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Tornado Outbreak Possible today.

Home ▸ Archive ▸ Serious Business ▸ Tornado Outbreak Possible today.
Big_Mirg_ZHS's avatar

Big_Mirg_ZHS

Recovering Pothead

2,079 posts
May 7, 2010 12:43 AM
There is the possibility of a tornado outbreak across our area of the midwest today. Dr Forbes says there is a 7-10 chance of a tornado within 50 miles of anywhere from I-70 north in ohio. ANy storm chaser worth a damn is heading towards the are for tomorrow. Be sure to keep an eye on the skies tomorrow.
May 7, 2010 12:43am
coyotes22's avatar

coyotes22

Go Tigers

11,298 posts
May 7, 2010 12:44 AM
I seen this earlier.

The wife is freaking.

Im hoping we finally get a GREAT storm!!!
May 7, 2010 12:44am
killdeer's avatar

killdeer

Hat Trick

1,538 posts
May 7, 2010 12:45 AM
tornadoes suck!
May 7, 2010 12:45am
Chesapeake's avatar

Chesapeake

Senior Member

1,603 posts
May 7, 2010 12:57 AM
<object width="480" height="385"><param name="movie" value=" name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><embed src="" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" width="480" height="385"></embed></object>
May 7, 2010 12:57am
dwccrew's avatar

dwccrew

Not Banned

7,817 posts
May 7, 2010 1:12 AM
Better than a Herpes outbreak.
May 7, 2010 1:12am
sonofsam's avatar

sonofsam

Wee' Gonna Win..

2,052 posts
May 7, 2010 1:17 AM
Where are they predicting? Western, central, or eastern Ohio?
May 7, 2010 1:17am
ts1227's avatar

ts1227

Senior Member

12,319 posts
May 7, 2010 1:24 AM
sonofsam wrote: Where are they predicting? Western, central, or eastern Ohio?
Northwest and North-Central Ohio.

I'm waiting for the updated outlooks from the SPC to be posted soon, then I'll post some maps.
May 7, 2010 1:24am
sonofsam's avatar

sonofsam

Wee' Gonna Win..

2,052 posts
May 7, 2010 1:28 AM
ts1227 wrote:
sonofsam wrote: Where are they predicting? Western, central, or eastern Ohio?
Northwest and North-Central Ohio.

I'm waiting for the updated outlooks from the SPC to be posted soon, then I'll post some maps.
You have a site where this info came from?
May 7, 2010 1:28am
ts1227's avatar

ts1227

Senior Member

12,319 posts
May 7, 2010 1:29 AM
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/
May 7, 2010 1:29am
ts1227's avatar

ts1227

Senior Member

12,319 posts
May 7, 2010 1:41 AM
Big_Mirg_ZHS wrote: There is the possibility of a tornado outbreak across our area of the midwest today. Dr Forbes says there is a 7-10 chance of a tornado within 50 miles of anywhere from I-70 north in ohio. ANy storm chaser worth a damn is heading towards the are for tomorrow. Be sure to keep an eye on the skies tomorrow.
FYI: Forbes' little index is complete and total bullshit.

Best bet is to follow the Storm Prediction Center. They're not prefect, but Forbes' TOR:CON is complete bullshit meant to boost ratings in TWC.

The meteorology undergrads here have a pretty strong interest in severe wx, and have been keeping track of all of this stuff. It's pretty much a consensus that Forbes' thing is a media grab that blows cock.
May 7, 2010 1:41am
S

slide22

Senior Member

330 posts
May 7, 2010 1:50 AM
K for you weather nuts... have an outdoor event in Bloomington, Indiana tomorrow night, whats the likelihood of rain? lol
May 7, 2010 1:50am
lhslep134's avatar

lhslep134

why so serious?

9,774 posts
May 7, 2010 1:52 AM
I hope I don't hit anything nasty driving back to Youngstown from Columbus tomorrow night.
May 7, 2010 1:52am
majorspark's avatar

majorspark

Senior Member

5,122 posts
May 7, 2010 2:07 AM
Growing up we had a couple of tornadoes touch down less than ten miles from our house. I remember my Dad driving us out when we were kids to look at the damage. After that my brother and I were scared shitless of the things. We ended up in the cellar quite a few times when sever storm hit.
May 7, 2010 2:07am
sonofsam's avatar

sonofsam

Wee' Gonna Win..

2,052 posts
May 7, 2010 2:36 AM
slide22 wrote: K for you weather nuts... have an outdoor event in Bloomington, Indiana tomorrow night, whats the likelihood of rain? lol
There is a chance it may rain. If it doesn't rain, it will remain sunny to mostly cloudy. We will not top our record temp nor defeat our record low. Things should be pretty much right in the middle give or take a little bit.
May 7, 2010 2:36am
ts1227's avatar

ts1227

Senior Member

12,319 posts
May 7, 2010 2:44 AM
Northern Ohio under a MODERATE RISK (this is serious business... anything past a slight risk = shit is going down)



Tornado risk


Severe hail (1" diameter or above) risk:


Severe wind (58 MPH+ wind) risk:
May 7, 2010 2:44am
ttocs14's avatar

ttocs14

Senior Member

279 posts
May 7, 2010 3:07 AM
coyotes22 wrote: I seen this earlier.

The wife is freaking.

Im hoping we finally get a GREAT storm!!!
saw
May 7, 2010 3:07am
sonofsam's avatar

sonofsam

Wee' Gonna Win..

2,052 posts
May 7, 2010 3:09 AM
I'm just outside ALL those graphics :)
May 7, 2010 3:09am
sonofsam's avatar

sonofsam

Wee' Gonna Win..

2,052 posts
May 7, 2010 3:17 AM
...OH VALLEY/LOWER GREAT LAKES...

00Z NAM/GFS GUIDANCE IS IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT WITH SPEED/MOVEMENT
OF MID LEVEL TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED H5 SPEED MAX ACROSS THE MID MS
VALLEY INTO THE OH VALLEY DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE PERIOD.
THIS FEATURE WILL FORCE CNTRL PLAINS SFC LOW TO A POSITION JUST
SOUTH OF CHI OVER ECNTRL IL AT 18Z...THEN DEEPENING IS EXPECTED AS
THE CYCLONE LIFTS NEWD INTO LOWER MI DURING THE EVENING HOURS.
ALTHOUGH BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE IS SOMEWHAT LIMITED ACROSS THE
CNTRL/SRN CONUS EARLY THIS MORNING...A MODIFIED MOIST PLUME HAS
RETURNED ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS/LOWER MS VALLEY AND THIS AIRMASS
SHOULD EASILY RETURN TO THE OH VALLEY DUE TO STRENGTHENING LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM AND INCREASINGLY CONVERGENT FLOW REGIME. NAM...IN
PARTICULAR...SUGGESTS THE CYCLONE WILL DEEPEN SIGNIFICANTLY AS SPEED
MAX INCREASES TO AROUND 110KT BY THE END OF THE PERIOD OVER
OH...WITH INTENSE 12HR HEIGHT FALLS INCREASING TO 240-300M.
NEEDLESS TO SAY VERY STRONG FLOW AND SUBSTANTIAL VERTICAL SHEAR WILL
EXIST ACROSS THE OH VALLEY ALONG THE RETREATING WARM FRONT AND
ACROSS MUCH OF THE WARM SECTOR PRIOR TO SEVERE CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT.


I HATE it when there is REASONABLE AGREEMENT WITH SPEED/MOVEMENT
OF MID LEVEL TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED H5 SPEED MAX ACROSS THE MID MS
VALLEY INTO THE OH VALLEY DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE PERIOD.

:(:(:(:(:(:(:(:(:(:(
May 7, 2010 3:17am
ts1227's avatar

ts1227

Senior Member

12,319 posts
May 7, 2010 3:21 AM
sonofsam wrote: I HATE it when there is REASONABLE AGREEMENT WITH SPEED/MOVEMENT
OF MID LEVEL TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED H5 SPEED MAX ACROSS THE MID MS
VALLEY INTO THE OH VALLEY DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE PERIOD.
Yous should be worrying more about

CYCLONE WILL DEEPEN SIGNIFICANTLY AS SPEED MAX INCREASES TO AROUND 110KT BY THE END OF THE PERIOD OVER OH...WITH INTENSE 12HR HEIGHT FALLS INCREASING TO 240-300M. NEEDLESS TO SAY VERY STRONG FLOW AND SUBSTANTIAL VERTICAL SHEAR WILL EXIST ACROSS THE OH VALLEY ALONG THE RETREATING WARM FRONT AND ACROSS MUCH OF THE WARM SECTOR PRIOR TO SEVERE CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT.


The stuff you posted just says the models are all saying it'll show up at the same time.

Now my stuff... Strong upper level winds, pressure level height falls, shear = severe storms.

Trust me, I have a meteorology degree :)
May 7, 2010 3:21am
sonofsam's avatar

sonofsam

Wee' Gonna Win..

2,052 posts
May 7, 2010 3:42 AM
ts1227 wrote:
sonofsam wrote: I HATE it when there is REASONABLE AGREEMENT WITH SPEED/MOVEMENT
OF MID LEVEL TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED H5 SPEED MAX ACROSS THE MID MS
VALLEY INTO THE OH VALLEY DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE PERIOD.
Yous should be worrying more about

CYCLONE WILL DEEPEN SIGNIFICANTLY AS SPEED MAX INCREASES TO AROUND 110KT BY THE END OF THE PERIOD OVER OH...WITH INTENSE 12HR HEIGHT FALLS INCREASING TO 240-300M. NEEDLESS TO SAY VERY STRONG FLOW AND SUBSTANTIAL VERTICAL SHEAR WILL EXIST ACROSS THE OH VALLEY ALONG THE RETREATING WARM FRONT AND ACROSS MUCH OF THE WARM SECTOR PRIOR TO SEVERE CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT.


The stuff you posted just says the models are all saying it'll show up at the same time.

Now my stuff... Strong upper level winds, pressure level height falls, shear = severe storms.

Trust me, I have a meteorology degree :)
Yes, I hate 110KT and 200-300M[/b], I have no idea what it means, but it sounds intense.
May 7, 2010 3:42am
said_aouita's avatar

said_aouita

Banned

8,532 posts
May 7, 2010 5:23 AM
Xenia is fucked.
May 7, 2010 5:23am
S

Shane Falco

Senior Member

440 posts
May 7, 2010 5:26 AM
So your one of those guys that never has to be right and still get to keep your job. :D
May 7, 2010 5:26am
S

SnotBubbles

May 7, 2010 7:15 AM
said_aouita wrote: Xenia is fucked.
Ha! Kind of harsh, but funny! :)

I'm right in the middle of all of that. I'll give you guys updates throughout the day. Right now, very calm and storm clouds to the West.
May 7, 2010 7:15am
THE4RINGZ's avatar

THE4RINGZ

R.I.P Thread Bomber

16,816 posts
May 7, 2010 7:31 AM
I am inside the circle on all those graphics. Looks like a fun night here.
May 7, 2010 7:31am
F

fortfan

Senior Member

339 posts
May 7, 2010 7:47 AM
I live right in the middle of all that too. Van Wert seems to garner a lot of action lately. (I live south of Van Wert in Mercer County)
May 7, 2010 7:47am