Republican candidates for 2012

Politics 4,782 replies 125,003 views
Cleveland Buck's avatar
Cleveland Buck
Posts: 5,126
Sep 25, 2011 5:46pm
I like Cain better than RINOs like Romney and Santorum or big government types like Perry, but he isn't different enough from them for me to vote for him. He was the chairman of the Kansas City Federal Reserve and opposes even auditing the Fed let alone reforming it (yes he recently flip flopped saying he would audit the Fed because it is the popular stance, but he would never do anything to the Fed as president). He supported the bailouts. I'm not going to settle anymore and waste my vote. What is the difference if Cain or Romney or Christie or Obama win? You might get some kind of tax cut through Congress, but none of them are going to significantly cut spending. None of them are going to deal with our monetary policy. None of them are going to do anything to let the market correct itself and then stay out of it so we can have real growth again. If my vote for someone other than the R or D means one or the other wins, so what? They aren't different enough for it to matter.
O-Trap's avatar
O-Trap
Posts: 14,994
Sep 25, 2011 6:17pm
Cleveland Buck;910518 wrote:I like Cain better than RINOs like Romney and Santorum or big government types like Perry, but he isn't different enough from them for me to vote for him. He was the chairman of the Kansas City Federal Reserve and opposes even auditing the Fed let alone reforming it (yes he recently flip flopped saying he would audit the Fed because it is the popular stance, but he would never do anything to the Fed as president). He supported the bailouts. I'm not going to settle anymore and waste my vote. What is the difference if Cain or Romney or Christie or Obama win? You might get some kind of tax cut through Congress, but none of them are going to significantly cut spending. None of them are going to deal with our monetary policy. None of them are going to do anything to let the market correct itself and then stay out of it so we can have real growth again. If my vote for someone other than the R or D means one or the other wins, so what? They aren't different enough for it to matter.
Reps.
I
I Wear Pants
Posts: 16,223
Sep 25, 2011 8:57pm
Lot of good points there Cleveland Buck.
Ty Webb's avatar
Ty Webb
Posts: 2,798
Sep 25, 2011 9:38pm
Latest projection from 270towin.com:

President Obama wins 275-263 losing from 2008 the following:

Iowa
Indiana
Florida
Virginia
North Carolina
Minnesota
G
gut
Posts: 15,058
Sep 25, 2011 10:27pm
That small of a margin against an un-named Repub candidate? Pretty much says the Repubs will have to find someone worse than Al Gore to run in order for Obama to win the election.
I
I Wear Pants
Posts: 16,223
Sep 25, 2011 10:29pm
gut;911058 wrote:That small of a margin against an un-named Repub candidate? Pretty much says the Repubs will have to find someone worse than Al Gore to run in order for Obama to win the election.
Someone bad enough to win the popular vote?
M
Mark Mack
Posts: 109
Sep 25, 2011 10:49pm
gut;911058 wrote:That small of a margin against an un-named Repub candidate? Pretty much says the Repubs will have to find someone worse than Al Gore to run in order for Obama to win the election.
Just looked it up myself and those are only the numbers for Romney and Perry
Ty Webb's avatar
Ty Webb
Posts: 2,798
Sep 25, 2011 11:04pm
Reading some tweets and there are rumors coming out that Christie had decided againist running(again) in 2012
jhay78's avatar
jhay78
Posts: 1,917
Sep 25, 2011 11:08pm
Cleveland Buck;910518 wrote:I like Cain better than RINOs like Romney and Santorum or big government types like Perry, but he isn't different enough from them for me to vote for him. He was the chairman of the Kansas City Federal Reserve and opposes even auditing the Fed let alone reforming it (yes he recently flip flopped saying he would audit the Fed because it is the popular stance, but he would never do anything to the Fed as president). He supported the bailouts. I'm not going to settle anymore and waste my vote. What is the difference if Cain or Romney or Christie or Obama win? You might get some kind of tax cut through Congress, but none of them are going to significantly cut spending. None of them are going to deal with our monetary policy. None of them are going to do anything to let the market correct itself and then stay out of it so we can have real growth again. If my vote for someone other than the R or D means one or the other wins, so what? They aren't different enough for it to matter.
I think you're underestimating the potential effects that movements like the Tea Party can have on Congress. None of us are satisfied with the results from Boehner, McConnell and others, but if Republicans can keep a solid majority in the House, get rid of several RINO's and ultra-liberal hacks like Sherrod Brown from the Senate and take a majority there, I feel better about the prospects of real solutions with a Republican president. With the exception of Romney, I feel most of the Republican candidates grasp the significance of where we are in history in terms of our debt and deficits.

Some will point to the last time Republicans controlled the White House and both houses of Congress, and use that as evidence that nothing would change this time around. IMO the difference this time is the average American is more involved and more informed and establishment Republicans are on a very short leash. Someone is even challenging Boehner in the primary in his district, calling him a socialist.

In sum I have higher hopes for one of the Republican candidates that you label no different from Obama working with Congress than I do another 4 years of Obama. The latter scenario is more likely if conservatives get nasty and split and derail with some 3rd party candidate who stands little to no chance of being elected.
G
gut
Posts: 15,058
Sep 25, 2011 11:41pm
I Wear Pants;911069 wrote:Someone bad enough to win the popular vote?
You mean excluding NY and CA? That's why elections aren't decided on the popular vote.
majorspark's avatar
majorspark
Posts: 5,122
Sep 26, 2011 2:46am
I Wear Pants;911069 wrote:Someone bad enough to win the popular vote?
Our founders were wise.
I
I Wear Pants
Posts: 16,223
Sep 26, 2011 2:49am
Calm down dudes, it was a joke.

Also, Ty Webb. Polls really don't mean shit at this point.
Cleveland Buck's avatar
Cleveland Buck
Posts: 5,126
Sep 26, 2011 9:41am
If you are going to continue to police the world then you are never going to be able to cut enough to even balance the budget let alone be able to cut tax rates to help the economy. On top of that, look at the uproar about Social Security in this primary season so far. You can't even call it what it is without them coming after you for taking it away from them. How feasible is it going to be for career politicians who want and need to be re-elected to cut these entitlements when you see the uproar from just calling SSI a ponzi scheme? I would be shocked if any entitlements get cut. You will have to cut the empire to make any significant cuts to the deficit.
G
gut
Posts: 15,058
Sep 26, 2011 10:14am
Obviously there needs to be significant cuts to military spending to get to a balanced budget. Truthfully, cutting non-military discretionary spending 50% (which would be far too severe) isn't going to move the needle much - a more realistic cut there of @ 20% would net us only about $150B.

I think we need to cut SS/Medicare about 15% and bump FICA another 15% (which would amount to about another 1% each from you and your employer) - very rough estimate but you're talking $250-300B. That would go a long way toward reducing the deficit while also shoring up those programs. And everyone shares the pain for that social INSURANCE, which is as it should be. I also don't have issue with reducing or phasing out benefits for the wealthy. It's insurance, one most of us don't know if we'll need when we are forced to participate when we begin working, so if you end-up doing really well I don't know that it should be some great crime that you get little to no benefit.
Ty Webb's avatar
Ty Webb
Posts: 2,798
Sep 26, 2011 10:37am
BGFalcons82's avatar
BGFalcons82
Posts: 2,173
Sep 26, 2011 10:57am
gut;911625 wrote:Obviously there needs to be significant cuts to military spending to get to a balanced budget. Truthfully, cutting non-military discretionary spending 50% (which would be far too severe) isn't going to move the needle much - a more realistic cut there of @ 20% would net us only about $150B.

I think we need to cut SS/Medicare about 15% and bump FICA another 15% (which would amount to about another 1% each from you and your employer) - very rough estimate but you're talking $250-300B. That would go a long way toward reducing the deficit while also shoring up those programs. And everyone shares the pain for that social INSURANCE, which is as it should be. I also don't have issue with reducing or phasing out benefits for the wealthy. It's insurance, one most of us don't know if we'll need when we are forced to participate when we begin working, so if you end-up doing really well I don't know that it should be some great crime that you get little to no benefit.
As far as Social Security, it is nothing more than a payroll tax. It is NOT insurance. It is NOT in AlGore's "Lockbox". It is not a "retirement account". It is nothing more than a legal Ponzi scheme. It will collapse under its own weight, should the elitist know-it-all politicians keep it off the table.

The answer, as capitalistic and free-market as it is, is to change to the Chilean model as proposed by Herman Cain. Here's a link from a 1997 article from the fellow in Chile that started it - http://www.cato.org/pub_display.php?pub_id=5981 Yeah, I know it's old, but it defines how it works.

In summary, the Chilean model:

1. Allows for people to have individual retirement accounts IF THEY CHOOSE TO HAVE ONE. If not, then they can remain on the government dole. Like we have here today.
2. It is in a lockbox.
3. If inflation shows up to eat away at savings, then it will have a chance to keep up with inflation through investments.
4. The national savings rate would skyrocket as people manage money better than Uncle Sam would ever hope to do so.
5. Ummm...well....ahem....it works.

Herman Cain has it right. Whether or not the pols in DC care to fix the problem is a completely separate discussion.
BGFalcons82's avatar
BGFalcons82
Posts: 2,173
Sep 26, 2011 11:01am
majorspark;911483 wrote:Our founders were wise.
Horse-pucky, major.:rolleyes: The revisionists claim they were racist, wealthy, aristocratic, slave-owning, adultering, inhuman scum. :huh:

How could they be wise with all of these attributes?
I
I Wear Pants
Posts: 16,223
Sep 26, 2011 2:09pm
BGFalcons82;911669 wrote:Horse-pucky, major.:rolleyes: The revisionists claim they were racist, wealthy, aristocratic, slave-owning, adultering, inhuman scum. :huh:

How could they be wise with all of these attributes?
Well those parts are true.
I
I Wear Pants
Posts: 16,223
Sep 26, 2011 2:12pm
Cleveland Buck;911608 wrote:If you are going to continue to police the world then you are never going to be able to cut enough to even balance the budget let alone be able to cut tax rates to help the economy. On top of that, look at the uproar about Social Security in this primary season so far. You can't even call it what it is without them coming after you for taking it away from them. How feasible is it going to be for career politicians who want and need to be re-elected to cut these entitlements when you see the uproar from just calling SSI a ponzi scheme? I would be shocked if any entitlements get cut. You will have to cut the empire to make any significant cuts to the deficit.
+1
gut;911625 wrote:Obviously there needs to be significant cuts to military spending to get to a balanced budget. Truthfully, cutting non-military discretionary spending 50% (which would be far too severe) isn't going to move the needle much - a more realistic cut there of @ 20% would net us only about $150B.

I think we need to cut SS/Medicare about 15% and bump FICA another 15% (which would amount to about another 1% each from you and your employer) - very rough estimate but you're talking $250-300B. That would go a long way toward reducing the deficit while also shoring up those programs. And everyone shares the pain for that social INSURANCE, which is as it should be. I also don't have issue with reducing or phasing out benefits for the wealthy. It's insurance, one most of us don't know if we'll need when we are forced to participate when we begin working, so if you end-up doing really well I don't know that it should be some great crime that you get little to no benefit.
+1
O-Trap's avatar
O-Trap
Posts: 14,994
Sep 26, 2011 2:34pm
BGFalcons82;911669 wrote:Horse-pucky, major.:rolleyes: The revisionists claim they were racist, wealthy, aristocratic, slave-owning, adultering, inhuman scum. :huh:

How could they be wise with all of these attributes?
Probably a little bit of both. Great men can still be fallible and even ugly at times.
HitsRus's avatar
HitsRus
Posts: 9,206
Sep 26, 2011 2:37pm
In summary, the Chilean model:

1. Allows for people to have individual retirement accounts IF THEY CHOOSE TO HAVE ONE. If not, then they can remain on the government dole. Like we have here today.
2. It is in a lockbox.
3. If inflation shows up to eat away at savings, then it will have a chance to keep up with inflation through investments.
4. The national savings rate would skyrocket as people manage money better than Uncle Sam would ever hope to do so.
5. Ummm...well....ahem....it works.

Herman Cain has it right. Whether or not the pols in DC care to fix the problem is a completely separate discussion.
Agree 100%.

I am curious how this differs(if any) than GWBush's proposals for Social Security early in his first term?
HitsRus's avatar
HitsRus
Posts: 9,206
Sep 26, 2011 2:41pm
Probably a little bit of both. Great men ARE still fallible and even ugly at times.
fixed it for you.;)
O-Trap's avatar
O-Trap
Posts: 14,994
Sep 26, 2011 3:29pm
HitsRus;911855 wrote:fixed it for you.;)
Fair enough. I concede. :D
G
gut
Posts: 15,058
Sep 26, 2011 4:47pm
BGFalcons82;911665 wrote:As far as Social Security, it is nothing more than a payroll tax. It is NOT insurance.
"Payroll tax" and "insurance premium" are one in the same here. It's a social insurance program operated like a ponzi scheme. You're basically buying an annuity. That those premiums have not been invested or saved in the "lock box" doesn't change the intent/design of the program. The fraudulent way the govt has chosen to operate the program is another matter.
O-Trap's avatar
O-Trap
Posts: 14,994
Sep 26, 2011 5:23pm
gut;911959 wrote:"Payroll tax" and "insurance premium" are one in the same here. It's a social insurance program operated like a ponzi scheme. You're basically buying an annuity. That those premiums have not been invested or saved in the "lock box" doesn't change the intent/design of the program. The fraudulent way the govt has chosen to operate the program is another matter.
Indeed, and it's one of multiple examples of why I trust myself to manage my money more than the federal government.

Social Security is not bad in theory, but it essentially needs almost a flawless system in order to not eventually collapse under mismanagement.

I tend to trust myself with my money more than my government at any level. Social Security gives me a lot of peace about that trust.