BCS Bowl Projections

College Sports 25 replies 1,590 views
Cleveland Buck's avatar
Cleveland Buck
Posts: 5,126
Nov 22, 2009 1:15am
BCS National Championship
Alabama (13-0, 8-0, SEC Champion) vs. Texas (13-0, 8-0, Big XII Champion)

Rose Bowl
Ohio State (10-2, 7-1, Big Ten Champion) vs. Oregon (10-2, 8-1, Pac-10 Champion)

Fiesta Bowl
USC (9-3, 6-3, At-Large) vs. TCU (12-0, 8-0, At-Large)

Sugar Bowl
Florida (12-1, 8-0, At-Large) vs. Cincinnati (12-0, 7-0, Big East Champion)

Orange Bowl
Georgia Tech (12-1, 7-1, ACC Champion) vs. Penn State (10-2, 6-2, At-Large)

Tie-Ins
-------
Alabama - BCSNC
Texas - BCSNC
Ohio State - Rose
Oregon - Rose
Georgia Tech - Orange

Available Teams
---------------
Cincinnati (Auto Bid, Big East Champion)
Florida (Auto Bid, BCS Top 4)
TCU (Auto Bid, Top Ranked Non AQ)

Boise State
USC (if they win out will finish in the top 14)
Penn State
Iowa
Oklahoma State
Pittsburgh

Selection Order
---------------
Florida - Sugar (Replacing BCS No. 1)
USC - Fiesta (Replacing BCS No. 2)
Penn State - Orange
TCU - Fiesta
Cincinnati - Sugar
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devil1197
Posts: 6,220
Nov 22, 2009 1:26am
USC and PSU getting bids? Both haven't played well lately.

Should be Iowa (healthy Stanzi) and Oklahoma State.
Cleveland Buck's avatar
Cleveland Buck
Posts: 5,126
Nov 22, 2009 1:29am
I'm not saying anything about who deserves it. Just trying to project who gets in.
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FanOfCats
Posts: 127
Nov 22, 2009 1:43am
Where's Notre Dame?
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slingshot4ever
Posts: 4,085
Nov 22, 2009 7:19am
Anyone who has USC in their projections is just dumb.
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slingshot4ever
Posts: 4,085
Nov 22, 2009 7:21am
You will have the 6 conference champs
TCU
BSU (only if they finish undefeated)
2nd SEC team

The only spot even up for debate right now is the last spot. If Pitt beats Cincy and takes the Big East, Cincy will get that last spot with an 11-1 record and will still be ranked in the top 10 most likely. Otherwise, I think this bid goes to Iowa or Oklahoma State.
ptown_trojans_1's avatar
ptown_trojans_1
Posts: 7,632
Nov 22, 2009 8:26am
BCSNGC
Bama vs. Texas

Rose
Ohio State vs. Oregon

Orange
Cincy vs. GT

Sugar
Florida vs. TCU

Fiesta
Boise vs. Oklahoma St.
Emmett Brown's avatar
Emmett Brown
Posts: 478
Nov 22, 2009 10:18am
slingshot4ever wrote: You will have the 6 conference champs
TCU
BSU (only if they finish undefeated)
2nd SEC team

The only spot even up for debate right now is the last spot. If Pitt beats Cincy and takes the Big East, Cincy will get that last spot with an 11-1 record and will still be ranked in the top 10 most likely. Otherwise, I think this bid goes to Iowa or Oklahoma State.
That is not how it works. The Bowls can select who ever the want as long as the qualify. There is no way Cincinnati gets a bid if the lose because they don't travel as well as Penn St or Iowa. Records and rankings don't matter just who can give the bowls the most money in return. I doubt BSU makes it as well because OK State and Penn St or Iowa travel better than BSU. I would rather see BSU in over a second big 10 team but I doubt that happens.
Sykotyk's avatar
Sykotyk
Posts: 1,155
Nov 22, 2009 10:45am
Doomsday senario is if:

Nebraska beats Texas, Oregon State beats Oregon, Clemson beats Georgia Tech, Florida State beats Florida, Pittsburgh beats Cincinnati, and Alabama then beats a one-loss Florida.

An anarchist can dream, can't he? :)

Sykotyk
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speedrush1189
Posts: 85
Nov 22, 2009 11:07am
No way do PSU and USC make it. Replace PSU with Iowa and USC with either Okie State or maybe Boise.
Cleveland Buck's avatar
Cleveland Buck
Posts: 5,126
Nov 22, 2009 11:38am
If the Big XII puts enough pressure on the Fiesta Bowl, they might take Oklahoma State over USC. They might also take Penn State over USC because they know they are getting stuck with TCU or Cincinnati and might want a proven draw in there. USC vs. TCU would get good TV ratings, but USC can't sell out the Coliseum, so I don't know how well they would travel to see a 3 loss USC team play a MWC team. They only way Boise gets a bid is if TCU loses or if Congress threatens action against the BCS for excluding them.
darbypitcher22's avatar
darbypitcher22
Posts: 8,000
Nov 22, 2009 12:30pm
Again, as appealing as some of these matchups seem, I'll wait until at least conference championship weekend before posting what I think.
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Falcons53
Posts: 203
Nov 22, 2009 8:17pm
I would love to see a Penn State vs Ga Tech game. That defense with healthy LBs against that offense would be fun. No way does a bowl take Iowa over Penn State. Anyone who has watched these two teams knows the Iowa win was a fluke. Still counts, but Penn State was missing so much on defense and everything that could go wrong in the last 10 min of that game did.
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George Costanza
Posts: 120
Nov 22, 2009 8:20pm
National Championship

Florida vs Texas

Rose Bowl

The University of Ohio State vs Oregon

Sugar Bowl

Alabama vs Cincinnati

Fiesta Bowl

TCU vs Iowa

Orange Bowl

Georgia Tech vs Pittsburgh
Cleveland Buck's avatar
Cleveland Buck
Posts: 5,126
Nov 22, 2009 8:22pm
USC actually fell in the BCS this week. I expected the voters to start shooting them back up the polls with losses in front of them. If USC doesn't finish in the top 14, you can switch USC and Oklahoma State in my picks.
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Turf Warden
Posts: 42
Nov 22, 2009 8:28pm
Can't see the Big East getting two bids.
Cleveland Buck's avatar
Cleveland Buck
Posts: 5,126
Nov 22, 2009 8:29pm
They won't.
Cleveland Buck's avatar
Cleveland Buck
Posts: 5,126
Nov 22, 2009 8:30pm
They wouldn't get one if one of the bowls didn't have to take their champion.
3reppom's avatar
3reppom
Posts: 765
Nov 22, 2009 8:36pm
If Oklahoma State beats Oklahoma they are in. Iowa is most likely in a BCS game as well. Boise State should be left on the outside looking in.
Cleveland Buck's avatar
Cleveland Buck
Posts: 5,126
Nov 22, 2009 8:43pm
I forgot Oklahoma State still plays Oklahoma. If Oklahoma wins, that would open a huge door for Boise State. If USC doesn't climb into the top 14 and Oklahoma State loses, you would be looking at a choice between Boise State, a second ACC team, and a second Big East team for the last spot, and there really isn't much difference between any of those as far as TV ratings and ticket sales.
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devil1197
Posts: 6,220
Nov 22, 2009 8:46pm
3reppom wrote: If Oklahoma State beats Oklahoma they are in. Iowa is most likely in a BCS game as well. Boise State should be left on the outside looking in.
That's how I have it playing out also.
dwccrew's avatar
dwccrew
Posts: 7,817
Nov 22, 2009 8:58pm
slingshot4ever wrote: You will have the 6 conference champs
TCU
BSU (only if they finish undefeated)
2nd SEC team

The only spot even up for debate right now is the last spot. If Pitt beats Cincy and takes the Big East, Cincy will get that last spot with an 11-1 record and will still be ranked in the top 10 most likely. Otherwise, I think this bid goes to Iowa or Oklahoma State.
I don't see Cincy making it unless they are unbeaten or win the Big East. It's all about ratings and who travels well. Cincy doesn't bring fans or ratings. They only get in if they get an auto bid.
Skyhook79's avatar
Skyhook79
Posts: 5,739
Nov 22, 2009 9:20pm
USC is going to lose their last 2 games so I wouldn't worry about them being in a BCS Bowl Game.
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bulldog8
Posts: 497
Nov 23, 2009 12:01am
Here's what the analysts on ESPN think: http://espn.go.com/college-football/bowls/projections I think they are both right on with the general outline. It's tough to call who will win the SEC championship but obviously the winner will be in the national championship and the loser likely in the Sugar Bowl. I feel that Iowa has a better shot at getting a birth to the Fiesta Bowl than Penn State because they beat them head-to-head. I just don't foresee Boise or TCU being left out of BCS games if they finish their seasons undefeated. It won't happen. Obviously, things can shake up quite a bit still with the SEC championship, the battle for the PAC 10, the ACC championship and the Big East Champsionship.
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Footwedge
Posts: 9,265
Nov 23, 2009 1:11am
Cleveland Buck wrote: I'm not saying anything about who deserves it. Just trying to project who gets in.
No way does USC get in. I doubt if there ever was a 3 loss team in as a wild card.

In addition, you aren't eligible if you're ranked 15th or lower...unless you are an automatic qualifier...i.e....if Nebraska beats Texas.