of note does, where things would eventually get settled in early December. Big 12 essentially put themselves in the old-school AP Poll land, where they are 100% dependent on the whims of decision-makers.
Very true. Their loss of teams took away the need for the conference champion.
Lets go back pre-big ten championship game days. If Michigan and OSU both finished 10-1 and were both in line for that 2 spot in the NC game...whom do you think would/should get the slot? The team who won the head to head even if teh voters thought the other team was better. That is how we settle disputes in sports between two teams. Head to head. WHen it comes down two teams, both possibly deserving of a final 4 spot, and both played nine of the same opponants..you have to go with the head to head. That is the way to do it.
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thavoice
Posts: 14,376
Dec 5, 2014 2:50pm
lhslep134;1682686 wrote:Again. Baylor didn't play anyone outside of their conference, TCU did. Again. All of these things matter. Again. Baylor's loss is worse than TCU's loss. Again. Stop typing like this.
Yeah that TCU vs Minnesota game just screams big time competition.
If you are just comparing losses between two teams who havent played one another you can look at a good vs bad loss. But when they faced eachother....the head to head trumps the whole thing.
Heretic's avatar
Heretic
Posts: 18,820
Dec 5, 2014 2:54pm
thavoice;1682690 wrote:Very true. Their loss of teams took away the need for the conference champion.
Lets go back pre-big ten championship game days. If Michigan and OSU both finished 10-1 and were both in line for that 2 spot in the NC game...whom do you think would/should get the slot? The team who won the head to head even if teh voters thought the other team was better. That is how we settle disputes in sports between two teams. Head to head. WHen it comes down two teams, both possibly deserving of a final 4 spot, and both played nine of the same opponants..you have to go with the head to head. That is the way to do it.
Well, one of the differences there is that OSU-Michigan is always the last week of the season, so it's the definitive guideline. In any sport, things just change so much from beginning to end that a narrow home win earlier in the season just doesn't hold the same power.

As another example, one of the things that annoyed me the most pre-Barrett-injury about OSU talk was how everyone focused on how the Bucks had the worst loss of any playoff contender. Because they lost to a VTech team with a freshman quarterback in his second start with a young OL where most of them were making their second starts. As the season progressed, it was clear OSU was in no way the same team that looked like clowns in September, but that loss was still broadcast as a major flaw in their resume.
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thavoice
Posts: 14,376
Dec 5, 2014 2:59pm
Heretic;1682695 wrote:Well, one of the differences there is that OSU-Michigan is always the last week of the season, so it's the definitive guideline. In any sport, things just change so much from beginning to end that a narrow home win earlier in the season just doesn't hold the same power.

As another example, one of the things that annoyed me the most pre-Barrett-injury about OSU talk was how everyone focused on how the Bucks had the worst loss of any playoff contender. Because they lost to a VTech team with a freshman quarterback in his second start with a young OL where most of them were making their second starts. As the season progressed, it was clear OSU was in no way the same team that looked like clowns in September, but that loss was still broadcast as a major flaw in their resume.
True. The thing is when comparing teams across the country with very little common opponents they will look at anything they can to try and that brings in the types of the loss. If there are nine common opponants though....it makes that head to head very important and telling and a tipping point
sleeper's avatar
sleeper
Posts: 27,879
Dec 5, 2014 3:02pm
TCU sucks. I bet they lose by 40 to whoever the play in the CFP. Ohio State would blow them out of the water with our 3rd string QB.