Republican candidates for 2012

Politics 4,782 replies 125,003 views
O-Trap's avatar
O-Trap
Posts: 14,994
Nov 21, 2011 5:48pm
gut;982697 wrote:Well, technically the dot com boom balanced the budget. Won't prevent Newt from taking credit....just saying.
Just like Bubba did. You're dead on, though.
2kool4skool's avatar
2kool4skool
Posts: 1,804
Nov 21, 2011 6:33pm
Footwedge;982649 wrote:I think Newt will be the nominee when it's all said and done
Zero chance.
F
Footwedge
Posts: 9,265
Nov 21, 2011 7:16pm
2kool4skool;982799 wrote:Zero chance.
According to Pinnaclesports.com, an offshore bookie joint, romney is now a 9-5 favorite against the GOP field. But.....2 weeks ago, he was a 13 to 5 favorite...so the odds are dropping. Also, the latest odds are that Obama is a 6-5 favorite over any GOP candidate that emerges.

http://www.pinnaclesports.com/ContestCategory/Politics/300~2A~+U~2E~S~2E~+2012+Presidential+Election/Lines.aspx
2kool4skool's avatar
2kool4skool
Posts: 1,804
Nov 21, 2011 7:23pm
Footwedge;982832 wrote:According to Pinnaclesports.com, an offshore bookie joint, romney is now a 9-5 favorite against the GOP field. But.....2 weeks ago, he was a 13 to 5 favorite...so the odds are dropping. Also, the latest odds are that Obama is a 6-5 favorite over any GOP candidate that emerges.

http://www.pinnaclesports.com/ContestCategory/Politics/300~2A~+U~2E~S~2E~+2012+Presidential+Election/Lines.aspx
Don't worry, I have a significant amount of money placed on Romney from when he was a 4-1 underdog back in 2009(Palin, Huckabee, and Jindal were all ahead of him LOL.)

Anyone that has paid attention to how voters respond historically, and how the 2012 primaries were shaping up, have known Romney was going to be the nominee for some time. That's why it's so hilarious watching people talk about the never-ending string of "challengers" exiting the clown car.
F
Footwedge
Posts: 9,265
Nov 21, 2011 8:15pm
2kool4skool;982842 wrote:Don't worry, I have a significant amount of money placed on Romney from when he was a 4-1 underdog back in 2009(Palin, Huckabee, and Jindal were all ahead of him LOL.)

Anyone that has paid attention to how voters respond historically, and how the 2012 primaries were shaping up, have known Romney was going to be the nominee for some time. That's why it's so hilarious watching people talk about the never-ending string of "challengers" exiting the clown car.
Ahah!!. I knew that you had an agenda. The man with the Magic Underpants is still favored.
2kool4skool's avatar
2kool4skool
Posts: 1,804
Nov 21, 2011 8:24pm
Footwedge;982902 wrote:Ahah!!. I knew that you had an agenda. The man with the Magic Underpants is still favored.
What agenda? I can't influence the primary. I just did a lot of research and found it obvious that Romney was/is going to win the nomination. Barring some sort of scandal, I don't see how it can conceivably end any other way. I'm simply posting on here to try and help Republicans come to terms with the fact he's going to be their nominee, whether they like it or not.

Oh well, we'll find out soon enough I guess. Then on to the general where I imagine Obama will win(though I'm not nearly as confident in that.)
O-Trap's avatar
O-Trap
Posts: 14,994
Nov 21, 2011 10:01pm
2kool4skool;982910 wrote:Oh well, we'll find out soon enough I guess. Then on to the general where I imagine Obama will win(though I'm not nearly as confident in that.)
At that point, would it really matter? They're pretty much the same politician with different letters next to their names.
2kool4skool's avatar
2kool4skool
Posts: 1,804
Nov 21, 2011 10:16pm
O-Trap;983086 wrote:At that point, would it really matter? They're pretty much the same politician with different letters next to their names.
I agree. Honestly, most Americans' lives won't change one bit regardless of which candidate from either side becomes President in a given year. There's a few exceptions to that, Paul being one of them. But the guys who would truly change things rarely have a real shot.
S
stlouiedipalma
Posts: 1,797
Nov 21, 2011 10:43pm
majorspark;981751 wrote:Come the general election this issue will fade away. The last thing the democrats want is attention focused on Freddie and Fannie. A lot of people took a lot of money. A hell of a lot more than Newt.



Unless the adultery was recent or during the campaign, I don't think past adultery issues matter so much anymore. Bill Clinton pretty much put that issue to bed (pun intended).



Obama was against the individual mandate before he was for it. So this will not matter in a general election either.

[video=youtube;7AOJBiklP1Q][/video]



I believe all were dismissed except one. I doubt this gets any real traction either.

Like I said before I am not a big fan of Newt. I share his fondness of history. However he not only knows his history but also his politics. During the debates he says things that hit the nail right on the head. He knows when and where to throw a political bone and to whom. He has thrown them all over the place in times past. I am not sure he can be trusted.
These issues are the ones which will kill his chances for the nomination, not the general election. He won't be able to pass scrutiny in his own party and at the end of the day, the Republicans turn their lonely eyes to Mitt (woo, woo, woo).
majorspark's avatar
majorspark
Posts: 5,122
Nov 21, 2011 11:07pm
stlouiedipalma;983202 wrote:These issues are the ones which will kill his chances for the nomination, not the general election. He won't be able to pass scrutiny in his own party and at the end of the day
Now this I agree likely could happen. I have a lot of issues with Newt. More than listed above. But he is surging in polls right now so who knows.
O-Trap's avatar
O-Trap
Posts: 14,994
Nov 21, 2011 11:19pm
2kool4skool;983130 wrote:I agree. Honestly, most Americans' lives won't change one bit regardless of which candidate from either side becomes President in a given year. There's a few exceptions to that, Paul being one of them. But the guys who would truly change things rarely have a real shot.
I agree.
I
I Wear Pants
Posts: 16,223
Nov 21, 2011 11:24pm
2kool4skool;983130 wrote:I agree. Honestly, most Americans' lives won't change one bit regardless of which candidate from either side becomes President in a given year. There's a few exceptions to that, Paul being one of them. But the guys who would truly change things rarely have a real shot.
+all the internets
fish82's avatar
fish82
Posts: 4,111
Nov 22, 2011 2:27pm
The GOP "Flavor of the Week" is getting old...which is why I've spent the past 6 months telling everyone to take a deep breath and go watch something else until the primaries start. Everything else is a waste of time. :cool:
Cleveland Buck's avatar
Cleveland Buck
Posts: 5,126
Nov 22, 2011 3:14pm
Congressman Ron Paul is leading by a significant margin in Iowa, according to preliminary results of a new TeleResearch poll.

Revolution PAC, the Super PAC formed to support presidential candidate Ron Paul, has received early data from the commissioned Iowa poll. The TeleResearch survey is the first to incorporate disaffected Democrats and Independents who will not vote to reelect Obama and will instead crossover to participate in the Iowa Republican Caucus, as well as likely Republican caucus-goers.


Survey sample size is approximately 2,900, with almost 700 likely Republican caucus-goers. Indiana’s TeleResearch Corp., which has been polling voters for more than 18 years, reports that the margin of error is less than 3%.


Factoring in both Republican caucus-goers and disaffected Democrats and Independents who’ve indicated that they will participate in the Iowa Republican Caucus, Ron Paul leads at 25%, with an approximate 4-point advantage over Newt Gingrich and Herman Cain.


Factoring in only Republicans voters, Ron Paul is in a three-way dead heat for the lead, with Paul and Cain tied and Gingrich trailing by 1 point.


The poll also reveals that more than 25% of all respondents – Democrats, Republicans and Independents – stated that an interventionist foreign policy is the greatest threat to long-term peace and national security.


Full analysis of the results will be posted tomorrow at http://RevolutionPAC.com.
http://www.revolutionpac.com/2011/11/new-iowa-poll-places-ron-paul-firmly-in-first-with-25/
O-Trap's avatar
O-Trap
Posts: 14,994
Nov 22, 2011 3:30pm
This would actually be the advantage to the Rerepublicans nominating Paul, as he seems to be the Republican with the best chance to garner votes from disgruntled Democrats and a lot of Independents.
jhay78's avatar
jhay78
Posts: 1,917
Nov 22, 2011 7:12pm
O-Trap;983993 wrote:This would actually be the advantage to the Rerepublicans nominating Paul, as he seems to be the Republican with the best chance to garner votes from disgruntled Democrats and a lot of Independents.
He also appears to be the best chance to scare the crap out of people, at least so far in Iowa:
Ron Paul, while placing fourth overall, is also the candidate Iowa voters least want to see win the nomination. Eighteen percent (18%) hold name Paul as the least favorite candidate followed closely by Bachmann at 15%. Thirteen percent (13%) don't want to see Romney or Huntsman grab the nomination, while 11% would like to see Cain miss the nod. Only eight percent (8%) name Gingrich as the candidate they least want to see win.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/iowa/2012_iowa_republican_caucus
ptown_trojans_1's avatar
ptown_trojans_1
Posts: 7,632
Nov 22, 2011 7:54pm
I have favored Huntsman in the R field, as he seems the least crazy in terms of foreign policy.
A solid piece:
http://www.cnn.com/2011/11/22/opinion/huntsman-foreign-policy/index.html
I
I Wear Pants
Posts: 16,223
Nov 22, 2011 9:55pm
For the "Islam isn't a religion" crowd:

http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/human_nature/2011/11/christian_theocracy_how_newt_gingrich_and_the_gop_would_abolish_courts_and_legislate_morality_.html?MIAOU

Is Christianity not a religion but a political system? Come on now, you can't have it both ways.
O-Trap's avatar
O-Trap
Posts: 14,994
Nov 22, 2011 10:32pm
jhay78;984232 wrote:He also appears to be the best chance to scare the crap out of people, at least so far in Iowa:



http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/iowa/2012_iowa_republican_caucus
Not particularly surprising, as a ton of Republicans seem to like big government, which would explain why people like Romney and Gingrich are doing so well.

I'd be willing to bet those people are also the ones who believe that if we're not policing any nation that we don't think likes us, the terrorists win. Not sure those people being scared is a bad thing.
G
gut
Posts: 15,058
Nov 22, 2011 10:37pm
O-Trap;984434 wrote:Not particularly surprising, as a ton of Republicans seem to like big government
Poor people can be bible-thumpers and homo-phobes, too.
I
I Wear Pants
Posts: 16,223
Nov 22, 2011 10:47pm
gut;984448 wrote:Poor people can be bible-thumpers and homo-phobes, too.
Lol. Poor people = not Republicans now?
pmoney25's avatar
pmoney25
Posts: 1,787
Nov 22, 2011 11:07pm
Im a Ronulan all the way . I do think Huntsman came off pretty good tonight honestly. Against patriot act , wants to end wars, knows sanctions against Iran are stupid and won't work. Amazing how Romney is now Captain Conservativ or at least plays so on tv
I
I Wear Pants
Posts: 16,223
Nov 22, 2011 11:17pm
Anyone against the Patriot Act will at least have me long enough to listen to what they say. Anyone for it is a moron (yes conservatards, that includes Obama).
O-Trap's avatar
O-Trap
Posts: 14,994
Nov 22, 2011 11:26pm
gut;984448 wrote:Poor people can be bible-thumpers and homo-phobes, too.

I don't follow.
pmoney25;984498 wrote:Amazing how Romney is now Captain Conservativ or at least plays so on tv

The beautiful irony ...
I Wear Pants;984516 wrote:Anyone against the Patriot Act will at least have me long enough to listen to what they say. Anyone for it is a moron (yes conservatards, that includes Obama).
Agreed.