gut;1464297 wrote:It boggles the mind how Boat can look at those graphs and blame virtually non-existent growth on the gubmit not spending enough. Economic growth has clearly decoupled from govt spending. Why? Maybe there's an answer in the growing stockpiles of corporate cash. In other words, the massive flushing of govt money is probably a combination of crowding out effects and corporate welfare. There's been no multiplier - that dollar from the govt basically just gets hoarded on the corporate balance sheet and is producing no growth effects.
Truthfully the multiplier effect here is virtually non-existent and we are literally just flushing money down the toilet. That's why govt spending has gone up and down recently but the economy remains tightly range-bound in a slow, subpar growth. At a certain point, because of diminishing returns the muted multiplier gain is offset by the waste and inefficiency of govt spending.
This means that the government is not injecting enough net financial assets into the private economy either because taxes are too high or government spending is too low in comparison to the private sector's desire to save! If the deficit is not large enough to overcome savings desires and spur investment the government needs to be putting more money into the hands of potential customers! That is why we see the paltry growth getting
even worse when our nominally large deficit starts getting smaller!
These funds are sitting idle. The cutting taxes or raising spending to put more financial assets into the economy does not crowd out private corporate investment when it is sitting idle. Rather it gives the entrepreneur an economy he can work with and crowds in that investment and cash that is sitting idle.
Of course businesses are going to sit on cash when customers are severly demand constrained, having their taxes rise, losing their benefits, losing their government jobs, when businesses whose customers have government jobs are getting fired, when the private sector has large debts on their balance sheets.
Basically your argument that there's "no multiplier" is really making my argument for me that we need to be putting more into the economy because we're not overcoming savings desires and import desires and (of course) the higher taxes and lower government spending that are all causing demand to leak.
And, we know that if the government were to start running a higher deficit again, it wouldn't cause interest rates to rise just like before and that's not going to crowd out capital formation either!
You're so concerned about "waste in government spending". How bout a full payroll tax cut then?? Payroll tax rise was the worst thing that could've happened!