FatHobbit;1787014 wrote:What happens to the delegates of the people who quit? Do they just go into limbo?
majorspark;1787023 wrote:Only if a candidate wins a majority. In a contested convention they can be persuaded to vote as they will.
HitsRus;1787029 wrote:...I think they are committed on the first ballot to vote for whoever they were elected to vote for.
majorspark;1787034 wrote:Yes after the first round. If its contested the first round is nothing more than a formality.
This exchange needs clarification. This scenario has not occurred since I became of voting age. Since it is a now realistic possibility I took the time to dive in a little further. I listened to commentary, as well as read up on the subject. From my understanding Hits and I were both close but not quite accurate. Here is how I understand it after further review.
If no candidate reaches a majority in the delegate count at the convention the first ballot is "contested". It is not a formality if one candidate is close to the majority. Some states as a default allocate unbound delegates. As to Fathobbits question to what happens to delegates committed to candidates that drop out well it depends on the state. Some states delegates are automatically unbound. But keep in mind this language of "suspending" a campaign as opposed to I am no longer officially candidate likely has legal bearing on that.
It would be difficult to attempt to calculate the number of unbound delegates available (given varying state rules) going into a contested convention. I will say this there will be enough of them that a candidate reasonably close to a majority would be easily in the realm of possibility to win the nomination by winning them over on the first ballot.
If no candidate receives a majority after the first ballot the majority become unbound. The convention then becomes "brokered". Given state rules more delegates will become unbound after a given number of ballots. Given the current mood of the republican voters vs the "establishment" this is where the sinister horse trading is likely to occur.
http://www.cnn.com/2016/03/16/politics/contested-convention-how-it-works-questions/index.html
Brokered conventions have produced winning presidential candidates in republican history including Lincoln. I will say this delegates have to realize we are in the 21st century. The access to information to the average voter is just a mouse click away.
http://thefederalist.com/2016/03/10/brokered-gop-conventions-often-produce-a-winning-president/