posted by Heretic
That's weird. Figured the Reds would have the better chance to get #1 since the Pirates won the season series and, therefore, should be considered the better team in the standings.
That is what I was thinking also. If they would have tied for 2nd and 3rd instead of 3rd and 4th, it wouldn't have mattered as 2nd and 3rd worst records have the same odds as the worst, but 4th drops about 3 percentage points.