Tunisia, Egypt, Libya, Bahrain and revolution in MENA

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Al Bundy

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4,180 posts
Jan 31, 2011 2:04 PM
I Wear Pants;659180 wrote:Neither the Bush or Obama administrations have ever really touched on the civilian casualty counts or the refugees created by these wars. Probably because we wouldn't like what we'd be hearing.
It would be horrible PR, but the other problem is that no one really has an accurate count. I have seen numbers listed all over the place for civilian casualty counts and refugees.
Jan 31, 2011 2:04pm
I

I Wear Pants

Senior Member

16,223 posts
Jan 31, 2011 2:05 PM
Yeah, but even the low end numbers are disgusting.
Jan 31, 2011 2:05pm
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O-Trap

Chief Shenanigans Officer

14,994 posts
Jan 31, 2011 2:08 PM
I Wear Pants;659194 wrote:Yeah, but even the low end numbers are disgusting.

Yep, but if you keep it out of the public eye, you avoid scrutiny over it.

When the news is saying, "omg lindsey lohan is in rehab again! lolol" instead, that's what people talk about and formulate opinions on.

Red herring to a 'T'.
Jan 31, 2011 2:08pm
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dwccrew

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7,817 posts
Feb 1, 2011 1:35 AM
believer;658769 wrote:First, back-up the "million deaths" figure. One death is too much so that's not my point. But a million deaths? Really? You can do better than that.

Second, realpolitik says that turning our backs on long-time ally yet acknowledged dictator Mubarack because it's now politically correct to empathize with the protesters will show weakness in American foreign policy. Can we be counted on to back-up our allies even if they flounder? By doing so are we doomed to create another Iran situation?

This is not a black & white pick & choose issue. Frankly we're in a damned if we do, damned if we don't scenario. That's hardly a "good thing."
IMO if we do not support the people of Egypt, it makes us hypocrits. We want the people of this region to have democracy, this is democracy. The people want change in leadership and they want it now. If we support an unpopular leader that the majority want to get rid of, it makes us look like we only want democracy in the form of a government that we have major influence on. That may not be how it is with Mubarak, but that is how it will be perceived.

On the other hand, if we support the people of Egypt, it will not make us look weak. It'll make us look genuinely supportive of the democractic process.
O-Trap;658894 wrote:Problem is, most governments that rise to power are seen as extremists by some.

Bingo!
O-Trap;659201 wrote:Yep, but if you keep it out of the public eye, you avoid scrutiny over it.

When the news is saying, "omg lindsey lohan is in rehab again! lolol" instead, that's what people talk about and formulate opinions on.

Red herring to a 'T'.

Yeah, but I needs my Lindsay Lohan updates regularly.
Feb 1, 2011 1:35am
FatHobbit's avatar

FatHobbit

Senior Member

8,651 posts
Feb 1, 2011 9:32 AM
dwccrew;660201 wrote:IMO if we do not support the people of Egypt, it makes us hypocrits. We want the people of this region to have democracy, this is democracy. The people want change in leadership and they want it now. If we support an unpopular leader that the majority want to get rid of, it makes us look like we only want democracy in the form of a government that we have major influence on. That may not be how it is with Mubarak, but that is how it will be perceived.

On the other hand, if we support the people of Egypt, it will not make us look weak. It'll make us look genuinely supportive of the democractic process.

I agree. Do we support democracy or only governments that benefit us?
Feb 1, 2011 9:32am
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CenterBHSFan

333 - I'm only half evil

6,115 posts
Feb 1, 2011 10:04 AM
FatHobbit;660368 wrote:I agree. Do we support democracy or only governments that benefit us?
Don't they co-mingle?
Feb 1, 2011 10:04am
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O-Trap

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14,994 posts
Feb 1, 2011 10:21 AM
dwccrew;660201 wrote:Bingo!

I'm willing to bet the Brits would have seen us as "extremist" rebels when we broke the colonies off.
Feb 1, 2011 10:21am
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dwccrew

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7,817 posts
Feb 1, 2011 10:43 AM
O-Trap;660438 wrote:I'm willing to bet the Brits would have seen us as "extremist" rebels when we broke the colonies off.

Terrorists even.....GASP!
Feb 1, 2011 10:43am
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O-Trap

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14,994 posts
Feb 1, 2011 11:14 AM
dwccrew;660451 wrote:Terrorists even.....GASP!

Given the guerrilla style of combat we were using ... compared to their old-order form.
Feb 1, 2011 11:14am
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believer

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8,153 posts
Feb 1, 2011 11:22 AM
O-Trap;660489 wrote:Given the guerrilla style of combat we were using ... compared to their old-order form.
Yeah but that's coming from a country that also gave us the Beatles. :p
Feb 1, 2011 11:22am
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O-Trap

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14,994 posts
Feb 1, 2011 11:31 AM
believer;660497 wrote:Yeah but that's coming from a country that also gave us the Beatles. :p

They also gave us some kick-ass beer, though.
Feb 1, 2011 11:31am
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FatHobbit

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8,651 posts
Feb 1, 2011 11:31 AM
CenterBHSFan;660411 wrote:Don't they co-mingle?

I think there can be democratic governments that aren't friendly towards the US. So my question is which do we support more, democracy or friendly governments?
Feb 1, 2011 11:31am
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O-Trap

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Feb 1, 2011 11:36 AM
FatHobbit;660508 wrote:I think there can be democratic governments that aren't friendly towards the US. So my question is which do we support more, democracy or friendly governments?

I go with democracy.

"Friendly" can change, and rather quickly.

Just make sure you carry a big, f---ing stick, so that even if they aren't "friendly," they play nicely in the sandbox.
Feb 1, 2011 11:36am
C

Con_Alma

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12,198 posts
Feb 1, 2011 11:38 AM
FatHobbit;660508 wrote:I think there can be democratic governments that aren't friendly towards the US. So my question is which do we support more, democracy or friendly governments?

Democracy...with out hesitation.
Feb 1, 2011 11:38am
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believer

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8,153 posts
Feb 1, 2011 11:46 AM
O-Trap;660514 wrote:Just make sure you carry a big, f---ing stick, so that even if they aren't "friendly," they play nicely in the sandbox.
U.S. foreign policy defined!
Feb 1, 2011 11:46am
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FatHobbit

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8,651 posts
Feb 1, 2011 11:47 AM
I agree that its more important that they have a democratic government, but I'm not so sure that's the US position. (It might be the official position.) I wonder if the US would be supportive if they voted in an islamic government? I think a lot of times our official position is in support of democracy and people's rights, but we really care about is how does it affect our interests.
Feb 1, 2011 11:47am
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believer

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Feb 1, 2011 11:49 AM
FatHobbit;660525 wrote:I agree that its more important that they have a democratic government, but I'm not so sure that's the US position. (It might be the official position.) I wonder if the US would be supportive if they voted in an islamic government? I think a lot of times our official position is in support of democracy and people's rights, but we really care about is how does it affect our interests.
U.S. foreign policy re-defined.
Feb 1, 2011 11:49am
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Con_Alma

Senior Member

12,198 posts
Feb 1, 2011 11:50 AM
FatHobbit;660525 wrote:... I think a lot of times our official position is in support of democracy and people's rights, but we really care about is how does it affect our interests.
It should be both. I would be concerned if it wasn't.
Feb 1, 2011 11:50am
believer's avatar

believer

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8,153 posts
Feb 1, 2011 12:50 PM
As a student of history, I also know civilization's debt to Islam.
- Barrack Hussein Obama speech to the Egyptians June 2009
Feb 1, 2011 12:50pm
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O-Trap

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14,994 posts
Feb 1, 2011 1:01 PM
Con_Alma;660531 wrote:It should be both. I would be concerned if it wasn't.

I think this depends.

If it is an issue of them deciding to restructure how they use their own private resources, and it doesn't play into US interest, I don't think the US has any business trying to muscle their way through.

If it has to do with the other country harboring hostility toward the US, then I would say it matters. Still shouldn't try to force the issue, but we should be watching them with guns drawn.
Feb 1, 2011 1:01pm
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majorspark

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5,122 posts
Feb 1, 2011 1:15 PM
We need to be concerned because the Egyptian military has a lot of our modern weapons, including about 1,000 A1M1 Abrams tanks. These toys and many others have been used to keep Mubarak in line, in power, and protect the Suez Canal and keep it open to international shipping.
Feb 1, 2011 1:15pm
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believer

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8,153 posts
Feb 1, 2011 1:18 PM
majorspark;660630 wrote:We need to be concerned because the Egyptian military has a lot of our modern weapons, including about 1,000 A1M1 Abrams tanks. These toys and many others have been used to keep Mubarak in line, in power, and protect the Suez Canal and keep it open to international shipping.
You can be certain the Israelis are concerned.
Feb 1, 2011 1:18pm
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Con_Alma

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12,198 posts
Feb 1, 2011 1:30 PM
majorspark;660630 wrote:... These toys and many others have been used to keep Mubarak in line, in power, and protect the Suez Canal and keep it open to international shipping.
This is of critical international importance.
Feb 1, 2011 1:30pm
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Manhattan Buckeye

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7,566 posts
Feb 1, 2011 1:32 PM
It isn't just the Israelis that are concerned, the Euros are a bit less bullish about this than the U.S. This isn't guaranteed to end well. Hopefully it will, but this isn't some sort of slam dunk of a move towards a liberal democracy...it is a regime change that may or may not advance civil rights values.
Feb 1, 2011 1:32pm