Map Predictions

CenterBHSFan 333 - I'm only half evil
7,259 posts 53 reps Joined Nov 2009
Sat, Sep 14, 2024 2:53 PM

How would you predict the EC map right now? Below I've linked to an interactive electoral map where you can shade the swing states according to how you think things will finish. 

You can change it at any time, but leave your original alone so that we/you can see just how wildly things might change.

https://www.270towin.com/


CenterBHSFan 333 - I'm only half evil
7,259 posts 53 reps Joined Nov 2009
Sat, Sep 14, 2024 2:56 PM

Here is my current prediction. Some of the states that I predicted are light red. Some of them light blue. You can keep tapping on the state until it changes colors from red to blue or to change them from a light color or a deeper color.

CenterBHSFan 333 - I'm only half evil
7,259 posts 53 reps Joined Nov 2009
Wed, Sep 18, 2024 7:13 PM

I've made some changes to my EC predictions. The main one being Michigan ekes out as a light blue.

CenterBHSFan 333 - I'm only half evil
7,259 posts 53 reps Joined Nov 2009
Thu, Oct 3, 2024 7:24 PM

I had North Carolina as safely blue, but after this administrations appalling response I flipped it to red.

Ironman92 Administrator
56,729 posts 167 reps Joined Nov 2009
Thu, Oct 3, 2024 7:50 PM

Dems losing steam with how things are going

33,369 posts 133 reps Joined Nov 2009
Thu, Oct 3, 2024 8:12 PM

I’ve never thought this will be close, and I continue to not think it will be close. Florida flips, the rest of the country stays the course. NC I would’ve had blue, but I think the hurricane will keep it red — due to the narrative. 

CenterBHSFan 333 - I'm only half evil
7,259 posts 53 reps Joined Nov 2009
Thu, Oct 3, 2024 9:26 PM
posted by Laley23

I’ve never thought this will be close, and I continue to not think it will be close. Florida flips, the rest of the country stays the course. NC I would’ve had blue, but I think the hurricane will keep it red — due to the narrative. 

I think we both left out that one little state. Wouldn't it be hilarious if that one little state was the difference in the EC?! hahaha

sportchampps Senior Member
7,527 posts 36 reps Joined Nov 2009
Fri, Oct 11, 2024 11:45 AM

Trump gets to 297 with the big shock being he wins Wisconsin and PA. The leaked internal polls from the democrats are not looking good for Kamala

gut Senior Member
18,369 posts 116 reps Joined Nov 2009
Fri, Oct 11, 2024 12:00 PM

There are a lot of indicators pointing one way or the other.  I think polls could be way off on Trump, but in either direction this time.

The most compelling thing I've seen is registrations and ballot requests have moved very significantly Republican in key swing states.  But the Dems have a much better ground game, and they're very good at turning out "lean Dem unlikely voters".

I expect surprising results, potentially going either way, to give us another very contested election result.  But seems like that's becoming status quo.  And if Trump wins I fully expect Dems to try yet some other means to keep him out of office.

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