How would you predict the EC map right now? Below I've linked to an interactive electoral map where you can shade the swing states according to how you think things will finish.
You can change it at any time, but leave your original alone so that we/you can see just how wildly things might change.
Here is my current prediction. Some of the states that I predicted are light red. Some of them light blue. You can keep tapping on the state until it changes colors from red to blue or to change them from a light color or a deeper color.
I've made some changes to my EC predictions. The main one being Michigan ekes out as a light blue.
I had North Carolina as safely blue, but after this administrations appalling response I flipped it to red.
Dems losing steam with how things are going
I’ve never thought this will be close, and I continue to not think it will be close. Florida flips, the rest of the country stays the course. NC I would’ve had blue, but I think the hurricane will keep it red — due to the narrative.
posted by Laley23I’ve never thought this will be close, and I continue to not think it will be close. Florida flips, the rest of the country stays the course. NC I would’ve had blue, but I think the hurricane will keep it red — due to the narrative.
I think we both left out that one little state. Wouldn't it be hilarious if that one little state was the difference in the EC?! hahaha
Trump gets to 297 with the big shock being he wins Wisconsin and PA. The leaked internal polls from the democrats are not looking good for Kamala
There are a lot of indicators pointing one way or the other. I think polls could be way off on Trump, but in either direction this time.
The most compelling thing I've seen is registrations and ballot requests have moved very significantly Republican in key swing states. But the Dems have a much better ground game, and they're very good at turning out "lean Dem unlikely voters".
I expect surprising results, potentially going either way, to give us another very contested election result. But seems like that's becoming status quo. And if Trump wins I fully expect Dems to try yet some other means to keep him out of office.
I lived in PA long enough to know she'll win that one. with or without fuckery, is up to interpretation, but she'll win PA. I feel pretty good about this map.
Don't @ me.
posted by j_crazy
I lived in PA long enough to know she'll win that one. with or without fuckery, is up to interpretation, but she'll win PA. I feel pretty good about this map.
I think you're right other than Michigan. I also wouldn't be shocked to see Georgia stay blue.
posted by kizer permanenteI think you're right other than Michigan. I also wouldn't be shocked to see Georgia stay blue.
This is how I see it ending up
posted by kizer permanenteLOL you mean you hope. That's not even a serious attempt at a prediction.This is how I see it ending up
SNL is roasting Kamala. There's no bigger indicator of where this election is going.
posted by gut
LOL you mean you hope. That's not even a serious attempt at a prediction.
Probably
Interesting result. I think there are only 5 states in play: NV, MI, PA, NC and GA. I think NV is actually leaning Trump, which would make it 270-268.
posted by justincredibleDon't @ me.
Kind of want to update this to add New Hampshire. Also think he might win a state no one expects, like New Jersey. Probably just hopium, though.
I think I've finally figured out the pathway for Kamala to win. I just don't think there are enough farmers in central Pennsylvania to overcome the big city turnout.
Barring some major event happening, this is probably my last prediction.
Have a feeling Trump's going to win PA. Too many signs pointing toward it.
You mean the Puerto Rico trash sign?
posted by Devils AdvocateYou mean the Puerto Rico trash sign?
That's funny because the Lib's are triggered over it, and making it a talking point, because they don't have anything positive to say about Harris. Meanwhile, Puerto Ricans are pretty tough people and wouldn't make a huge issue of it like the Liberal snowflakes.
posted by Laley23I’ve never thought this will be close, and I continue to not think it will be close. Florida flips, the rest of the country stays the course. NC I would’ve had blue, but I think the hurricane will keep it red — due to the narrative.
I mean this literally - one of the worst predictions I've seen so far. Was this satire?
posted by Trueblue23I mean this literally - one of the worst predictions I've seen so far. Was this satire?
I'm expecting this to be a blowout either way in the EC. Maybe not the popular vote.
posted by Trueblue23I mean this literally - one of the worst predictions I've seen so far. Was this satire?
No. And I may revise and give Harris NC or AZ.
posted by Laley23No. And I may revise and give Harris NC or AZ.
I’ll ask you this….does your work keep you in the bigger cities the vast majority of the time? I’m not sure I’ve seen anyone else with such comfortable forecasts for Harris. Trying to get a feel for your thought.