Reds prediction thread

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justincredible's avatar

justincredible

Nick Mangold

32,056 posts
Mar 5, 2012 5:02 PM
Post your predictions for the following categories. Feel free to add any other categories as well.

Record:
Place:
Final series played in:

Award winners:
(MVP, CY, GG, SS, ROY)

Cueto wins:
Cueto ERA:

Latos wins:
Latos ERA:

Arroyo wins:
Arroyo ERA:

Leake wins:
Leake ERA:

Bailey wins:
Bailey ERA:

Madson saves:
Madson ERA:

Bullpen ERA:

Votto HR:
Votto RBI:
Votto AVG:

Bruce HR:
Bruce RBI:
Bruce AVG:

Phillips HR:
Phillips RBI:
Phillips AVG:

Stubbs HR:
Stubbs RBI:
Stubbs AVG:
Stubbs K:
Stubbs bunt hits:

Cozart HR:
Cozart RBI:
Cozart AVG:

Mesoraco HR:
Mesoraco RBI:
Mesoraco AVG:

Rolen HR:
Rolen RBI:
Rolen AVG:
Rolen starts:
Mar 5, 2012 5:02pm
hasbeen's avatar

hasbeen

Excuse me, Flo?

6,504 posts
Mar 5, 2012 5:13 PM
Stubbs K: 178
Mar 5, 2012 5:13pm
hasbeen's avatar

hasbeen

Excuse me, Flo?

6,504 posts
Mar 5, 2012 5:13 PM
But I think they'll take the division.
Mar 5, 2012 5:13pm
Mooney44Cards's avatar

Mooney44Cards

Senior Member

2,754 posts
Mar 5, 2012 6:48 PM
Record: 94-68
Place: 1st
Final series played in: NLCS

Award winners: Cueto-CY, Phillips-GG&SS, Votto-GG&SS
(MVP, CY, GG, SS, ROY)

Cueto wins: 24
Cueto ERA: 2.27

Latos wins: 16
Latos ERA: 3.42

Arroyo wins: 14
Arroyo ERA: 4.10

Leake wins: 16
Leake ERA: 3.24

Bailey wins: 15
Bailey ERA: 3.57

Madson saves: 38
Madson ERA: 2.62

Bullpen ERA: 2.58

Votto HR: 38
Votto RBI: 135
Votto AVG: .322

Bruce HR: 45
Bruce RBI: 116
Bruce AVG: .289

Phillips HR: 19
Phillips RBI: 74
Phillips AVG: .292

Stubbs HR: 24
Stubbs RBI: 90
Stubbs AVG: .269
Stubbs K: 185
Stubbs bunt hits: 10

Cozart HR: 18
Cozart RBI: 72
Cozart AVG: .287

Mesoraco HR: 16
Mesoraco RBI: 49
Mesoraco AVG: .244

Rolen HR: 18
Rolen RBI: 75
Rolen AVG: .280
Rolen starts: 110
Mar 5, 2012 6:48pm
D

dave

Senior Member

4,558 posts
Mar 5, 2012 7:37 PM
Mooney, if those stats are true they will win 110 games. Hope you are right.
Mar 5, 2012 7:37pm
Z

zach24oz

Senior Member

598 posts
Mar 5, 2012 7:52 PM
Man those offensive stats are crazy! Cozart hitting 18hrs, Bruce 45, and Cueto with 24 Ws? I hope some of that could come true but there's no way...
Mar 5, 2012 7:52pm
Mooney44Cards's avatar

Mooney44Cards

Senior Member

2,754 posts
Mar 5, 2012 8:09 PM
zach24oz;1106196 wrote:Man those offensive stats are crazy! Cozart hitting 18hrs, Bruce 45, and Cueto with 24 Ws? I hope some of that could come true but there's no way...
I am truly an optimist. Bruce hitting 45 is slightly crazy, but if he could put it together he could do it easily. Lets not forget he hit 32 last year but had long streaks where he couldn't hit shit.

Cueto winning 24 is pretty crazy, but as you can see I have him winning the Cy Young as well. I think it could happen, but only if he stays healthy.

I'm not sure what's crazy about Cozart hitting 18 HRs? I mean the dude has pop. Fan Graphs projects 13....I don't think 5 more than that is out of the realm of possibility. It all depends on if his elbow is 100%. And if he is batting around .287 Dusty would have no choice but to play him a lot, so its possible.

I think this offense is going to be a juggernaut this year. They should easily score the most runs in the NL (if everyone is healthy of course) and the more runs they score the more wins our starting pitchers will get. Especially since the bullpen on paper is solid as hell.

So yeah, I think my stats should of course be taken with a grain of salt, but its not like I'm projecting anything that is hugely unrealistic for any one player. Its just doubtful that they would ALL be that good at once. But hey....if they get on a roll early and they start winning a lot of games they could certainly all put it together.
Mar 5, 2012 8:09pm
Ironman92's avatar

Ironman92

Administrator

49,363 posts
Mar 5, 2012 9:34 PM
86-76

Votto

.322 36 HR, 32 2B, 116 RBI, 114 Runs, 2nd MVP Voting

Homer Bailey 8-9 172 innings

Bruce .267, 29 HR, 87 RBI
Stubbs 181 K

Phillips....major blow up of some sort

Dusty Baker will suck.
Mar 5, 2012 9:34pm
gerb131's avatar

gerb131

Senior Member

9,932 posts
Mar 5, 2012 11:43 PM
I don't know but this is the most I've looked forward to a Reds season in quite a long time.
I just hope Arroyo can return to some kind of form and Madsen is the answer at closer.
Mar 5, 2012 11:43pm
justincredible's avatar

justincredible

Nick Mangold

32,056 posts
Mar 6, 2012 11:56 AM
dave;1106175 wrote:Mooney, if those stats are true they will win 110 games. Hope you are right.
Yeah, that was my thought as well. I thought I was an optimist. :)
Mar 6, 2012 11:56am
justincredible's avatar

justincredible

Nick Mangold

32,056 posts
Mar 6, 2012 11:57 AM
My "bold" prediction is that the 5 starters we break camp with will all win 12+ games. Cueto, Latos, Leake, Bailey, and Arroyo. Chapman will tear up in AAA and they will deal him near the deadline for a legit ML bat.
Mar 6, 2012 11:57am
justincredible's avatar

justincredible

Nick Mangold

32,056 posts
Mar 6, 2012 12:08 PM
Record: 95-67
Place: 1st
Final series played in: WS

Award winners: Phillips - GG & SS, Votto - GG & SS, Bruce - GG & SS, Leake - SS, Mesoraco - ROY, Votto - MVP
(MVP, CY, GG, SS, ROY)

Cueto wins: 15
Cueto ERA: 3.50

Latos wins: 17
Latos ERA: 3.40

Arroyo wins: 12
Arroyo ERA: 4.10

Leake wins: 15
Leake ERA: 3.60

Bailey wins: 13
Bailey ERA: 3.90

Madson saves: 41
Madson ERA: 2.40

Bullpen ERA: 2.70

Votto HR: 37
Votto RBI: 112
Votto AVG: .319

Bruce HR: 40
Bruce RBI: 120
Bruce AVG: .279

Phillips HR: 17
Phillips RBI: 81
Phillips AVG: .298

Stubbs HR: 24
Stubbs RBI: 89
Stubbs AVG: .271
Stubbs K: 181
Stubbs bunt hits: 4

Cozart HR: 16
Cozart RBI: 70
Cozart AVG: .283

Mesoraco HR: 19
Mesoraco RBI: 62
Mesoraco AVG: .279

Rolen HR: 15
Rolen RBI: 60
Rolen AVG: .280
Rolen starts: 90
Mar 6, 2012 12:08pm
karen lotz's avatar

karen lotz

TuTu Train

22,284 posts
Mar 6, 2012 12:09 PM
I don't see how they lose more than 3 or 4 games.
Mar 6, 2012 12:09pm
justincredible's avatar

justincredible

Nick Mangold

32,056 posts
Mar 6, 2012 12:22 PM
karen lotz;1106918 wrote:I don't see how they lose more than 3 or 4 games.

Indeed.
Mar 6, 2012 12:22pm
Azubuike24's avatar

Azubuike24

Senior Member

15,933 posts
Mar 6, 2012 12:23 PM
Record: 92-70
Place: 1st, NL Central
Final series played in: World Series

Award winners: Joey Votto (1st NL MVP), Zack Cozart (2nd NL ROY), Brandon Phillips, Joey Votto, Jay Bruce (gold gloves), Johnny Cueto (4th NL CY), Mat Latos (8th NL CY)

Cueto wins: 19
Cueto ERA: 2.91

Latos wins: 17
Latos ERA: 3.26

Arroyo wins: 12
Arroyo ERA: 4.86

Leake wins: 13
Leake ERA: 3.95

Bailey wins: 15
Bailey ERA: 3.82

Madson saves: 42
Madson ERA: 2.18

Bullpen ERA: 3.14

Votto HR: 42
Votto RBI: 125
Votto AVG: .326

Bruce HR: 41
Bruce RBI: 110
Bruce AVG: .276

Phillips HR: 19
Phillips RBI: 89
Phillips AVG: .289

Stubbs HR: 21
Stubbs RBI: 77
Stubbs AVG: .281
Stubbs K: 169
Stubbs bunt hits: 26

Cozart HR: 18
Cozart RBI: 84
Cozart AVG: .296

Mesoraco HR: 25
Mesoraco RBI: 76
Mesoraco AVG: .261

Rolen HR: 18
Rolen RBI: 64
Rolen AVG: .274
Rolen starts: 95
Mar 6, 2012 12:23pm
Commander of Awesome's avatar

Commander of Awesome

Senior Pwner

23,151 posts
Mar 6, 2012 1:10 PM
justincredible;1106914 wrote:Record: 95-67
Want to bet on the win total again for this season?
Mar 6, 2012 1:10pm
justincredible's avatar

justincredible

Nick Mangold

32,056 posts
Mar 6, 2012 1:13 PM
Commander of Awesome;1107003 wrote:Want to bet on the win total again for this season?
I'll bet, but only on 90 wins.
Mar 6, 2012 1:13pm
Commander of Awesome's avatar

Commander of Awesome

Senior Pwner

23,151 posts
Mar 6, 2012 1:15 PM
justincredible;1107006 wrote:I'll bet, but only on 90 wins.
How about Avatar bet from when the reds win 91 games, or mathematically can't win 91 games until WS?
Mar 6, 2012 1:15pm
justincredible's avatar

justincredible

Nick Mangold

32,056 posts
Mar 6, 2012 1:24 PM
Commander of Awesome;1107010 wrote:How about Avatar bet from when the reds win 91 games, or mathematically can't win 91 games until WS?
That works for me. Through the WS.
Mar 6, 2012 1:24pm
SportsAndLady's avatar

SportsAndLady

Senior Member

35,632 posts
Mar 6, 2012 1:27 PM
justincredible;1107019 wrote:That works for me. Through the WS.
Don't make my mistake and agree on a length that is 8,000 months long








:(
Mar 6, 2012 1:27pm
justincredible's avatar

justincredible

Nick Mangold

32,056 posts
Mar 6, 2012 1:33 PM
SportsAndLady;1107021 wrote:Don't make my mistake and agree on a length that is 8,000 months long








:(
lol, what did you agree to? And with who?
Mar 6, 2012 1:33pm
Commander of Awesome's avatar

Commander of Awesome

Senior Pwner

23,151 posts
Mar 6, 2012 1:34 PM
justincredible;1107019 wrote:That works for me. Through the WS.
Done.
Mar 6, 2012 1:34pm
SportsAndLady's avatar

SportsAndLady

Senior Member

35,632 posts
Mar 6, 2012 1:47 PM
justincredible;1107028 wrote:lol, what did you agree to? And with who?
With fuckin tobias
OSU or ND to win more games

Til the spring game...the fuckin spring game
Mar 6, 2012 1:47pm
justincredible's avatar

justincredible

Nick Mangold

32,056 posts
Mar 6, 2012 1:51 PM
That isn't 8,000 months away.
Mar 6, 2012 1:51pm
Commander of Awesome's avatar

Commander of Awesome

Senior Pwner

23,151 posts
Mar 6, 2012 1:53 PM
justincredible;1107054 wrote:That isn't 8,000 months away.
give or take a few months obv. Its closer than -8345 months away.
Mar 6, 2012 1:53pm