bigkahuna;730543 wrote:It probably could, but it depends on the set up of games. If the 1st and/or second round/s of the tournament were to be held on campus, then I could see them agreeing to it. Take Michigan for example, who USUALLY has 8 home games/year. Cut that back to 7 with the chance of having a grand total of 9(from the playoffs), and they'd actually be gaining a game from the current format which means an extra $6 million just from tickets (assuming $60/ticket). Now, the only question is, Would top ranked schools be making More or Less from playoff games on site compared to payouts for Bowl Games?
I truly think that money would play a huge factor depending on the set up of the playoff system. Are they played on campus? Are they played in existing bowl games? If so, do they still get the bowl game pay out? Will the other schools still be able to go to bowl games? What about their pay out?
The Big Ten sent what 8 teams to last year? How much money did the conference make on those payouts? Would the conference had made as much money if OSU/Wisconsin were in a playoff and the other 6 went to bowl games?
Money is an issue depending on the set up of the mythical 8 team playoff.
Four teams getting an extra home game every year wouldn't make up for the fact that 116 teams would lose at least one home game every other year. Also, ticket prices would be the same at all four sites because it would be postseason play, so the NCAA would set the face value of the tickets. Ticket sales wouldn't matter much as far as what the home team would make (they would only get a portion of the gate). Operating expenses for the game would come out of the gate, but every team would get paid the same amount for making it into the playoff and playing in the first round whether they are hosting or not. The host school would really only make additional money from parking and concessions.
Let's also look at the top four teams in the BCS at the end of last season who would have hosted first round games. Auburn: 87,500 seats, Oregon: 54,000 seats, TCU: 44,000 seats, 50,000. There's a substantial difference between Jordan-Hare Stadium in Auburn and Amon Carter Stadium at TCU. If there were ever a year where OSU and Boise State both finished in the top four there would be a difference of nearly 70,000 seat difference. This is one of the biggest reasons having the higher seed host an opening round game would be problematic.
This last year the Big Ten made $35,800,000 in bowl revenue. When that gets divided among the 11 teams that's a payout of $3,254,545 per school. If we had a playoff the current bowl system would remain in place much like the NIT. If the current BCS bowls were used on a rotating basis as hosts for playoff games they would still need to make as much money as they did as traditional bowl games. Then playoff plus other bowls would also need to guarantee conferences as much (really they would need to guarantee more) money as they make now. A playoff will only happen if it's created as a joint venture between the bowls and the schools. It's theoretically possible that the bowls could still end up offering more money than a playoff, making some conferences decide not to participate in a playoff because they would lose money.
The other problem with an eight team playoff is deciding who gets in. Currently six conference are guaranteed births in BCS bowls. You would either need to give those six conference champions automatic births into the playoff (allowing for only two at-large teams) or you would need to guarantee those six conference the same money even if they didn't put a team in the playoff (that would have meant paying the Big East and ACC $18 million this past year without a team in the playoffs). Even though a majority of the schools playing D-1A football are in BCS conferences, the other five conferences would never agree to an 8-team playoff where six of the spots were guaranteed automatic births, and the six BCS conference wouldn't agree to an eight team playoff without their champions getting in automatically. Automatic bids into BCS bowls aren't a big deal now because that's how all bowl participants are decided (conference tie-ins). The national championship game on the other hand has no such qualifications. The top two teams in the final BCS rankings, whether they are from a BCS conference or whether or not they won their conference. You can't give automatic births into a playoff for conference champions unless all 11 conference champs get in.
These are just some of the issues that most don't think about when they say that a playoff would make more money or when they think that going from the BCS to a playoff would be an easy transition. People who think that are either ignorant of the issues involved, or they choose to be uninformed of all the factors. Some quick online research and common sense goes a long way.