lhslep134;574040 wrote:
It's about the grind of the conference schedule.
How about in 2007, OSU got upset by Illinois....last year it was Purdue.
Upsets happen to the best teams in every single power conference, yet TCU and Boise don't lose in conference...what does that say about their quality of competition? It says that they don't have to prepare week in and week out like other teams such as Auburn, Oregon, etc. Why do those teams have to get up each week and Boise and TCU don't? Because the teams they play are so devoid of talent that it's not even close. At least in power conferences the players who play are generally recruited by each other. No one who plays for any fucking WAC or MWC school outside of Boise, TCU, and Utah would play at any power conference team, even the bottom feeders.
This is the thing that so many people miss. Let's say Boise and TCU are elite teams, just like OSU (year in, year out) and Auburn (this year, for example's sake).
If OSU plays a terrible game against its MAC schools, they'll still win pretty soundly. If they play terrible against a middle pack Big Ten team, they could very well lose. They may get 4-5 gimmes every year. Then they'll get 5-6 games they should win, but realistically could lose with a bad outing (or an exceedingly good day by the opponent). Then they'll have their 1-3 games that could go either way even if they play well because the other team has plenty of talent. If they played Boise's schedule in any given year, those numbers would become 10 gimmes and the other two games could be should wins or tossups. Assume Boise is equal in talent. Why should they get away with playing 10 games where they just had to step on the field to win?
Back to Auburn and this season. Let's say they lose to Alabama. They still will have wins over 10/11 win LSU, 9/10 win Arkansas, and possibly up to 3 or 4 wins over 7/8 win teams. At least half of their schedule they have to be on top of their game or risk the upset. Go down Boise's list and match Auburn up - if they beat Va Tech like they should, beat Nevada like they should, who else is going to be a real challenge? Those top two wins don't even match Auburn's, but beyond that the gap really widens. Oregon State is .500 - I didn't even talk about the .500 teams Auburn played.
How big of an upset is it when a middle pack big six team beats a top ten team? How big of an upset would it be if a middle pack WAC/Mtn West team beat one of those schools? Better yet, how many times is that ever going to happen? It just isn't. Boise is at a point where maybe they've outgrown the WAC/Mtn West. So they can't continue to play that level and then bitch because other schools slip up once at a higher level.