Liberty Republican Nick Freitas wins a seat in the house from VA.

I took a look at the map for the first time in a bit and PA was red, but immediately flipped back to blue. Trump made up a huge early deficit, which wasn't too surprising.

Most of these races are useless h til the main counties report. Wayne Co in MI hasn’t reported yet, so why even look at MI lol?

posted by justincredible

I took a look at the map for the first time in a bit and PA was red, but immediately flipped back to blue. Trump made up a huge early deficit, which wasn't too surprising.

That's crazy.   But they've said they probably won't finish counting the mail-in ballots until Friday.  So while reports of a big turnout today for Trump seem to be true, I'm not sure anything has changed from what we expected even a few days ago.

PA just seemed like one of the states that might be an outlier AGAINST Trump.  OH didn't make a lot of sense to me, either, but couldn't really understand the disconnect with MN, WI and MI vs. OH and PA.

posted by Laley23

Most of these races are useless h til the main counties report. Wayne Co in MI hasn’t reported yet, so why even look at MI lol?

It's just like a sporting event where it goes back and forth with the score.  LOL.

posted by Laley23

Most of these races are useless h til the main counties report. Wayne Co in MI hasn’t reported yet, so why even look at MI lol?

I'm just tracking progress as the night goes on. I know this is all meaningless this early.

Looks like AZ will end up legalizing.

NC just flipped red for the first time in a while. Pretty much dead even, though. Less than 3,000 votes make the difference.

Never mind, he's up by close to 30k votes in NC now.

Philly just said they've counted only 70k of 350k mail-in ballots received.

Best case scenario that's +200k votes for Biden.  I was under the impression PA could have 2M ballots uncounted tonight.  200k votes from Philly probably won't get it done.

posted by iclfan2

Lol Dems spent almost $100M to still get smoked by cocaine Mitch in Kentucky. How does that make sense to spend money like that?

Being in the Tri state area with the local tv stations.....the commercial were insane. Nearly every commercial break she was plastered all over the tv  Not sure how the dems thought she was going to win Kentucky

posted by Ironman92

Being in the Tri state area with the local tv stations.....the commercial were insane. Nearly every commercial break she was plastered all over the tv  Not sure how the dems thought she was going to win Kentucky

They did the same thing in SC with Graham and Harrison. And also lost. What a waste of $200m. I hate our government  elections 

It’s down to 4 states: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Arizona. Biden has to win 3 of those and not lose any states that Hilary won in ‘16. 

posted by iclfan2

They did the same thing in SC with Graham and Harrison. And also lost. What a waste of $200m. I hate our government  elections

Really looking like a complete re-run of 2016.  It's uncanny.  Biden could take MN, WI, MI and PA and still lose.  That's how this is shaping up.

posted by wildcats20

It’s down to 4 states: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Arizona. Biden has to win 3 of those and not lose any states that Hilary won in ‘16. 

And I'd guess Biden is less than 50% to win any of those.....that's putting him at about 25% to win the election.

Also I think MN is still in play...So 20%.

Vegas odds have shifted heavily in Trump's favor.

And while I believe in the EC, really messed up that perhaps 200k voters across 4 states are going to call this.

lol CNN in full desperation mode

Biden is still probly going to win. Seems like PA is taking it super seriously. 

Philadelphia stops counting mail-in ballots for the night https://t.co/9AyXZ5JjpK pic.twitter.com/EMXpnT3tpJ

— New York Post (@nypost) November 4, 2020

My County:

Trump 7502

Biden 2663

I bet where I teach in a Highland County is even more lopsided

wow.....Trump plus 450k in OH

Looks like it is going to come down to who wins 2 of the 3 WI, MI, and PA.

posted by jmog

Looks like it is going to come down to who wins 2 of the 3 WI, MI, and PA.

With Biden likely taking AZ, he will need to flip the CDs. PA may not matter if either wins WI and MI. Which would be pretty wild.

My co-worker is a pool worker in Philly. He is a big time MAGA guy and said to give Biden about 500,000 more votes from Mail-In to be counted in the next few days. So Trump may need a healthy lead. But my friend has been way off before lol.

I don’t know who is gonna pull this out, but Biden at +350 at some sites is mighty tempting. Wish IL had politics betting lol. 

Lol

Highland Co....Hillsboro/farmers

Trump 15369

Biden 3471