WebFire;1348479 wrote:I would say it's at least fair enough to say that most of the shooters in these types of scenarios have experience with guns. It doesn't take much skill to do what the assailant did here.
I'd say the video suggests otherwise. One of the students tested had "hundreds of hours" using a firearm, and he still had trouble. That would, it seems, indicate a difference between "experience" with guns and police or military training.
WebFire;1348479 wrote:Point is that you have to be able to do this quick. He may not come at you first, but he also may. And as soon he sees you pulling out a weapon, you can bet your ass he's shooting at you.
Assuming he's ready for someone in the room to HAVE a weapon. I'm perhaps not as convinced as you seem to be that a gunman is going to know the facts surrounding each classroom. As I said before, even with rules as they exist today, I know of at least one person who was a teacher and always had a firearm on their person. If you walked into a classroom, I sincerely doubt you're watching to see who reaches for a weapon.
WebFire;1348479 wrote:Advantage: bad guy. Why? He knows what's going on, he planned it. He has the anticipation. The concealed carrier is completely surprised. Two totally different mindsets there.
Did you watch the entire clip? The example later was that even when she knew what was coming in the video, she still had a slow reaction time, based on those physiological changes. The video you posted would suggest that the shooter would likely be experiencing the same physiological functions related to adrenaline and blood flow.
WebFire;1348479 wrote:I'd say it's fair and pretty accurately represents the reactions of people in these situations.
As I stated:
1. Real gunman will not usually have police or military training, making them equally susceptible to the decreased motor skills and coordination associated with increased blood flow away from the extremities. The example here had a police-trained professional acting as the gunman, avoiding these. Flawed comparison.
2. The real gunman will not necessarily know to look for a gun, let alone where. The example here showed that he did. Flawed comparison.
3. Even if the first classroom was to play out much in this way, which is unlikely, the ability for other teachers to then be aware of the situation and be more prepared with weapons drawn increases their chance of success, particularly given that the biggest problem students seemed to have was to draw the weapon in the first place. Insufficient test.
The test accurately depicted a college student with a firearm in a classroom and an assailant who (a) knew it was a test, (b) had police training, (c) knew what student had the weapon, and (d) knew that the event was over with that room alone.
None of those four things, I'd suggest, are inevitabilities for an actual gunman, and I'd say only one is even possible in most cases (the training one).
WebFire;1348479 wrote:They may not quite have the element of surprise, but I still think you overestimate average Joe's ability to react and think clearly in these situations.
Not at all. I simply think you overestimate the gunman's ability to react and think clearly. Unless he has military or police training, I wouldn't put money on a gunman against five different armed teachers. Maybe one-to-one, the element of surprise is still fully there, but I like the odds with five armed teachers/administrators to prevent him from making his way through the school unopposed before turning the gun on himself.
Needless to say, I still think the first option should be to flee if possible, but if that's not an option, I don't think sitting in the corner away from the view of the door and hoping he doesn't just shoot his way in is a safer option.
WebFire;1348479 wrote:Of course they won't be trained to the level of police. I don't believe I ever said they should. But you don't agree they should have some level of training greater than the regular CHL? If not, go take the CHL class and then let me know.
I agree that it might not necessarily be the exact same, but having a class that is similar in cost and time commitment once every couple months ... I'd imagine there are police forces adept enough to make that as viable an option as there can be.
WebFire;1348479 wrote:This really is the only argument that I think is a decent one. However, I really think the carrier gets shot dead an the shooter continues. Maybe not every time, but the odds are stacked against him.
I could see giving the gunman the better odds in a one-to-one, but you really think a gunman is going to win out more times than not if faced with five different armed school personnel, none of whom he knows are carrying ahead of time?
I still think you're overestimating the aptitude of most gunmen.
WebFire;1348479 wrote:Also, I'd like to see these numbers you speak of.
I was referring to the number of instances in which a violent crime being committed was stopped by someone with a CCW. A quick Google search will give story after story after story about how someone with a CCW stopped an assailant.
Awhile back, I even read an FBI report (which I'm now trying to find, so don't take my word for this yet) that said 1 in 10 mass shootings during a particular time frame was ended by a CCW holder.
Now, perhaps it would be more convincing if it was 6 out of 10 or so, but remember, a lot of such mass shootings (almost all, as I recall) have taken place where firearms are not permitted.