gut;1662326 wrote:There have been many (dozens?) of Ebola outbreaks in Africa over the past few decades. Rarely has it made it outside of the borders. But look at just how many cases are in Africa currently - it's not spreading like "wildfire" and the OECD countries ARE more equipped to contain and treat it.
This just isn't going to break out in some mass plague or epidemic in the US. Sure, anyone can come up with scenarios where it does. Those scenarios are all EXTREMELY unlikely. It's pretty clear the transmission efficacy is relatively low, and it has to be otherwise a disease that mimics flu and other illnesses and is contagious for 21+ days and highly deadly would have already about wiped us out by now.
A few things you're not taking into account. You mention the outbreaks rarely making it outside Africa's borders. Africans don't typically travel outside their borders as much as Americans. They are pretty confined to their own area.
Take Dallas, for instance. All that has to happen is for one, or several, of these people who have been exposed show up to a Cowboys or Mavericks game where there are thousands. They expose it to 20-40 people who in turn expose it to more and so on, and so on.
To think this isn't airborne is pretty naive. All it takes is a sneeze, whether directly on someone or perhaps airborne particals settle on a doorknob, or a faucet handle (as examples, make up your own scenario). This shit doesn't die for FOUR days. Transmitting it isn't that difficult.
I'm not saying we need to go into full on panic mode but people seem to be taking a laid back "it won't turn into a mass epidemic here" attitude when it's quite possible.