Six undefeated teams remain in FBS. How many will be undefeated following conference-championship Saturday?

Alabama:
@ LSU
vs Texas A&M
vs Western Carolina
vs Auburn
SEC championship game

Kansas State:
vs Oklahoma State
@ TCU
@ Baylor
vs Texas

Oregon:
@ USC
@ Cal
vs Stanford
@ Oregon State
Pac 12 championship game

Notre Dame
vs Pitt
@ Boston College
vs Wake Forest
@ USC

Ohio State
vs Illinois
@ Wisconsin
vs Michigan

Louisville
vs Temple
@ Syracuse
vs UConn
@ Rutgers

I don't think anymore than 1-2 teams will end up undefeated. History repeats itself. With teams losing, and fans buying into a dream that their teams ALWAYS beat the teams they are favored to beat. I love the ignorance when every year we are reminded that this is real life and not a computer game where things don't always happen the way the are "supposed" to happen.

OSU, Alabama, Notre Dame, KSU, and Oregon all go undefeated. Book it.

sleeper;1306363 wrote:OSU, Alabama, Notre Dame, KSU, and Oregon all go undefeated. Book it.

I actually think of all those teams, Louisville and Notre Dame are most likely to go unbeaten. Followed by Oregon, Alabama, K-State and Ohio state. Notre Dame basically has a trip to LA for an unbeaten season. Louisville, outside of Syracuse, who has really had their number, just doesn't play anyone.

Alabama, despite having to play LSU, Texas A&M and Georgia (SEC-CG), may just be that much better than the rest.

Oregon, while clearly the best in the Pac 12, still has USC, Stanford, Oregon State and the winner of UCLA/USC.

Ohio State is just unpredictable. I see them losing in Madison, but if they win that, the Bucks win out.

Kansas State, while arguably the most impressive run thus far, has the greatest chance of losing. I can actually see them losing next week against OSU and they still have 3 other games left after that, 2 of the 3 (TCU and Texas) are capable of beating them.

I voted 4 to go unbeaten, but OSU and Louisville, despite that, aren't in the national title discussion. So it will work out most likely with 2 unbeaten teams playing for a title.

November usually leads to many more upsets and chaos. I fully expect that to happen.
I think all the teams slip up somewhere.
Bama is great, but I can see them losing somewhere.
Oregon may lose to USC, doubt it, or the civil war, which is more likely.
KState will probably slip up on the road.
And ND may lose to USC late.

OSU may drop to Wisconsin and L'ville in the odd Big East will drop one that makes no sense.

Ohio State, Kansas State & Alabama.

I think the likelihood that they'll finish undefeated is:

1- Oregon
2- Alabama

3- Kansas State

4- Louisville

5- Ohio State
6- Notre Dame

I think Alabama and Oregon will go undefeated for sure. Kansas State may, but don't be surprised if one of TCU, Baylor, and Texas plays well and knocks them off.

Is Denard out for the season? If he is back against Ohio State, then Michigan and Wisconsin could both be losses.

Notre Dame will have its hands full and then some against Lee, Woods, and Barkley. Unlike against Oklahoma, it's suicidal to play 9 yards off WRs.

Louisville plays in the Big East. Fuck em even if they're 12-0.

ccrunner609;1306866 wrote:It doesnt matter if Bama has one loss, they will still play in the CG over any of those undefeated teams....why......cause this thing is rigged.

Other years, I'd agree. Not this year.

The Big XII and the Pac 12 are the 2nd and 3rd strongest leagues, and it's not close. They both would get the nod if Kansas State and Oregon were the sole unbeaten teams. Then, you throw a possible Notre Dame team in there who played an above average schedule?

Alabama, IMO, is the best team. However, this is NOT the year to slip up and hope you can rally into the BCS Title game. Not if there are 2-3 other unbeaten teams.

'Bama, Oregon, Notre Dame and Kansas State all will go undefeated and they will start the +1 game this year.

/Wishful thinker.

3

Bama
ND
tOSU

Ohio.


Oh wait.

Alabama for sure, because they don't play anybody.

I shamelessly stole this from another forum, but here's the BCS era and the teams who were undefeated at the end of October compared to at season's end. As you can see, there's always plenty of contenders on Halloween but most of them get unmasked by Thanksgiving.

1998: Ohio State, UCLA, Tennessee, Kansas State -- Final poll (pre bowl game): only Tennessee was undefeated.
1999: Florida State, Penn State, Virginia Tech -- FSU, VT.
2000: Oklahoma, Virginia Tech -- Oklahoma
2001: Miami, Nebraska -- Miami
2002: Miami, Oklahoma, Virginia Tech, Notre Dame, Georgia, Ohio State -- Miami, OSU
2003: Oklahoma, Miami -- No undefeated teams
2004: USC, Oklahoma, Auburn -- all three went undefeated
2005: USC, Texas, Virginia Tech, Alabama -- USC, Texas
2006: Ohio State, Michigan, West Virginia, Louisville -- OSU
2007: Ohio State, Boston College, Arizona State, Kansas -- No undefeated teams.
2008: Texas, Alabama, Penn State, Texas Tech -- No undefeated teams
2009: Florida, Alabama, Texas, Cincinnati, Iowa -- Alabama, Texas, Cincinnati
2010: Oregon, Auburn -- Oregon, Auburn
2011: LSU, Alabama, Oklahoma State, Stanford -- LSU

Interestingly, 11 of the unbeaten teams at the end of October in the BCS era were from the Big XII. Without looking back through exactly, I'd say at least half of those lost in either the Big XII title game or to another team in-conference.

Good news for the Big XII (and Kansas State) is that it doesn't exist anymore. Add to that, 5 of those teams listed above are in the Pac 12. There was never a Pac 12 title game, but now there is.

Azubuike24;1307607 wrote:Interestingly, 11 of the unbeaten teams at the end of October in the BCS era were from the Big XII. Without looking back through exactly, I'd say at least half of those lost in either the Big XII title game or to another team in-conference.

Good news for the Big XII (and Kansas State) is that it doesn't exist anymore. Add to that, 5 of those teams listed above are in the Pac 12. There was never a Pac 12 title game, but now there is.

No, it's probably ALL of them. I don't think Big 12 teams play out-of-conference in November. Not a lot of teams do.

That isn't what I was referring to.

For instance, 2008. Texas lost at Texas Tech. Texas Tech then lost at Oklahoma. Neither were Big XII title game losers, costing them a trip to the title game.

• Chances there are still six undefeated FBS teams on December 2 (after conference title games): 0.06% (or 1-in-1718)
• Chances Alabama, Notre Dame, Kansas State and Oregon are undefeated on December 2: 1.22% (or 1-in-82)
• Chances Notre Dame, Kansas State and Oregon are undefeated on December 2: 2.23% (or 1-in-45)
• Chances Oregon is undefeated and Kansas State and Notre Dame are not on December 2: 8.79% (or 1-in-11)
• Chances Notre Dame is undefeated and Kansas State and Oregon are not on December 2: 22.96% (or 1-in-4)
• Chances Kansas State is undefeated and Oregon and Notre Dame are not on December 2: 13.31% (or 1-in-8)
• Chances that Louisville is the only undefeated FBS (BCS eligible) team on December 2: 2.62% (or 1-in-38)
• Chances that Alabama is the only undefeated FBS (BCS eligible) team on December 2: 15.83% (or 1-in-6)
• Chances that both Alabama and Oregon lose in their respective conference championship games: 4.28% (or 1-in-23)
• Chances that no FBS team is undefeated on December 2: 9.35% (or 1-in-11)
• Chances that Alabama, Oregon, Notre Dame and Kansas State all have at least one loss on December 2: 15.75% (or 1-in-6)

http://www.predictionmachine.com/BCS-scenarios-10-30-2012