9/29/2012 Betting Thread

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Azubuike24's avatar

Azubuike24

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15,933 posts
Sep 29, 2012 11:45 AM
Today is a pretty slow weekend. Generally, I ramp up my bets on these days to give me more of an incentive to sit around and do nothing but watch football. Thoughts on today's games? I have 3 bets already down.

Parlay (4 team) - Missouri (+115) at UCF, Ohio State/Michigan State (over 41.5), Penn State (-1) at Illinois and Wisconsin (+12) at Nebraska.

South Carolina (-20.5) over Kentucky.

I need some others. Thoughts on the following?

Northwestern -11.5 vs Indiana.
Arkansas +13.5 at Texas A&M.
Miami Ohio -2 at Akron.
Cincinnati +230 at Virginia Tech (I think Cincy can win straight up).
Arizona State -2 at California.
Florida State -16.5 at South Florida.
Mississippi at Alabama under 54.
Sep 29, 2012 11:45am
Azubuike24's avatar

Azubuike24

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15,933 posts
Sep 29, 2012 12:07 PM
I threw a couple other parlays out there.

Parlay (4 Teams)
Arkansas +13.5
CincinnatiU(N) +7.5
Florida State/South Florida Over 52.5
TexasTech/Iowa State Under 62.5

Parlay (3 Teams)
Arizona State -2
Miami Ohio -2
Mississippi/Alabama Under 53.5

Thoughts on any other single games at 3:30 PM or later?
Sep 29, 2012 12:07pm
Mulva's avatar

Mulva

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13,650 posts
Sep 29, 2012 1:31 PM
I like Arkansas and Wisconsin against the spread.
Sep 29, 2012 1:31pm
Azubuike24's avatar

Azubuike24

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15,933 posts
Sep 30, 2012 12:44 AM
Ended up sneaking out the South Carolina -20.5. Won the parlay on Bama/Ole Miss under, ASU and Miami. I took Oregon/Wazzou over 73. We'll see on that. Not a bad day though.
Sep 30, 2012 12:44am
SportsAndLady's avatar

SportsAndLady

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35,632 posts
Sep 30, 2012 9:17 AM
Lost a decent bit last night..no thanks to:

MSU
OSU/MSU O/U
Ohio U
Florida State
Sep 30, 2012 9:17am
S

slcoach

Senior Member

421 posts
Oct 1, 2012 10:23 AM
Saturday was one of my better days so far.... I got very lucky twice

Lost:

NC State +1.5
OSU/MSU over 41
Va Tech -6

Won:

Baylor/WVU over 83
Ohio State +2.5
Tennessee +14
So. Carolina -20.5 (Very lucky)
Texas Tech - 1
Texas -2 (Lucky)
Wisconsin +11.5
Oregon/Wazzu over 74

Very good day that got me 10.5 "units"
Oct 1, 2012 10:23am
jpake1's avatar

jpake1

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2,389 posts
Oct 1, 2012 8:57 PM
Anybody see some early lines they really like? There's a couple 6pt teasers in college football I like, but I haven't seen any lines that I instantly put big money on. I'm debating about doing a parlay and taking UF and WVU straight up.
Oct 1, 2012 8:57pm
Azubuike24's avatar

Azubuike24

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15,933 posts
Oct 2, 2012 9:08 AM
When the lines came out late Sunday night, it listed Mississippi State +11 at Kentucky. It was quickly taken down as re-posted as Mississippi State -10.5. It was only up for like 6 minutes, but bets could've been taken. Ouch for those sites who just copied the lines and uploaded...
Oct 2, 2012 9:08am
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slcoach

Senior Member

421 posts
Oct 2, 2012 11:23 AM
jpake1;1284888 wrote:Anybody see some early lines they really like? There's a couple 6pt teasers in college football I like, but I haven't seen any lines that I instantly put big money on. I'm debating about doing a parlay and taking UF and WVU straight up.
I kinda like Penn State, Florida, NC State, South Carolina, and Marshall/Tulsa over (This one looks way too easy-So it will probably lose).

Also, I would avoid playing teasers in college. Teasers are good in the NFL, but there isn't a lot of value with them in the college game.
Oct 2, 2012 11:23am
jpake1's avatar

jpake1

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Oct 2, 2012 5:34 PM
They are a good choice when the point totals are under 50 points
Oct 2, 2012 5:34pm
Mulva's avatar

Mulva

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13,650 posts
Oct 2, 2012 8:12 PM
I think I like USC -13.5 against Utah on Thursday. With no Jordan Wynn I can't really see Utah hanging.

I also like Va Tech +4.5 against UNC, Michigan -3 against Purdue, and Ohio State -3 against Nebraska.
Oct 2, 2012 8:12pm
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slcoach

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421 posts
Oct 2, 2012 10:13 PM
jpake1;1285607 wrote:They are a good choice when the point totals are under 50 points
Based on what? I am not trying to start an argument, I have just found teasers are not near as useful in college as they are in the NFL. They are almost always better on sides and not totals.

According to the site that I use (Vegasinsider) of the 51 games that had totals last week, teasing the total 6 points either way would have only changed the effected the winner in 16 of those (31%). That is just not good enough to bring much long term success.
Oct 2, 2012 10:13pm
Azubuike24's avatar

Azubuike24

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15,933 posts
Oct 3, 2012 10:29 PM
Thoughts on Northwestern +4 at Penn State? Seems to be an awful lot, even though PSU has looked good 3 straight weeks. I also think West Virginia getting 6-7 points at Texas is pretty steep as well. Am I crazy for liking Notre Dame by 12 over Miami?
Oct 3, 2012 10:29pm
Iliketurtles's avatar

Iliketurtles

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8,191 posts
Oct 4, 2012 10:57 AM
Azubuike24;1286763 wrote:Thoughts on Northwestern +4 at Penn State? Seems to be an awful lot, even though PSU has looked good 3 straight weeks. I also think West Virginia getting 6-7 points at Texas is pretty steep as well. Am I crazy for liking Notre Dame by 12 over Miami?
Yeah I like NW getting +4 actually will probably take them straight up. I also like ND -12. As for WVU I'm taking them at -7 I think they will win by at least 10.
Oct 4, 2012 10:57am
karen lotz's avatar

karen lotz

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22,284 posts
Oct 4, 2012 11:08 AM
Iliketurtles;1287031 wrote:Yeah I like NW getting +4 actually will probably take them straight up. I also like ND -12. As for WVU I'm taking them at -7 I think they will win by at least 10.
West Virginia is getting 7 last I saw...
Oct 4, 2012 11:08am
Iliketurtles's avatar

Iliketurtles

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8,191 posts
Oct 4, 2012 11:17 AM
karen lotz;1287038 wrote:West Virginia is getting 7 last I saw...
Yeah they are getting 6.5 now haha. I looked at it wrong still I like WVU so I'd take them getting the points :).
Oct 4, 2012 11:17am
Azubuike24's avatar

Azubuike24

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15,933 posts
Oct 5, 2012 1:00 PM
Parlay time for tomorrow. There are some great match-ups, but I'm wary of the spreads in those games (outside of WVU).

The more I look into it though, I really like OSU at home. I also really like FSU to rebound and clobber NCSU. I also like BYU tonight, a lot, as I think Utah State is overrated after only beating Colorado State by 12 (maybe I'm just bitter that game cost me 25 bucks for USU not covering).

Lets get some more thoughts!
Oct 5, 2012 1:00pm
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slcoach

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421 posts
Oct 7, 2012 9:05 PM
slcoach;1285236 wrote:I kinda like Penn State, Florida, NC State, South Carolina, and Marshall/Tulsa over (This one looks way too easy-So it will probably lose).

Also, I would avoid playing teasers in college. Teasers are good in the NFL, but there isn't a lot of value with them in the college game.
Went 5-0 on these. Good day in college. Too bad I gave it back in the NFL. Haha.
Oct 7, 2012 9:05pm