BCS Bowl Projections

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Cleveland Buck's avatar

Cleveland Buck

Troll Hunter

5,126 posts
Nov 22, 2009 1:15 AM
BCS National Championship
Alabama (13-0, 8-0, SEC Champion) vs. Texas (13-0, 8-0, Big XII Champion)

Rose Bowl
Ohio State (10-2, 7-1, Big Ten Champion) vs. Oregon (10-2, 8-1, Pac-10 Champion)

Fiesta Bowl
USC (9-3, 6-3, At-Large) vs. TCU (12-0, 8-0, At-Large)

Sugar Bowl
Florida (12-1, 8-0, At-Large) vs. Cincinnati (12-0, 7-0, Big East Champion)

Orange Bowl
Georgia Tech (12-1, 7-1, ACC Champion) vs. Penn State (10-2, 6-2, At-Large)

Tie-Ins
-------
Alabama - BCSNC
Texas - BCSNC
Ohio State - Rose
Oregon - Rose
Georgia Tech - Orange

Available Teams
---------------
Cincinnati (Auto Bid, Big East Champion)
Florida (Auto Bid, BCS Top 4)
TCU (Auto Bid, Top Ranked Non AQ)

Boise State
USC (if they win out will finish in the top 14)
Penn State
Iowa
Oklahoma State
Pittsburgh

Selection Order
---------------
Florida - Sugar (Replacing BCS No. 1)
USC - Fiesta (Replacing BCS No. 2)
Penn State - Orange
TCU - Fiesta
Cincinnati - Sugar
Nov 22, 2009 1:15am
D

devil1197

Senior Member

6,220 posts
Nov 22, 2009 1:26 AM
USC and PSU getting bids? Both haven't played well lately.

Should be Iowa (healthy Stanzi) and Oklahoma State.
Nov 22, 2009 1:26am
Cleveland Buck's avatar

Cleveland Buck

Troll Hunter

5,126 posts
Nov 22, 2009 1:29 AM
I'm not saying anything about who deserves it. Just trying to project who gets in.
Nov 22, 2009 1:29am
F

FanOfCats

Senior Member

127 posts
Nov 22, 2009 1:43 AM
Where's Notre Dame?
Nov 22, 2009 1:43am
S

slingshot4ever

Senior Member

4,085 posts
Nov 22, 2009 7:19 AM
Anyone who has USC in their projections is just dumb.
Nov 22, 2009 7:19am
S

slingshot4ever

Senior Member

4,085 posts
Nov 22, 2009 7:21 AM
You will have the 6 conference champs
TCU
BSU (only if they finish undefeated)
2nd SEC team

The only spot even up for debate right now is the last spot. If Pitt beats Cincy and takes the Big East, Cincy will get that last spot with an 11-1 record and will still be ranked in the top 10 most likely. Otherwise, I think this bid goes to Iowa or Oklahoma State.
Nov 22, 2009 7:21am
ptown_trojans_1's avatar

ptown_trojans_1

Moderator

7,632 posts
Nov 22, 2009 8:26 AM
BCSNGC
Bama vs. Texas

Rose
Ohio State vs. Oregon

Orange
Cincy vs. GT

Sugar
Florida vs. TCU

Fiesta
Boise vs. Oklahoma St.
Nov 22, 2009 8:26am
Emmett Brown's avatar

Emmett Brown

Senior Member

478 posts
Nov 22, 2009 10:18 AM
slingshot4ever wrote: You will have the 6 conference champs
TCU
BSU (only if they finish undefeated)
2nd SEC team

The only spot even up for debate right now is the last spot. If Pitt beats Cincy and takes the Big East, Cincy will get that last spot with an 11-1 record and will still be ranked in the top 10 most likely. Otherwise, I think this bid goes to Iowa or Oklahoma State.
That is not how it works. The Bowls can select who ever the want as long as the qualify. There is no way Cincinnati gets a bid if the lose because they don't travel as well as Penn St or Iowa. Records and rankings don't matter just who can give the bowls the most money in return. I doubt BSU makes it as well because OK State and Penn St or Iowa travel better than BSU. I would rather see BSU in over a second big 10 team but I doubt that happens.
Nov 22, 2009 10:18am
Sykotyk's avatar

Sykotyk

Senior Member

1,155 posts
Nov 22, 2009 10:45 AM
Doomsday senario is if:

Nebraska beats Texas, Oregon State beats Oregon, Clemson beats Georgia Tech, Florida State beats Florida, Pittsburgh beats Cincinnati, and Alabama then beats a one-loss Florida.

An anarchist can dream, can't he? :)

Sykotyk
Nov 22, 2009 10:45am
S

speedrush1189

Member

85 posts
Nov 22, 2009 11:07 AM
No way do PSU and USC make it. Replace PSU with Iowa and USC with either Okie State or maybe Boise.
Nov 22, 2009 11:07am
Cleveland Buck's avatar

Cleveland Buck

Troll Hunter

5,126 posts
Nov 22, 2009 11:38 AM
If the Big XII puts enough pressure on the Fiesta Bowl, they might take Oklahoma State over USC. They might also take Penn State over USC because they know they are getting stuck with TCU or Cincinnati and might want a proven draw in there. USC vs. TCU would get good TV ratings, but USC can't sell out the Coliseum, so I don't know how well they would travel to see a 3 loss USC team play a MWC team. They only way Boise gets a bid is if TCU loses or if Congress threatens action against the BCS for excluding them.
Nov 22, 2009 11:38am
darbypitcher22's avatar

darbypitcher22

Senior Member

8,000 posts
Nov 22, 2009 12:30 PM
Again, as appealing as some of these matchups seem, I'll wait until at least conference championship weekend before posting what I think.
Nov 22, 2009 12:30pm
F

Falcons53

Senior Member

203 posts
Nov 22, 2009 8:17 PM
I would love to see a Penn State vs Ga Tech game. That defense with healthy LBs against that offense would be fun. No way does a bowl take Iowa over Penn State. Anyone who has watched these two teams knows the Iowa win was a fluke. Still counts, but Penn State was missing so much on defense and everything that could go wrong in the last 10 min of that game did.
Nov 22, 2009 8:17pm
G

George Costanza

Senior Member

120 posts
Nov 22, 2009 8:20 PM
National Championship

Florida vs Texas

Rose Bowl

The University of Ohio State vs Oregon

Sugar Bowl

Alabama vs Cincinnati

Fiesta Bowl

TCU vs Iowa

Orange Bowl

Georgia Tech vs Pittsburgh
Nov 22, 2009 8:20pm
Cleveland Buck's avatar

Cleveland Buck

Troll Hunter

5,126 posts
Nov 22, 2009 8:22 PM
USC actually fell in the BCS this week. I expected the voters to start shooting them back up the polls with losses in front of them. If USC doesn't finish in the top 14, you can switch USC and Oklahoma State in my picks.
Nov 22, 2009 8:22pm
T

Turf Warden

Member

42 posts
Nov 22, 2009 8:28 PM
Can't see the Big East getting two bids.
Nov 22, 2009 8:28pm
Cleveland Buck's avatar

Cleveland Buck

Troll Hunter

5,126 posts
Nov 22, 2009 8:29 PM
They won't.
Nov 22, 2009 8:29pm
Cleveland Buck's avatar

Cleveland Buck

Troll Hunter

5,126 posts
Nov 22, 2009 8:30 PM
They wouldn't get one if one of the bowls didn't have to take their champion.
Nov 22, 2009 8:30pm
3reppom's avatar

3reppom

Senior Member

765 posts
Nov 22, 2009 8:36 PM
If Oklahoma State beats Oklahoma they are in. Iowa is most likely in a BCS game as well. Boise State should be left on the outside looking in.
Nov 22, 2009 8:36pm
Cleveland Buck's avatar

Cleveland Buck

Troll Hunter

5,126 posts
Nov 22, 2009 8:43 PM
I forgot Oklahoma State still plays Oklahoma. If Oklahoma wins, that would open a huge door for Boise State. If USC doesn't climb into the top 14 and Oklahoma State loses, you would be looking at a choice between Boise State, a second ACC team, and a second Big East team for the last spot, and there really isn't much difference between any of those as far as TV ratings and ticket sales.
Nov 22, 2009 8:43pm
D

devil1197

Senior Member

6,220 posts
Nov 22, 2009 8:46 PM
3reppom wrote: If Oklahoma State beats Oklahoma they are in. Iowa is most likely in a BCS game as well. Boise State should be left on the outside looking in.
That's how I have it playing out also.
Nov 22, 2009 8:46pm
dwccrew's avatar

dwccrew

Not Banned

7,817 posts
Nov 22, 2009 8:58 PM
slingshot4ever wrote: You will have the 6 conference champs
TCU
BSU (only if they finish undefeated)
2nd SEC team

The only spot even up for debate right now is the last spot. If Pitt beats Cincy and takes the Big East, Cincy will get that last spot with an 11-1 record and will still be ranked in the top 10 most likely. Otherwise, I think this bid goes to Iowa or Oklahoma State.
I don't see Cincy making it unless they are unbeaten or win the Big East. It's all about ratings and who travels well. Cincy doesn't bring fans or ratings. They only get in if they get an auto bid.
Nov 22, 2009 8:58pm
Skyhook79's avatar

Skyhook79

Senior Member

5,739 posts
Nov 22, 2009 9:20 PM
USC is going to lose their last 2 games so I wouldn't worry about them being in a BCS Bowl Game.
Nov 22, 2009 9:20pm
B

bulldog8

Senior Member

497 posts
Nov 23, 2009 12:01 AM
Here's what the analysts on ESPN think: http://espn.go.com/college-football/bowls/projections I think they are both right on with the general outline. It's tough to call who will win the SEC championship but obviously the winner will be in the national championship and the loser likely in the Sugar Bowl. I feel that Iowa has a better shot at getting a birth to the Fiesta Bowl than Penn State because they beat them head-to-head. I just don't foresee Boise or TCU being left out of BCS games if they finish their seasons undefeated. It won't happen. Obviously, things can shake up quite a bit still with the SEC championship, the battle for the PAC 10, the ACC championship and the Big East Champsionship.
Nov 23, 2009 12:01am
F

Footwedge

Senior Member

9,265 posts
Nov 23, 2009 1:11 AM
Cleveland Buck wrote: I'm not saying anything about who deserves it. Just trying to project who gets in.
No way does USC get in. I doubt if there ever was a 3 loss team in as a wild card.

In addition, you aren't eligible if you're ranked 15th or lower...unless you are an automatic qualifier...i.e....if Nebraska beats Texas.
Nov 23, 2009 1:11am