BGFalcons82;1300168 wrote:The Iranians want a nuke more than anything else in the world. If they have to talk some more, wait some more, "negotiate" some more, and yes, stall some more, they will.
Once they get it, Israel will destroy it. Write it down.
I wouldn't go that far.
Do they want a nuke, I think so.
Would they use it? Hard to say.
The regime is actually pretty rational in the sense of they are interested in their own self preservation. Any weapon, they know, will result in their destruction.
Plus, one isn't enough. They need around 6-10 to have a real value to possible usage and retaliation impact.
And they need a delivery vehicle. Their current missiles do not have the range to load a nuke on them.
And, they still do not have the components to weaponize all the uranium (which the VP stated last week), and that often gets overlooked.
It's one thing to have the material. It is another to shrink it down into a warhead.
All that said. If Israel goes to destroy it, it will actually hurt them in the long run.
As, Iran will kick out all the IAEA, so no more inspections. And, Iran will move everything underground even more so, leading to a nuclear program where we have even less information on.
Adding to that, it may have a rally around the flag moment, where it may lead to the regime have more legitimacy.
