jmog;1007486 wrote:You can't be serious...
I didn't imply anything, I just said that it is fiscally irresponsible to allow unemployment payments to go on for 2 years, period.
Actually there is evidence that if unemployment only lasts the original 26 weeks, instead of the current 99 weeks, that upon getting laid off someone would be much more motivated to find/take even a lower paying job. Trust me, I did this when I was laid off back in 2003, you quickly take a job to pay the bills and get rid of as many bills as you can when you KNOW you only have a couple months of unemployment.
If I knew I had nearly 2 years, come on, I'm going to take a few weeks off, stay around the house with the wife and kids, etc.
I know I am not alone here. When I was laid off before it was the last recession after 9/11, unemployment was up at 7% and I took crap jobs for awhile (tutoring, delivering pizza, etc) and went back to school to get my MS.
You can not deny that some people on unemployment, welfare, whatever are lazy. I didn't not say most or on average, I said some. Said people might be more motivated if they new the checks would stop coming in 6 months.
Well apologies for suggesting you implied something you say you did not...but either way, it is NOT fiscally irresponsible to extend unemployment benefits in the current macroeconomic scenario. In fact, as long as there is a depressed economy is more fiscally harmful to the budget not to have such types of safety net expenditures.
And, the whole motivation concept misses the point when you're in a persistently demand depressed economy like we have been for nearly half a decade. Even if everyone who were unemployed could take a pill and instantly become perfectly motivated to take even the lowest paying job available there would not be enough jobs available to meet the supply of available labor. That is what it means when we have unemployment rates this high.
It is NOT fiscally irresponsible to have lengthy unemployment benefits in this scenario if you're not going to do anything as a society to restore demand for their labor because if their unemployment benefits are cut and there is no job available (which is what happens in this macro scenario!) then demand contracts even further (people aren't using the insurance money to buy food, pay rent, etc.) and more people are laid off and unemployment rises further.
Additionally, as even fewer people pay taxes and use their unemployment insurance, government outlays increase, growth slows and the deficit and debt get even worse.
Thus, as you can see, it is fiscally irresponsible NOT to have lengthy unemployment benefits if the government insists on waiting around for years for demand return. Now, if you would support actually doing something to employ people and restore demand for their labor then I would agree with you.
Any talk about increasing motivation to find a job is misplaced in this crisis. Sure that applies to people who get laid off in a robust economy at full employment but that does not apply here. Even if everyone were maximally motivated to take any available job shoveling poo many would not be able to find a job. If Christ himself were to come down and align everyone up with the available jobs that best suit them, there would not be enough jobs for all of the available workers. Thus, hoping to disincentivize laziness in a multi-year economic crisis with an oversupply of workers is not a good idea as benefits just run out and there are people who won't find a job, period. It does nothing to fix the problem of their being an oversupply of workers. An ultra-motivated oversupply of workers is still an oversupply of workers. On a micro-level a guy who might otherwise sit on the couch may choose to shovel gravel but we need to be concerned with macro-level results.
In the real world everyone has their own anecdotal story about the guy who was extra motivated and worked two crappy jobs versus the lazy guy who waited until his benefits were almost up but that has no bearing on what the proper macroeconomic policy ought to be. The fact that in the real world there are lazy people is a moot point.