birddog23

Caitlin Clark is incredible. 

41-10-12 tonight

Based on true seeding and current PPG, here's what I have for final projections:

1st. Mirg - 510 points. 2 left. (That's w/ Miami and FAU both losing in F4. If either pull out a win, he walks away with this.)

2nd. Brutus - 497 points. 1 left. (Hoping for a Miami win over UConn to advance Omier)

3rd. Birddog - 486 points. 2 left. (Have Hawkins for UConn and Pack for Miami, who both are capable of going off for 20+ on a given night - but both could have 7 points on a given night too. I will lose 1 of them in the F4 matchup too)

4th. Sportschampps - 467 points. 3 left. (Huge UConn fan with Sanogo, Karaban, and Newton. Could make things interesting if these guys go above their average and they make it to national championship).

Fair warning, this is just eyeballing and doing some quick math. I could be off on some of these. I went off Laleys current points going into todays games.

posted by Laley23

Here is what I have. Projected is obviously based on seeding, and not Vegas. So not 100% accurate to how we may expect it to play out.

Something is up with your projections with Brutus. 

I'd imagine, just based on what is left, Sportschampps is the favorite. He has got 3 guys left and they are UConn guys.

Mirg could make things interesting today with a Miami and Creighton win as he has Miller from Miami,  Kaluma from Creighton, and Davis from FAU.

Brutus I am sure still has a decent shot based on the shear amount of points he accumulated early on and he's still got Kalkbrenner from Creighton going today and Omier from Miami.

JSchilling same boat as Brutus. Had a ton of points early on and still has Carr and Disu from Texas and Nembhard from Creighton.

I may have an outside shot, but a Creighton loss today probably eliminates me. I have Hawkins from UConn and will advance one of Pack, Miami or Hunter, Texas today. Have Alexander from Creighton going today.

The Huskies are impressive. Of the 6 remaining teams, they have to be the favorite. 

Leaning K-State -1.5 and UConn -2.5 right now. Have some time to think still but just think those 2 squads get it done. Feel more confident with KState right now. Zags offense worries me a bit, but UCONN offense and defense is no joke either

Pretty crazy that my team scored almost as many points in the sweet 16 than they did in the first round of the tournament lol. 

You got updated projections Laley after all this madness?

Brandon Miller - worst overall #1 pick of all time since us doing this? Did he even crack 20 total points in 3 games?

Si Woo gave McNealy a run for his money as my worst bet ever haha.

posted by birddog23

JT Poston > McNealy 

Si Woo Kim > Kuchar

lets get it!

JT Poston > McNealy

Si Woo Kim > Kuchar

lets get it!

Crushed the FanDuel boost of both UCLA/Zaga scoring 70 each. 

Was a little worried at half with the Zags, but obviously that turned out okay. 

UConn -3.5 was nice too. 

Hoping to hit some golf matchups today then have another good NCAAB night. 

I didn’t touch the NBA last night. Felt good actually lol. 

posted by geeblock

Took Xavier to make final 4 +700 

Shoot. If you think they can make it through Texas and Houston, might as sprinkle a little bit on their Championship odds at +4200.

Dumb question maybe...

How do the players decide what is a gimme and what isn't?

Watching Finau/Meronk right now and announcers just made a comment about not making him putt that...but Meronk proceeded to mark ball and is going to putt it. (he actually just ended up missing the putt)

Meanwhile, Finau, was standing well far away - and I didn't see him say anything.

So how does this work exactly? Lol

posted by Big_Mirg_ZHS
I don’t think he’s walking away with it. Game or two swings a certain way this is still up in the air. 

Oh for sure. He will lose one of Johnson/Walker tonight in KSU/MSU game. But both have proven to be big time scorers so he at least advances one of them.

Houston and Creighton are big favorites so safe to assume Sassar and Kalkbrenner advance (even if Houston were to falter, he gets to advance Omier from Miami.)

The big one I think is Xavier/Texas. If he can get Xavier advancing, that is huge to get Jones advancing (but a lot of us have the other X guys too - so it just depends who is scoring for X on a given night).

+595 for Jokic, Embiid, and Giannis to all hit the combo over tonight. 

+330 FanDuel boost for Giannis, Booker, and Embiid all to score 30 each. 

Draftkings has this at +199. Feel like you have to take a stab just because of the value here.

Brutus' rounds 3-8 have been huge. Those are the crucial rounds IMO (and also a complete crapshoot a lot of the time). Rounds 1 and 2 are typically locks and rounds 9-12 you are hoping to get lucky.

Brutus got Walker MSU, Kalkbrenner Creighton, Jones Xavier, and Council Arkansas between rounds 3-8 and those 4 guys alone have combined for 137. That is huge.

Feeling “fairly” confident about these:

- Jokic triple-double +125, 1.5u

- PHX/LAL o227.5 -110, 1.5u

- NYK money line +100, 1.5u

If there’s the amount of parody next year, like there is this year - I think I have a new strategy for this thing lol.