sherm03;617752 wrote:And as I've pointed out on numerous occasions...it's a very small amount, BOTH PRIVATE AND PUBLIC, that win most of the titles.
Since 1994:
D1 - 4 different private school winners (accounting for 10 titles), 5 different public school winners (accounting for 7 titles)
D2 - 4 different private school winners (accounting for 4 titles), 13 different public school winners (accounting for 13 titles) talk about disparity!
D3 - 6 different private school winners (accounting for 10 titles), 6 different public school winners (accounting for 7 titles)
D4 - 4 different private school winners (accounting for 6 titles), 6 different public school winners (accounting for 11 titles)
D5 - 3 different private school winners (accounting for 5 titles), 8 different public school winners (accounting for 12 titles)
D6 - 3 different private school winners (accounting for 8 titles), 6 different public school winners (accounting for 9 titles)
Any particular reason to cut off at 1994? Just because the six-division setup started then doesn't mean any disparity wasn't present before that year.
As for D1, any school of over 1,000 boys (9-12) should be able to field a pretty decent football team in any given year, regardless of any advantage, direct or indirect. D2 is a mixed bag. It is amazing that no school repeated, but there is so much movement, it seems, between D1 and D3. The lower levels see the larger share of the private winners. Which, makes sense with the general argument being a disparity in number of students available vs. number of students attending.
There's no denying private schools get better students. Because they don't have to take bad students. Public schools have no such option. They have to take them, good or bad. It also affects their test scores, etc.
If you look at the bigger picture, since 1994...21 different private schools have won 43 titles. And 39 different public schools have won 59 titles.
So as you can see clearly, compared to the total number of schools...a small number of schools OVERALL win a majority of the titles. Spin it how you want...but there's the whole story.
There's 720 schools and you're giving a 17-year sample with a total of 102 total possible individual champions. Even if there was no repeat champions (in the same division, as you're not accounting for teams that win championships in multiple divisions), that still means less than 15% of all schools would actually win a title. Oh, the gross injustice that not everyone can win. /sarcasm
Compare the championship totals against 15%, not 100% and you can see the disparity in much more stark terms. It's an extrapolation. Therefore, even slight differences in total manifest themselves quite noticeably when seen over the total sum rather than this small--incomplete--sample.
And secondly, it's not unexpected for teams to have a good run over a couple of years given that good players tend to not just have great senior years or have a great year and then get injured, for example.
D1 -
2.500 titles per private school - D1 - 1.400 titles per public school (1.889 overall)
D2 - 1.000 titles per private school - D2 - 1.000 titles per public school (1.000 overall)
D3 -
1.667 titles per private school - D3 - 1.167 titles per public school (1.417 overall)
D4 - 1.500 titles per private school - D4 -
1.833 titles per public school (1.700 overall)
D5 -
1.667 titles per private school - D5 - 1.500 titles per public school (1.545 overall)
D6 -
2.667 titles per private school - D6 - 1.500 titles per public school (1.889 overall)
In only one division did the public school sample beat the average. So, total sum 4-1-1 to the private schools.
That seems to show the private schools have a greater ability to maintain their higher level than the private schools can. That seems to be contradictory to your premise. That it's simply the total number of schools that win matter than the manner in which they are able to win. Yet, it's quite clear the rate of repetition is much higher than with public schools.
So, a smaller sample of schools (privates) win a greater number per qualifying school.
Looking at those numbers again, I find it even funnier that people are so upset with the "unfair advantage" in the lower divisions. In D4-D6...7 different private school teams have won titles among those divisions, while only 16 different public schools account for their share of the titles (which is a majority of the titles). So basically, people are talking about completely overhauling the Ohio playoff system based on SEVEN teams!
Wow!
If Maple Heights (as is) got to play D6 and won every year, would you discount the argument that the whole system would be overhauled because of one team? /sarcasm.
We're talking about an anomaly. Hence the point that--yes--we are talking about overhauling the system over 7 schools, as you put it.
And this is disregarding the fact private schools make up a much smaller portion of the total population than their percentage of championships.
My argument has been, and always will be, that privates receive an advantage. It's a passive advantage, not aggressive (i.e., recruiting). It's simply by existing they benefit in the lower divisions. Some take advantage of this, some don't. Those that do, win. Because their student population is not indicative of the statewide average you would expect at any other school. In contrast, it is the same reason why big city schools fair so poorly (especially with great private schools in the vicinity drawing off the better students and more extracurricularly-inclined students).
OE has some benefit, but not entirely. A school such as Steubenville that can draw outside students benefits from getting 'only good students' from the other schools, but they still must take the bad students that are naturally tethered to SHS and have no general ability or inclination to attend a different school (public or private). So, there is a slight passive advantage against non-OE.
Pennsylvania allows teams to play up to any level they want. I think the OHSAA should institute this immediately. Generally, in PA, private schools play up. And depending on the situation, public schools do it, too. They also allow sports-sharing agreements. For cash-starved school districts contemplating cutting sports, this might be a possibility.
In PIAA, there's no debate that Quad-A is the highest level. Nowhere in PA would someone take seriously that a AA team could claim to be the best team in the state the way Ohio has with Ursuline, Mooney, etc. If you're that good, you play up. Harrisburg Bishop McDevitt was single A, but played up to 4A. They currently are a true 2A who just this year decided to downgrade from 4A to 3A and made the state title game in their first try (losing to Allentown Central Catholic).
After years of trying to compete at the highest level (because they easily are the best team in Harrisburg), they downgraded when they realized they were in over their head and are now top dog in 3A. If they were in 2A, it would be unsatisfying. One reason West Catholic (in Philadelphia), who are currently 2A, will probably start looking into moving up.
And even PA is looking into splitting publics and privates, using a multiplier, or forcing a mandatory one-division jump for all non-public teams.
Sykotyk