tk421;711366 wrote:There is no possible way everyone in this country is going to live within a mile or two of their work, not happening. The population densities of those other countries are way higher than ours. We are too large and too spread out to ever live like they do, not that the majority of Americans would want to anyway.
What do you mean by "large?"
Anywho, that's why I said transit-oriented development. Living within a half-mile of work allows you the freedom from necessarily needed any vehicles, living within ~2 miles gives you the freedom to only require a bike. The real key is not to have a downtown and less density all around it, but a string of developed hubs so to speak along a light-train/streetcar line. That was once High Street here in Columbus.
The population density is
exactly the problem. People need to live more urban lives. That doesn't mean there is NYC-esque density everywhere. But it certainly requires a massive change to walkable neighborhoods and communities. A place like Dublin, OH doesn't have a sizable downtown because it's only sprawl and golf courses. That's precisely why their 50-year plan builds a walkable downtown south of I-270. Statistics show that the young people are getting fed up with suburban life, and want to live closer to their amenities. Think of how difficult living in America is for someone <16.
It will happen; it is already happening. The real challenge is taking
back the roads and getting the wherewithal together for a light-rail corridor. I say "back" because every city in America had a public transportation system prior to GM's lobbying and swindling.
The rising cost of oil will, to an extent, be the saving grace of this country. It will no longer become a social or environmental issue driven mostly by Democrats, but it will be a sustainability and economic issue (supported factions in both parties) within the end of the decade. We cannot continue to fund these massive roads, and the low density and sprawl destroy cities, counties, and eventually states.
Even if oil was cheap forever (let alone again), we still don't have enough room on our roads for the projected 100,000,000 new cars that would be added by 2050. Look at the space cars take up juxtaposed with busing and cycling. Same amount of people, but a drastic difference in size.
I would bet my life you will see a correlation between the rise in oil prices and the value of urban property. Places like the Short North in Columbus, Old West End in Toledo, Tremont in Cleveland, will flourish again. Why? Because that's how things used to be, before this age of interstates and automobiles. Historians will look to the 1950-2020 era as an anomaly.
For the record, I do not promote the extinction of cars. My father had a 17-car collection of cars, wonderful things. I am simply saying we will reach an equilibrium by 2050 as what we do now is simply unsustainable.