iclfan2;1860604 wrote:The real issue for me is say the market is terrible, I'm not touching what is in the market, but do I stop putting more in to pay off debt at a higher interest rate, OR take advantage of the low market to put more cash into it.
Ehh, I think it's more complex than that. The average bear market lasts 15 months and donks off 32%. By the time you realize we're in a bear market, it's probably time to start buying low rather than selling or sitting on cash.
The more interesting and relevant question is, after a historically long bull market, is it more financially savvy to take the guaranteed 3-4% return paying down mortgage debt with your additional savings right now? Even if the market runs 25% over the next 2+ years, and then drops 20% - you have exactly what you started with [and I think those numbers may be conservative].
The cool thing you could do is if you have an ARM that is up in, say, 3 years....you could get 3% paying down principle, and then when the bear market hits you take the cash back out in your refi to put to work in a bull market. I'm really just talking risk management here not advocating you pump 50% of your net worth into paying down your mortgage.
Of course, I'm the same guy who was worried about market valuations and recessions last year (still am), and markets have gone up over 15% since then.