Laley23
Posts: 29,506
Sep 2, 2014 12:40pm
Figured we have enough gamblers to have a season long thread.
Who does everyone like Week 1?
2 that I've seen that look enticing are Chicago -6.5 and GB +7
Who does everyone like Week 1?
2 that I've seen that look enticing are Chicago -6.5 and GB +7
SportsAndLady
Posts: 35,632
Sep 2, 2014 12:41pm
GB +7? No way, Seahawks are going to light them up.
What's the early spread on Pitt/cle? May have to put some money on Cleveland to cover if it's more than 6-7 points
What's the early spread on Pitt/cle? May have to put some money on Cleveland to cover if it's more than 6-7 points
Laley23
Posts: 29,506
Sep 2, 2014 12:46pm
I've seen anywhere from Cleveland +6 to Cleveland +7.5. All lines will probably solidify by end of today.SportsAndLady;1649848 wrote:GB +7? No way, Seahawks are going to light them up.
What's the early spread on Pitt/cle? May have to put some money on Cleveland to cover if it's more than 6-7 points
As for GB/Seattle, you are probably correct. But, a touchdown is a lot of points to give for a team who will likely win the division.
Ironman92
Posts: 49,363
Sep 2, 2014 12:50pm
Tough gambling IMO before we know much about anyone. First 2 weeks would be very tough to pick.
SportsAndLady
Posts: 35,632
Sep 2, 2014 1:08pm
I don't disagree but coming off a Super Bowl season it's their first game back the crowd will already be crazy. I'm actually going to bet hard on Seattle.Laley23;1649850 wrote:I've seen anywhere from Cleveland +6 to Cleveland +7.5. All lines will probably solidify by end of today.
As for GB/Seattle, you are probably correct. But, a touchdown is a lot of points to give for a team who will likely win the division.
TBone14
Posts: 6,383
Sep 2, 2014 1:33pm
First part of the season is where you can make your hay. We don't know who is going to be good or bad but neither do the oddsmakers. They miss a lot more early in the season. Once they have all the data, they are pretty good at setting lines where there isn't too much value either way.Ironman92;1649853 wrote:Tough gambling IMO before we know much about anyone. First 2 weeks would be very tough to pick.
For example, I think the Falcons return to form this year. This week, you can get them at home +3 or better vs the Saints. If the Falcons end up being a 10-12 win team and the game was later in the year, they would be favored by 3 in that game.
Ironman92
Posts: 49,363
Sep 2, 2014 1:44pm
Do they not adjust early on knowing that no one really knows? Do they make a 4.5 a 6.5?...or do they let it go knowing those winning money early will be losing it later?TBone14;1649862 wrote:First part of the season is where you can make your hay. We don't know who is going to be good or bad but neither do the oddsmakers. They miss a lot more early in the season. Once they have all the data, they are pretty good at setting lines where there isn't too much value either way.
For example, I think the Falcons return to form this year. This week, you can get them at home +3 or better vs the Saints. If the Falcons end up being a 10-12 win team and the game was later in the year, they would be favored by 3 in that game.
TBone14
Posts: 6,383
Sep 2, 2014 2:02pm
There is too much dumb money for them to ever lose in the NFL. If you want win in the NFL, you have to be on ugly sides throughout the year and many people aren't willing to put their hard earned money on the Jags or the Raiders...even though they covered 12 times last year. Two years ago when Jacksonville went 2-14 they were 7-9 ATS.
My point is this...if you think you have a bead on a certain team, you have the opportunity to make some money before the market adjusts. Nobody saw the Panthers going 12-4 last year but if you saw it coming, you made a bunch of money betting on the Panthers before everybody realized they were legit. I'm going to try to make some money this year going against Panthers because I think they come crashing back to reality.
My point is this...if you think you have a bead on a certain team, you have the opportunity to make some money before the market adjusts. Nobody saw the Panthers going 12-4 last year but if you saw it coming, you made a bunch of money betting on the Panthers before everybody realized they were legit. I'm going to try to make some money this year going against Panthers because I think they come crashing back to reality.
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sportchampps
Posts: 7,361
Sep 2, 2014 3:12pm
I'll be in Vegas For a week starting this Saturday. I'm staying at the MGM so I've been looking at their lines. The games I'll probably put some money on are
Cincinnati +2.5
New England -4.5
Chargers +3
Cincinnati +2.5
New England -4.5
Chargers +3
Azubuike24
Posts: 15,933
Sep 2, 2014 10:06pm
I like Atlanta and Baltimore at home with the spread less than 3 (ATL +3, BAL -1.5). NO and CIN are better than those 2, but either of those road teams would need a major in-division statement to win an opening road game.
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Tiernan
Posts: 13,021
Sep 3, 2014 8:33am
I'll give the points every week to Cleveburgh...they aint winning shit this year, on the scoreboard or on the spread.
My over / under on how many games Hoyer starts before the idiots in NEO start screaming for Manzier is 3.
My over / under on how many games Hoyer starts before the idiots in NEO start screaming for Manzier is 3.
DeyDurkie5
Posts: 11,324
Sep 3, 2014 9:55pm
I'll take browns +7 against the steelers first week if you want to tango tiernan.Tiernan;1650084 wrote:I'll give the points every week to Cleveburgh...they aint winning shit this year, on the scoreboard or on the spread.
My over / under on how many games Hoyer starts before the idiots in NEO start screaming for Manzier is 3.
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Tiernan
Posts: 13,021
Sep 3, 2014 10:09pm
Name your poison dickwad.
DeyDurkie5
Posts: 11,324
Sep 3, 2014 11:02pm
50?Tiernan;1650280 wrote:Name your poison dickwad.
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Tiernan
Posts: 13,021
Sep 4, 2014 7:04am
50 what? No way is $$ being exchanged on a msg board dipshit. If I lose I'll change my tag line to say "Dey Durkie is not the sniveling, whiney, maladjusted, creepy dickweed everybody thinks he is" if you lose you change your tag line to say "Tiernan is way smarter than I could ever dream of being".
DeyDurkie5
Posts: 11,324
Sep 4, 2014 10:20am
Ahh I forgot you were poor.Tiernan;1650309 wrote:50 what? No way is $$ being exchanged on a msg board dipshit. If I lose I'll change my tag line to say "Dey Durkie is not the sniveling, whiney, maladjusted, creepy dickweed everybody thinks he is" if you lose you change your tag line to say "Tiernan is way smarter than I could ever dream of being".
And that's worst bet proposal ever. Avatar and sig changes for both. You can pick whatever you want for a month.
Rotinaj
Posts: 7,699
Sep 4, 2014 10:48am
lol Tiernan bitching out. Im shocked.
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Tiernan
Posts: 13,021
Sep 4, 2014 12:20pm
Tiernan has never bitched out a day in his life Rotinhell.
DeyDurkie5
Posts: 11,324
Sep 4, 2014 3:52pm
So we are on for 50$ then?Tiernan;1650433 wrote:Tiernan has never bitched out a day in his life Rotinhell.
If not, then sig avatar for a month.
Rotinaj
Posts: 7,699
Sep 4, 2014 3:56pm
Seattle wins by at least 10 tonight. Lock of the week.
Automatik
Posts: 14,632
Sep 4, 2014 3:57pm
So Footwedges and Tiernan both unwilling to pony up cash?
Also, the money sign goes BEFORE the number. I have no idea why, but this error has been happening more and more and it drives me fucking crazy.
Also, the money sign goes BEFORE the number. I have no idea why, but this error has been happening more and more and it drives me fucking crazy.
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Tiernan
Posts: 13,021
Sep 4, 2014 4:20pm
You're on dickweed - Clowns +6.
Ironman92
Posts: 49,363
Sep 4, 2014 5:44pm
Me too$Automatik;1650526 wrote:So Footwedges and Tiernan both unwilling to pony up cash?
Also, the money sign goes BEFORE the number. I have no idea why, but this error has been happening more and more and it drives me fucking crazy.
Laley23
Posts: 29,506
Sep 4, 2014 6:14pm
For which bet?Tiernan;1650542 wrote:You're on dickweed - Clowns +6.
Rotinaj
Posts: 7,699
Sep 4, 2014 6:17pm
Whichever one he decides to pick after the game is over.Laley23;1650588 wrote:For which bet?