http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/10/18/republicans-point-to-early-vote-gains-in-ohio/Ty Webb;1298436 wrote:I'm not trying to start trouble here...but I honestly don't see a path to victory for Romney here in Ohio. I'll tell you guys...I'm an intern for the Obama campaign and I have access to internal polls,and I just don't see how Romney can win Ohio
And gut....I could same the same for you,but replace Mathews with Hannity,and me with Quaker
To gut's point the 2008 model is already being thrown out based on early balloting in Ohio.
The article goes on to give RNC stats which I'll take with a grain of salt because it comes from a party invested in the result. But if the early voting margin shows a narrowed advantage to Democrats and a more enthusiastic turnout on election day it's not impossible to imagine. Difficult? Yes but it's heading the right direction, pun somewhat intended.Four years ago, Democrats made up about 42% of the early and absentee vote while Republicans made up 22% - a dismal 20-point deficit that contributed to Sen. John McCain's defeat in Ohio.
Through Wednesday, however, the margin has narrowed: Democrats account for 36% of the early and absentee vote while Republicans make up for 29%.
