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like_that
Posts: 26,625
Feb 19, 2014 9:48pm
I can't really say I would justify giving bailey that much money. They must expect he is going to do some big things these next few seasons.
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Midstate01
Posts: 14,766
Feb 19, 2014 10:13pm
Lazy year he'd have had a crazy win loss record and numbers would have looked better if he had gotten ANY run support.like_that;1582567 wrote:I can't really say I would justify giving bailey that much money. They must expect he is going to do some big things these next few seasons.
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Midstate01
Posts: 14,766
Feb 19, 2014 10:15pm
0, 0, 2, 2, 1, 4, 0, 3, 0, 3, 2, 2, 1, 4, 2, 1
That's from Jamie Ramsey's twitter. And those are the runs reds scored in baileys starts in which reds lost.
That's from Jamie Ramsey's twitter. And those are the runs reds scored in baileys starts in which reds lost.
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like_that
Posts: 26,625
Feb 19, 2014 10:31pm
I still wouldn't pay him 105 mil. Maybe a shorter deal worth 40 mil.
It could pay off, but 105 mil is a hell of a lot of money for potential .
It could pay off, but 105 mil is a hell of a lot of money for potential .
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Ironman92
Posts: 49,363
Feb 19, 2014 10:46pm
So we gave $105 to someone who is unlucky? He also had to have Hanigan behind the plate who was atrocious on offense last year...not helping his run support much. He also had a lot of not good games that he lost and decent pitching gets him a chance at a win.Midstate01;1582580 wrote:0, 0, 2, 2, 1, 4, 0, 3, 0, 3, 2, 2, 1, 4, 2, 1
That's from Jamie Ramsey's twitter. And those are the runs reds scored in baileys starts in which reds lost.
I hope he keeps improving....I already stated my $100 million expectations, they are very reasonable IMO.
I fully trust Homer's stuff....I do not trust his head, but he came a ways last season.
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se-alum
Posts: 13,948
Feb 19, 2014 10:54pm
It's well within' what the market is giving right now, and what the market will be 6 years from now. Actually, he's going to be really cheap compared to what other pitchers like him will be making the next couple years, as he's only getting 9M this year, and 10M next year.like_that;1582584 wrote:I still wouldn't pay him 105 mil. Maybe a shorter deal worth 40 mil.
It could pay off, but 105 mil is a hell of a lot of money for potential .
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se-alum
Posts: 13,948
Feb 19, 2014 10:57pm
Yea, his head has always been the problem, but I think he's really matured the last couple years. Obviously his stuff is there, you don't throw multiple no-hitters without it.Ironman92;1582591 wrote:So we gave $105 to someone who is unlucky? He also had to have Hanigan behind the plate who was atrocious on offense last year...not helping his run support much. He also had a lot of not good games that he lost and decent pitching gets him a chance at a win.
I hope he keeps improving....I already stated my $100 million expectations, they are very reasonable IMO.
I fully trust Homer's stuff....I do not trust his head, but he came a ways last season.
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Ironman92
Posts: 49,363
Feb 19, 2014 11:04pm
My expectationsIronman92;1581479 wrote:He's improved every year.
I need to see 90+ wins, 900+ K, 1150+ inn
And 4+ playoff wins
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se-alum
Posts: 13,948
Feb 19, 2014 11:10pm
Those should be pretty easy for him to meet, if he stays healthy, with seasons just like he had last year. We'll see if he gets the opportunities for the playoff wins.Ironman92;1582597 wrote:My expectations
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Terry_Tate
Posts: 7,606
Feb 20, 2014 12:15am
Bailey is my favorite Reds player so I definitely approve of the deal.
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Gblock
Feb 20, 2014 8:44am
bad deal imo...i could be wrong it wouldnt be the first time. too much money and too long a deal for a guy who is inconsistent to say the least
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SportsAndLady
Posts: 35,632
Feb 20, 2014 9:25am
Same. Love me some homer. Mainly because I always picture him in my head as homer from October sky so it makes me like him.Terry_Tate;1582604 wrote:Bailey is my favorite Reds player so I definitely approve of the deal.
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thavoice
Posts: 14,376
Feb 20, 2014 10:14am
It is a risk, but I think a good, calcuated risk.Gblock;1582638 wrote:bad deal imo...i could be wrong it wouldnt be the first time. too much money and too long a deal for a guy who is inconsistent to say the least
The last three seasons his numbers have steadily improved in almost every facet of his game. He is now in the mid 3 ERA's which is great. He is still realtively young and going into his prime. The reds ran the risk of him leaving or having to pay him alot more if he takes another step this season. Plus, he is a product of the reds system. Teams like to take care of their own homegrown when they can to prove they made the right moves.
I don tmind the 6 years. Yeah, could be shorter but the team has to give in on things.
WIth Cueto and Latos coming up in the not too distant future it wsa good to get one of them locked up. One will be gone but I think a 2nd can be signed.
I like the deal. Think it was fair both ways.
I have always said...you cannot teach power. He is a young, strong pitcher with upper 90's FB. That is someting you cannot teach and barring injury is something that should stay with him for the lengthy of the deal. Sure, we would like to see him be more consistant just like we would like to see Jay Bruce be more consistant but that is the nature of the game...ups and downs. A hitter goes into a slump for a week and it isnt a big deal, but when a pitcher lays an egg or two it looks worse.
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se-alum
Posts: 13,948
Feb 20, 2014 11:35am
You have to look at baseball contracts differently. If the owners are willing to pay, it's hard to call a contract bad. I mean, what are the chances Clayton Kershaw is going to be worth 30M/yr for the next 7 seasons? It's rare for a pitcher to be that good for that long, but the Dodgers don't care, because they have plenty of money to eat the contract if it doesn't work out. I would much rather have an owner that will overpay, than an owner that won't pay like the Dolan's.
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thavoice
Posts: 14,376
Feb 20, 2014 1:36pm
Great point.se-alum;1582707 wrote:You have to look at baseball contracts differently. If the owners are willing to pay, it's hard to call a contract bad. I mean, what are the chances Clayton Kershaw is going to be worth 30M/yr for the next 7 seasons? It's rare for a pitcher to be that good for that long, but the Dodgers don't care, because they have plenty of money to eat the contract if it doesn't work out. I would much rather have an owner that will overpay, than an owner that won't pay like the Dolan's.
It could flop, but it could end up being a great contract for the reds in a few years if he inches closer to that 3 era. His WHIP is good, k's are good, k/bb ratio good, over 200 ip and can do more. The upside on him is very good and they know at least one of the three they will not be able to resign so why not get HB before he can open the bank.
Now I just hope Marty and Homer can kiss and make up.
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Azubuike24
Posts: 15,933
Feb 20, 2014 4:56pm
One thing about the Reds. They have been steadfast over the last 5 years. They WILL pay to keep their talent. They really haven't "cheaped out" at all since Castellini bought the team.
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se-alum
Posts: 13,948
Feb 21, 2014 11:40am
Batting your best power hitter in the cleanup spot? What a novel concept!
Manager Bryan Price on the ‪#‎Reds‬ lineup: "I think Jay (Bruce) is that prototype No. 4 hitter. He's continuing to get better. So putting him in a position to drive in runs and getting him another several at-bats over the course of the season and in run-scoring opportunities hitting behind a guy who gets on base a lot in Joey, it's not the worst thing."
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Midstate01
Posts: 14,766
Feb 21, 2014 11:59am
For old times sake, fuck baker
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Terry_Tate
Posts: 7,606
Feb 21, 2014 2:32pm
So true. Fuck Dusty Baker.Midstate01;1583121 wrote:For old times sake, fuck baker
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thavoice
Posts: 14,376
Feb 24, 2014 10:20am
WLW had a good long interview with Bailey this weekend. Good lil chat.
Hoping that any rift between him and station is long forgotten.
Games start soon...cannot fucking wait.
Love that Price is thinking Bruce may be in the 4 slot. I think that is outstanding especially if JV continues to be good against lefties.
Hoping that any rift between him and station is long forgotten.
Games start soon...cannot fucking wait.
Love that Price is thinking Bruce may be in the 4 slot. I think that is outstanding especially if JV continues to be good against lefties.
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thavoice
Posts: 14,376
Feb 25, 2014 4:42pm
Action starts tomorrow.
Lineup looks like it could on opening day....with the exception of the SP of course
Lineup looks like it could on opening day....with the exception of the SP of course
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se-alum
Posts: 13,948
Feb 25, 2014 6:24pm
In his first Spring Training game as a manager, Price has already put a lineup out there that makes more sense than any lineup Dusty put out there.thavoice;1584496 wrote:Action starts tomorrow.
Lineup looks like it could on opening day....with the exception of the SP of course
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justincredible
Posts: 32,056
Feb 25, 2014 6:32pm
Anyone going to Opening Day? Bought my tickets yesterday.
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Terry_Tate
Posts: 7,606
Feb 25, 2014 6:39pm
I'm sure I'll be there somewhere. Company gets tickets every year and I've been the past 5 years so I'm sure I will. Where are your seats?
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justincredible
Posts: 32,056
Feb 25, 2014 7:27pm
View box. Section 432, I think.Terry_Tate;1584533 wrote:I'm sure I'll be there somewhere. Company gets tickets every year and I've been the past 5 years so I'm sure I will. Where are your seats?