This NFL weekend is either really good or really bad for me. This one was really good, 8-2 record. Only missed Vikings -2 and Seahawks +10. All of the overs hit.
Hate tonight's game, but on Bucs and the under.
NHL plays have been decent recently. Betting against Ducks and Jackets tonight, so on Pens -1.5 and Rangers ML.
I’m on Thomas Bryant O8.5 rebounds tonight.
And I got sucked into the stupid boost (Brady 200 yards, Ceedee and Godwin both over 40). Was -180, boosted to even.
Threw $25 on Brady over .5 yards rushing. Come on, just ONE qb sneak…
Had a play with both Evans and Dak scoring a TD, +2136. Prescott scores on a bootleg in the first half, but Evans lets a long TD pass slip through his fingertips near the end --- dang!!
At least I didn't have the over, 45.5, as the fourth missed extra point (in a row) proved costly.
Well, after a rough couple days of NBA bets due to fucking injuries (Mitchell I had a big live bet on for points and he got hurt) and bad decisions. I nailed my lock of the decade — McDonald and Nadal O30.5 games. Legit was such an easy call to make, and then Nadal gets hurt. Thank God he is a warrior and gutted it out, and somehow won his first 5 games of set 3 before falling 4-6, 4-6, 5-7. 32 games total on a $250 wager.
I anticipated Mackie McDonald giving Nadal fits early on, and was hoping for a 7-6, 7-5 type of start. Was even better when McDonald won the first set. No way did I anticipate Nadal going down in straights, and after his injury, it barely made it to 31 games. He almost had to retire.
posted by Laley23Well, after a rough couple days of NBA bets due to fucking injuries (Mitchell I had a big live bet on for points and he got hurt) and bad decisions. I nailed my lock of the decade — McDonald and Nadal O30.5 games. Legit was such an easy call to make, and then Nadal gets hurt. Thank God he is a warrior and gutted it out, and somehow won his first 5 games of set 3 before falling 4-6, 4-6, 5-7. 32 games total on a $250 wager.
I anticipated Mackie McDonald giving Nadal fits early on, and was hoping for a 7-6, 7-5 type of start. Was even better when McDonald won the first set. No way did I anticipate Nadal going down in straights, and after his injury, it barely made it to 31 games. He almost had to retire.
^^^^ That all is foreign language to me lol
posted by birddog23^^^^ That all is foreign language to me lol
Basically, betting sites set the line at 30.5 total games. Minimum in a match is 18. That would be a 6-0, 6-0, 6-0 win for someone. On the men’s side, almost impossible. I expected McDonald to really test Nadal early (who is looking old, and wild early on in matches). Was hoping for 7-6 or 7-5 first set, which is 12. At that point, would only need 6-4, 6-3 to win bet. When McDonald won the first set, it was basically a guaranteed win, as Nadal has never lost in straight sets; so he was going to win a set. If both players win a set, basically impossible to be less than 30.5 games.
But then Nadal got hurt at the end of the 2nd set and nearly screwed me. McDonald at that point was looking like he could win 614, 6-4, 6-2 or something haha. Or Nadal could even retire. Needed Nadal to get at least 5 games or it would end at under 30.5 total. He gutted out 5 games on his serve, before McDonald finally took him down. But then it was 7-5, which is 12. 6-4, 6-4, 7-5 = 32, which won the O over 30.5.
So I win the bet, but almost in the exact OPPOSITE way anticipated. Figured the start of the match perfectly, but McDonalds level never dipped, Nadals never was raised and then Nadal got hurt lol.
I’ve just been making micro bets usually daily on college bball. Betting a few bucks with a 3-4x return. It’s not as exciting as Laley but I’ve turned $10 into $150. I got lucky last night on Kansas - Kansas State going to overtime to get the over and KSU eventually winning. Then Kentucky winning and covering the spread after trailing at halftime.
I had an 8 leg last week that I had hit on 7 but lost when Dayton choked that game away to VCU. Think it was a $5 bet with a $130 payout.
posted by friendfromlowryI’ve just been making micro bets usually daily on college bball. Betting a few bucks with a 3-4x return. It’s not as exciting as Laley but I’ve turned $10 into $150. I got lucky last night on Kansas - Kansas State going to overtime to get the over and KSU eventually winning. Then Kentucky winning and covering the spread after trailing at halftime.
I had an 8 leg last week that I had hit on 7 but lost when Dayton choked that game away to VCU. Think it was a $5 bet with a $130 payout.
Those are fun. I like to sprinkle $5 on Same Game Parlays or SGP+. Usually pick 1 actual prop, and then a bunch of -700 or more bets to jack up the "standard 50/50". What usually happens is I hit 7/8 and miss on one stupid one (like Mitchell getting hurt). The best is hitting like 90% of it at the half, and then sweating that final leg well into the 4th.
I might hammer Garlands O assists tonight. Not sure what it is, but no Mitchell means he will have the ball a ton like last year. Problem is Memphis could blow them out and limit his minutes, and they are the top defense in the league.
I was going to ask about that. DK has a promotion to bet the money line and if your team at any point goes up by 10+ you automatically win. Seemed like a no brainer to pick Memphis with Mitchell likely out.
posted by friendfromlowryI was going to ask about that. DK has a promotion to bet the money line and if your team at any point goes up by 10+ you automatically win. Seemed like a no brainer to pick Memphis with Mitchell likely out.
I would be stunned if the Cavs are not down 10 at any point. Plus, even if they aren't, you are still making a perfectly logical ML bet that may still cash with Memphis favored by like 8.
Tennis and golf are my 2 best sports for finding value and using my actual knowledge. If anyone cares, I am not sure why Casper Ruud and Jensen Brooksby is projected to be a close match. Ruud -5.5 seems like a no brainer here and I will be placing money on it.
posted by Laley23I might hammer Garlands O assists tonight. Not sure what it is, but no Mitchell means he will have the ball a ton like last year. Problem is Memphis could blow them out and limit his minutes, and they are the top defense in the league.
8.5 on FanDuel
posted by QuakerOats8.5 on FanDuel
Hoping that gets get down to 7.5, or at least enough on the U that the 8+ prop is closer to -125 vs the -145 it is now.
Think the Cavs cost people money tonight? I lucked out taking Memphis on the moneyline.
The Garland over was pretty easy, and glad I hammered it. What a fucking whiff in the Brooksby v Ruud match though. Turned a great night into an ok night.
Take another stab this weekend at The American Express...:
Outright winners
Finau +1400
Young +2100
C. Davis +3400
Putnam +6000
T. Pendrith +8500
T10
Schauffle +170
Harman +310
Montgomery +340
Matchups
Davis > Wise
Fowler > Day
Off the Im and Kim train this weekend....so they will probably both finish top 5
I have Zalatoris +1900, and Im +2100, in the Win column, and in the T-10.
Parlay - Poston and Hadwin T-20, +1260
Finally won a bet.
Needed 54 points. Damn.
