ptown_trojans_1;700348 wrote:Ehh, I don't equate the U.S. spending on its budget to the worldwide price of oil. The U.S. is not that influential in the world markets. Oil prices are driven by speculation based off of Libya, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain and the recent decision by the Chinese to slow oil imports. Food prices rises are a whole host of things, corn production, worldwide climate changes leading to lower crop yields, and higher grain prices in Africa, Russia, etc.
My post was just on the analysis I've been reading and hearing over the past few months. No defending the administration because frankly, they need to stay out of it and let the market recover. Did the markets recover due to the election? I doubt it. Markets rarely are impacted by politics, it is more market behaviors and overall world markets rather than domestic U.S. politics. I think you are giving politics too much credit.
I'm sure you know this, but oil is traded in dollars. I know you also know that the value of the dollar has been dropping like an anvil from the sky. It is doing so because we are funding our deficit spending with dollars that don't exist - so we sell Treasury securities, print money, and trade paper with other countries to fund our inability to control our spending. Since there are more dollars in circulation than there used to be, each one is worth less....soon to be worthless, but that's another story.

So, the price of oil is indeed tied to our government's undying lust to spend money it doesn't have.
It isn't just oil, ptown. It's cotton, it's food, it's metals, it's livestock...it is EVERYTHING. In my industry, light gage metals, reinforcing steel and steel shapes are going up like they did in 2005, when the Chinese and lack of coke (not the drug nor drink, but the product necessary to stoke furnaces to create the heat to make steel) were to blame. These elements aren't to blame this time, but the sagging, falling, and weak dollar are making these more expensive. My fear is that when we do start to expand with some regularity, the prices will grow again exponentially due to normal market stresses. It's at that point we will feel the full force of spending trillions and trillions of dollars that simply do not exist. There's no free lunch, ptown. Never has been. Never will be. And yet, here we all are debating how to create a free lunch society. We reap what we sow and deserve our outcomes. God save us.