Reds prediction thread

Pro Sports 65 replies 2,479 views
justincredible's avatar
justincredible
Posts: 32,056
Mar 5, 2012 5:02pm
Post your predictions for the following categories. Feel free to add any other categories as well.

Record:
Place:
Final series played in:

Award winners:
(MVP, CY, GG, SS, ROY)

Cueto wins:
Cueto ERA:

Latos wins:
Latos ERA:

Arroyo wins:
Arroyo ERA:

Leake wins:
Leake ERA:

Bailey wins:
Bailey ERA:

Madson saves:
Madson ERA:

Bullpen ERA:

Votto HR:
Votto RBI:
Votto AVG:

Bruce HR:
Bruce RBI:
Bruce AVG:

Phillips HR:
Phillips RBI:
Phillips AVG:

Stubbs HR:
Stubbs RBI:
Stubbs AVG:
Stubbs K:
Stubbs bunt hits:

Cozart HR:
Cozart RBI:
Cozart AVG:

Mesoraco HR:
Mesoraco RBI:
Mesoraco AVG:

Rolen HR:
Rolen RBI:
Rolen AVG:
Rolen starts:
hasbeen's avatar
hasbeen
Posts: 6,504
Mar 5, 2012 5:13pm
Stubbs K: 178
hasbeen's avatar
hasbeen
Posts: 6,504
Mar 5, 2012 5:13pm
But I think they'll take the division.
Mooney44Cards's avatar
Mooney44Cards
Posts: 2,754
Mar 5, 2012 6:48pm
Record: 94-68
Place: 1st
Final series played in: NLCS

Award winners: Cueto-CY, Phillips-GG&SS, Votto-GG&SS
(MVP, CY, GG, SS, ROY)

Cueto wins: 24
Cueto ERA: 2.27

Latos wins: 16
Latos ERA: 3.42

Arroyo wins: 14
Arroyo ERA: 4.10

Leake wins: 16
Leake ERA: 3.24

Bailey wins: 15
Bailey ERA: 3.57

Madson saves: 38
Madson ERA: 2.62

Bullpen ERA: 2.58

Votto HR: 38
Votto RBI: 135
Votto AVG: .322

Bruce HR: 45
Bruce RBI: 116
Bruce AVG: .289

Phillips HR: 19
Phillips RBI: 74
Phillips AVG: .292

Stubbs HR: 24
Stubbs RBI: 90
Stubbs AVG: .269
Stubbs K: 185
Stubbs bunt hits: 10

Cozart HR: 18
Cozart RBI: 72
Cozart AVG: .287

Mesoraco HR: 16
Mesoraco RBI: 49
Mesoraco AVG: .244

Rolen HR: 18
Rolen RBI: 75
Rolen AVG: .280
Rolen starts: 110
D
dave
Posts: 4,558
Mar 5, 2012 7:37pm
Mooney, if those stats are true they will win 110 games. Hope you are right.
Z
zach24oz
Posts: 598
Mar 5, 2012 7:52pm
Man those offensive stats are crazy! Cozart hitting 18hrs, Bruce 45, and Cueto with 24 Ws? I hope some of that could come true but there's no way...
Mooney44Cards's avatar
Mooney44Cards
Posts: 2,754
Mar 5, 2012 8:09pm
zach24oz;1106196 wrote:Man those offensive stats are crazy! Cozart hitting 18hrs, Bruce 45, and Cueto with 24 Ws? I hope some of that could come true but there's no way...
I am truly an optimist. Bruce hitting 45 is slightly crazy, but if he could put it together he could do it easily. Lets not forget he hit 32 last year but had long streaks where he couldn't hit shit.

Cueto winning 24 is pretty crazy, but as you can see I have him winning the Cy Young as well. I think it could happen, but only if he stays healthy.

I'm not sure what's crazy about Cozart hitting 18 HRs? I mean the dude has pop. Fan Graphs projects 13....I don't think 5 more than that is out of the realm of possibility. It all depends on if his elbow is 100%. And if he is batting around .287 Dusty would have no choice but to play him a lot, so its possible.

I think this offense is going to be a juggernaut this year. They should easily score the most runs in the NL (if everyone is healthy of course) and the more runs they score the more wins our starting pitchers will get. Especially since the bullpen on paper is solid as hell.

So yeah, I think my stats should of course be taken with a grain of salt, but its not like I'm projecting anything that is hugely unrealistic for any one player. Its just doubtful that they would ALL be that good at once. But hey....if they get on a roll early and they start winning a lot of games they could certainly all put it together.
Ironman92's avatar
Ironman92
Posts: 49,363
Mar 5, 2012 9:34pm
86-76

Votto

.322 36 HR, 32 2B, 116 RBI, 114 Runs, 2nd MVP Voting

Homer Bailey 8-9 172 innings

Bruce .267, 29 HR, 87 RBI
Stubbs 181 K

Phillips....major blow up of some sort

Dusty Baker will suck.
gerb131's avatar
gerb131
Posts: 9,932
Mar 5, 2012 11:43pm
I don't know but this is the most I've looked forward to a Reds season in quite a long time.
I just hope Arroyo can return to some kind of form and Madsen is the answer at closer.
justincredible's avatar
justincredible
Posts: 32,056
Mar 6, 2012 11:56am
dave;1106175 wrote:Mooney, if those stats are true they will win 110 games. Hope you are right.
Yeah, that was my thought as well. I thought I was an optimist. :)
justincredible's avatar
justincredible
Posts: 32,056
Mar 6, 2012 11:57am
My "bold" prediction is that the 5 starters we break camp with will all win 12+ games. Cueto, Latos, Leake, Bailey, and Arroyo. Chapman will tear up in AAA and they will deal him near the deadline for a legit ML bat.
justincredible's avatar
justincredible
Posts: 32,056
Mar 6, 2012 12:08pm
Record: 95-67
Place: 1st
Final series played in: WS

Award winners: Phillips - GG & SS, Votto - GG & SS, Bruce - GG & SS, Leake - SS, Mesoraco - ROY, Votto - MVP
(MVP, CY, GG, SS, ROY)

Cueto wins: 15
Cueto ERA: 3.50

Latos wins: 17
Latos ERA: 3.40

Arroyo wins: 12
Arroyo ERA: 4.10

Leake wins: 15
Leake ERA: 3.60

Bailey wins: 13
Bailey ERA: 3.90

Madson saves: 41
Madson ERA: 2.40

Bullpen ERA: 2.70

Votto HR: 37
Votto RBI: 112
Votto AVG: .319

Bruce HR: 40
Bruce RBI: 120
Bruce AVG: .279

Phillips HR: 17
Phillips RBI: 81
Phillips AVG: .298

Stubbs HR: 24
Stubbs RBI: 89
Stubbs AVG: .271
Stubbs K: 181
Stubbs bunt hits: 4

Cozart HR: 16
Cozart RBI: 70
Cozart AVG: .283

Mesoraco HR: 19
Mesoraco RBI: 62
Mesoraco AVG: .279

Rolen HR: 15
Rolen RBI: 60
Rolen AVG: .280
Rolen starts: 90
karen lotz's avatar
karen lotz
Posts: 22,284
Mar 6, 2012 12:09pm
I don't see how they lose more than 3 or 4 games.
justincredible's avatar
justincredible
Posts: 32,056
Mar 6, 2012 12:22pm
karen lotz;1106918 wrote:I don't see how they lose more than 3 or 4 games.

Indeed.
Azubuike24's avatar
Azubuike24
Posts: 15,933
Mar 6, 2012 12:23pm
Record: 92-70
Place: 1st, NL Central
Final series played in: World Series

Award winners: Joey Votto (1st NL MVP), Zack Cozart (2nd NL ROY), Brandon Phillips, Joey Votto, Jay Bruce (gold gloves), Johnny Cueto (4th NL CY), Mat Latos (8th NL CY)

Cueto wins: 19
Cueto ERA: 2.91

Latos wins: 17
Latos ERA: 3.26

Arroyo wins: 12
Arroyo ERA: 4.86

Leake wins: 13
Leake ERA: 3.95

Bailey wins: 15
Bailey ERA: 3.82

Madson saves: 42
Madson ERA: 2.18

Bullpen ERA: 3.14

Votto HR: 42
Votto RBI: 125
Votto AVG: .326

Bruce HR: 41
Bruce RBI: 110
Bruce AVG: .276

Phillips HR: 19
Phillips RBI: 89
Phillips AVG: .289

Stubbs HR: 21
Stubbs RBI: 77
Stubbs AVG: .281
Stubbs K: 169
Stubbs bunt hits: 26

Cozart HR: 18
Cozart RBI: 84
Cozart AVG: .296

Mesoraco HR: 25
Mesoraco RBI: 76
Mesoraco AVG: .261

Rolen HR: 18
Rolen RBI: 64
Rolen AVG: .274
Rolen starts: 95
Commander of Awesome's avatar
Commander of Awesome
Posts: 23,151
Mar 6, 2012 1:10pm
justincredible;1106914 wrote:Record: 95-67
Want to bet on the win total again for this season?
justincredible's avatar
justincredible
Posts: 32,056
Mar 6, 2012 1:13pm
Commander of Awesome;1107003 wrote:Want to bet on the win total again for this season?
I'll bet, but only on 90 wins.
Commander of Awesome's avatar
Commander of Awesome
Posts: 23,151
Mar 6, 2012 1:15pm
justincredible;1107006 wrote:I'll bet, but only on 90 wins.
How about Avatar bet from when the reds win 91 games, or mathematically can't win 91 games until WS?
justincredible's avatar
justincredible
Posts: 32,056
Mar 6, 2012 1:24pm
Commander of Awesome;1107010 wrote:How about Avatar bet from when the reds win 91 games, or mathematically can't win 91 games until WS?
That works for me. Through the WS.
SportsAndLady's avatar
SportsAndLady
Posts: 35,632
Mar 6, 2012 1:27pm
justincredible;1107019 wrote:That works for me. Through the WS.
Don't make my mistake and agree on a length that is 8,000 months long








:(
justincredible's avatar
justincredible
Posts: 32,056
Mar 6, 2012 1:33pm
SportsAndLady;1107021 wrote:Don't make my mistake and agree on a length that is 8,000 months long








:(
lol, what did you agree to? And with who?
Commander of Awesome's avatar
Commander of Awesome
Posts: 23,151
Mar 6, 2012 1:34pm
justincredible;1107019 wrote:That works for me. Through the WS.
Done.
SportsAndLady's avatar
SportsAndLady
Posts: 35,632
Mar 6, 2012 1:47pm
justincredible;1107028 wrote:lol, what did you agree to? And with who?
With fuckin tobias
OSU or ND to win more games

Til the spring game...the fuckin spring game
justincredible's avatar
justincredible
Posts: 32,056
Mar 6, 2012 1:51pm
That isn't 8,000 months away.
Commander of Awesome's avatar
Commander of Awesome
Posts: 23,151
Mar 6, 2012 1:53pm
justincredible;1107054 wrote:That isn't 8,000 months away.
give or take a few months obv. Its closer than -8345 months away.