NCAA Tournament Spreads, Pools, Gambling Discussion Thread

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Azubuike24's avatar

Azubuike24

Senior Member

15,933 posts
Mar 11, 2012 10:06 PM
Just browsing some first round spreads and a few surprised me. Based on opening lines...

Iowa State -1.5 over Connecticut (not a lot of respect to UConn)
Murray State -2.5 over Colorado State (I think Murray is a bit undervalued here)
Xavier +3 vs Notre Dame (Hard to go against X getting 3)
Belmont +7 vs Georgetown (Not liking G-Town having to win by that margin)
St. Mary's +1 vs Purdue (Definitely like SMC here)

Other thoughts?

If people have pools they are doing I figured they can post them here too.
Mar 11, 2012 10:06pm
Mulva's avatar

Mulva

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13,650 posts
Mar 11, 2012 10:12 PM
I completely agree on Murray State and St. Mary's. I don't actually think the Racers are that good, but Colorado State is brutal away from home.

I like Iona at +2 in the play-in against BYU, and Cal -3 over South Florida.

I'm seeing UConn at -2 over Iowa State and Georgetown only -3 over Belmont (Bookmaker and Legends). Not sure whether the lines have already changed that quickly.
Mar 11, 2012 10:12pm
Azubuike24's avatar

Azubuike24

Senior Member

15,933 posts
Mar 11, 2012 10:26 PM
That was the first line I saw on ISU. We'll see what comes out tomorrow...it doesn't look right just based on the numbers.
Mar 11, 2012 10:26pm
M

Manhattan Buckeye

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7,566 posts
Mar 12, 2012 1:47 PM
Has Notre Dame done anything in the tournament for years? I'm surprised Xavier isn't favored.
Mar 12, 2012 1:47pm
reclegend22's avatar

reclegend22

Cool Hand Luke

8,772 posts
Mar 12, 2012 2:07 PM
Manhattan Buckeye;1113721 wrote:Has Notre Dame done anything in the tournament for years? I'm surprised Xavier isn't favored.
I think Derwin Kitchen of Florida State is still hitting jump shots on Notre Dame. The Seminoles are up by like 13,000 now.

To answer your question, though, 2003 was the last time Notre Dame played into the second week of the NCAAs.
Mar 12, 2012 2:07pm
Cleveland Buck's avatar

Cleveland Buck

Troll Hunter

5,126 posts
Mar 12, 2012 3:01 PM
gorocks99;1113719 wrote:Kenpom.com has his log5 analysis up, for those interested: http://kenpom.com/blog/index.php/weblog/ncaa_tourney_log5/
1. Kentucky 19.5% 1 in 5
2. Ohio State 18.7% 1 in 5
3. Michigan State 12.2% 1 in 8
4. North Carolina 9.3% 1 in 11
5. Kansas 8.6% 1 in 12
6. Missouri 5.2% 1 in 19
7. Syracuse 4.3% 1 in 23
8. Wisconsin 4.0% 1 in 25
9. Wichita State 2.5% 1 in 40
10. Indiana 1.7% 1 in 60
Mar 12, 2012 3:01pm
gorocks99's avatar

gorocks99

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10,760 posts
Mar 12, 2012 3:37 PM
It's interesting that Memphis has the third best odds of winning out of the West, while Belmont (the computers love the Bruins) are 5th best in the Midwest. Struggling on picking the Bruins over G'town though .. got burned on them last year when I picked them over Wisconsin.
Mar 12, 2012 3:37pm
Iliketurtles's avatar

Iliketurtles

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8,191 posts
Mar 12, 2012 7:20 PM
Belmont is down to a +4 already lol. Xavier is down to a +2.5 as well.

I put a lot of money on Murray State at -4 and Creighton at +1.5 I also put some money on the playin games and FSU at -7 and Loyola Maryland at +17.5. Also got 5 bucks on Murray State and Florida State to win it all just cause I really liked their odds.
Mar 12, 2012 7:20pm
Mulva's avatar

Mulva

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13,650 posts
Mar 12, 2012 7:51 PM
gorocks99;1113802 wrote:Struggling on picking the Bruins over G'town though .. got burned on them last year when I picked them over Wisconsin.
That's maybe the toughest pick for me, because I think Belmont is better than San Diego State/NC State. It's either knock them out in round 1, or seriously consider putting them all the way into the elite 8.
Mar 12, 2012 7:51pm
K

khujo

Senior Member

111 posts
Mar 13, 2012 2:35 PM
Iliketurtles;1114027 wrote:Belmont is down to a +4 already lol. Xavier is down to a +2.5 as well.

I put a lot of money on Murray State at -4 and Creighton at +1.5 I also put some money on the playin games and FSU at -7 and Loyola Maryland at +17.5. Also got 5 bucks on Murray State and Florida State to win it all just cause I really liked their odds.
Did you put these in online? If so what site and how are you depositing?

I've been having a hell of a time trying to get deposits to go through on the 2 sites I normally use. Trying to make me do some run around process with a 3rd party that costs like 20% of my deposit.
Mar 13, 2012 2:35pm
killer_ewok's avatar

killer_ewok

iRep

11,379 posts
Mar 13, 2012 2:55 PM
Cleveland Buck;1113773 wrote:1. Kentucky 19.5% 1 in 5
2. Ohio State 18.7% 1 in 5
3. Michigan State 12.2% 1 in 8
4. North Carolina 9.3% 1 in 11
5. Kansas 8.6% 1 in 12
6. Missouri 5.2% 1 in 19
7. Syracuse 4.3% 1 in 23
8. Wisconsin 4.0% 1 in 25
9. Wichita State 2.5% 1 in 40
10. Indiana 1.7% 1 in 60

Syracuse's chances just got a lot worse.
Mar 13, 2012 2:55pm
bases_loaded's avatar

bases_loaded

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6,912 posts
Mar 15, 2012 10:00 AM
khujo;1114852 wrote:Did you put these in online? If so what site and how are you depositing?

I've been having a hell of a time trying to get deposits to go through on the 2 sites I normally use. Trying to make me do some run around process with a 3rd party that costs like 20% of my deposit.
betus.com pm me your email and ill get you a deposit bonus
Mar 15, 2012 10:00am
Laley23's avatar

Laley23

GOAT

29,506 posts
Mar 15, 2012 10:09 AM
Im thinking about putting some serious money on Detroit vs Kansas. Detroit is +14.5 and it has already falled from +15.5. Wanna get it in before its down to like +12!
Mar 15, 2012 10:09am
Wooball's avatar

Wooball

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1,325 posts
Mar 15, 2012 10:37 AM
Syracuse at just -15 for their opener against UNC Ashville? I know Melo is out, but shouldn't they still roll in this first game?
Mar 15, 2012 10:37am
bases_loaded's avatar

bases_loaded

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6,912 posts
Mar 16, 2012 8:07 AM
Went 5-1-1 yesterday....not really sure where to go today though.
Mar 16, 2012 8:07am
Laley23's avatar

Laley23

GOAT

29,506 posts
Mar 16, 2012 10:34 AM
Ended up taking Detroit +13.5
Mar 16, 2012 10:34am
Azubuike24's avatar

Azubuike24

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15,933 posts
Mar 17, 2012 1:24 AM
Liking the underdogs tomorrow...a lot.

K-State +5
Gonzaga +8
Murray State +6
VCU +6
New Mexico +1
Mar 17, 2012 1:24am
Mulva's avatar

Mulva

Senior Member

13,650 posts
Mar 17, 2012 1:32 AM
I'm not really confident about any of the spreads tomorrow. I'd lean towards VCU at +6, but nowhere near confident enough to place a bet on it. I like the under 140 for UK - ISU a little bit too.
Mar 17, 2012 1:32am
B

Big Gain

Senior Member

2,073 posts
Mar 17, 2012 1:54 AM
ytownfootball;1113797 wrote:Yeah saw that UK is at 5-2 and Ohio State is at 6-1. The Vegas love for Ohio State really surprised me.

http://content.usatoday.com/communities/campusrivalry/post/2012/03/kentucky-ncaa-title-jeff-sagarin-simulation/1#.T15UDnmwctB
Sagarin's computer analysis after 64,000,000 permutations turns out to mirror the Vegas line. Kentucky 5-1 Ohio State 6-1.
Mar 17, 2012 1:54am
DeyDurkie5's avatar

DeyDurkie5

Senior Member

11,324 posts
Mar 17, 2012 2:06 AM
I took michigan state to win the whole thing at 60-1 a couple months back. I'm loving it.
Mar 17, 2012 2:06am
Iliketurtles's avatar

Iliketurtles

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8,191 posts
Mar 17, 2012 10:40 AM
I had a huge weekend I'm up about 200 already lol.

I put 30 on KSU over cuse straight up and 50 on Murray State straight up. Then I put 10 bucks on a lot of the overs for todays games(anyone else feel like the O/U are low for todays games). I also put 20 on Murray State at +6 and 20 on KSU +5. Hoping for another huge day today haha.

Durkie that would be fucking sweet if you won how much did you put on it?
Mar 17, 2012 10:40am
ts1227's avatar

ts1227

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12,319 posts
Mar 17, 2012 11:02 AM
USF opens as a 4 point favorite on Ohio
Under 114, no fucking way.
Mar 17, 2012 11:02am
Iliketurtles's avatar

Iliketurtles

Senior Member

8,191 posts
Mar 17, 2012 12:33 PM
ts1227;1119365 wrote:USF opens as a 4 point favorite on Ohio
Under 114, no fucking way.
LOL I just put 50 on the over. I put 25 on Ohio straight up and 25 on them at +4.
Mar 17, 2012 12:33pm