Ty Webb;1287836 wrote:Tell me which states?

Michigan?
New Mexico?
Nevada?
PA?
Michigan?
Wisconsin?

gut;1287856 wrote:Pretty much any state with oversampling having Obama up 6-7pts on average, and that's before Wednesday. Any state that looked comfortably in Obama's corner at +10, even more, is likely very much in play.

I'll confess to not looking at the polls that closely because it's a lot of garbage-in, garbage-out. It's just something for the fanboys to desperately cling to because they know Obama has no business being in this race. That's why liberals are up-in arms after Romney just went out and destroyed months of their careful mischaracterization and misrepresentation of him.

[LEFT]A new Rasmussen poll and early absentee ballot requests both suggest that President Barack Obama is losing his lead in Ohio after Mitt Romney’s performance in Wednesday night’s presidential debate.

A post-debate poll revealed Obama and Romney are essentially tied in Ohio, with just one percentage point separating the candidates. Earlier polls had shown Obama leading by up to eight points.

According to county data retrieved by the conservative nonprofit American Majority Action and reviewed by The Daily Caller, early absentee ballot requests also indicate Obama faces a tough battle in Ohio.

Compared to 2008, a higher percentage of Republicans have requested absentee ballots in the five largest counties in Ohio this year. Summit County saw a particularly large 27-point increase.

“Polls can be manipulated—real votes can’t,” AMA president Ned Ryun said in a statement.

So far, Ohioans have requested just over half the amount of ballots they did in 2008.

“So far, although it is early, the overall across-the-board direction of every single county in Ohio seems to be not just challenging the pollsters’ template that Obama is widening his lead, but is obliterating it,” Dr. Larry Schweikart, professor at the University of Dayton and New York Times bestselling author, told AMA.
[LEFT]“Given Ohio’s voting history, if the numbers are even close after early voting, Obama will lose, and possibly lose big,” Schweikart said.

Ohio Secretary of State Jon Husted has removed 450,000 deceased voters and duplicate registrations from the voter rolls in advance of the November election — the majority of them registered Democrats

gut;1287856 wrote:I'll confess to not looking at the polls that closely because it's a lot of garbage-in, garbage-out. It's just something for the fanboys to desperately cling to because they know Obama has no business being in this race. That's why liberals are up-in arms after Romney just went out and destroyed months of their careful mischaracterization and misrepresentation of him.

Ty Webb;1287879 wrote:There are rumors floating that the US and Iran have cut a secret deal to halt their enrichment program

gut;1287821 wrote:I realize this is hard for you to believe, but I supported the auto bailout as necessary. That doesn't mean the Obama administration doesn't deserve criticism for the way they trampled bankruptcy law and property rights (robbing from debt holders to pay off their union constituents).

And it was pretty much teed-up before Obama came to office. All of it was (TARP, etc..). Obama just had to sign his name. The idea that Obama rescued the economy is another great myth. What has his fingerprints all over it was the $800B porkulus, which was an absolute flop like pretty much everything in the economy Obama has touched.

Ty Webb;1288028 wrote:http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/10/05/jobs-news-makes-obamas-case-easier/

Great article by Nate Silver

ptown_trojans_1;1288033 wrote:On the flip side, the next job report comes literally days before the election. That may actually turn the tide of the election.

Heretic;1287966 wrote:Which explains why this thread was created by a R-fanboy clinging to something saying his guy is leading in this state?

BGFalcons82;1288037 wrote:Gas in Cali is being rationed and is closing in on $5.50 per gallon. What if the citizens of Cali take out their frustration at the polls on incumbents on 11-6-12? You can throw the Electoral College maps in the trash if Cali takes out their anger on Barry.

ptown_trojans_1;1288031 wrote:Ehh, actually the President was deeply involved with the 2008 crisis, as he met with Paulson a few times, and received briefings from Paulson's staff nearly daily.
Also, Geithner got into his position and still had to implement TARP, as well as ensure the credit makers did not freeze up.
Frontline did a great piece some months ago on the crisis, and how both administrations worked together to bring us from the cliff.

http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/money-power-wall-street/

So, like most things, it is more complex than people here tend to believe.

gut;1288050 wrote:LMAO, that's a bigger pipe dream than the people believing these polls reflect reality.

BGFalcons82;1288067 wrote: What if it rises to $6 and there are lines at every station?

gut;1287795 wrote:It's a cakewalk with all 3.

And with the movement we are seeing (nevermind oversampling we've been talking about), other states clearly in Obama's corner are now coming into play so that just creates more paths to victory for Romney.

gut;1288079 wrote:Three words: Strategic oil reserve.

gut;1288051 wrote:That's all fair, but given what an absolute economic lightweight Barry is (especially then), he didn't contribute anything more to it than a signature. Well, and raping the bondholders in favor of his union constituents.

BGFalcons82;1288067 wrote:To be honest, its not my theory. While I agree its a pipe dream, its not beyond the pale for citizens to hold someone responsible. What if it rises to $6 and there are lines at every station? Something to think about.