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8,788 posts 20 reps Joined Nov 2009
Mon, Jan 16, 2023 6:54 PM

This NFL weekend is either really good or really bad for me. This one was really good, 8-2 record. Only missed Vikings -2 and Seahawks +10. All of the overs hit. 

Hate tonight's game, but on Bucs and the under. 

NHL plays have been decent recently. Betting against Ducks and Jackets tonight, so on Pens -1.5 and Rangers ML. 



33,369 posts 132 reps Joined Nov 2009
Mon, Jan 16, 2023 7:43 PM

I’m on Thomas Bryant O8.5 rebounds tonight. 

And I got sucked into the stupid boost (Brady 200 yards, Ceedee and Godwin both over 40). Was -180, boosted to even.

Threw $25 on Brady over .5 yards rushing. Come on, just ONE qb sneak…

QuakerOats Senior Member
11,701 posts 66 reps Joined Nov 2009
Tue, Jan 17, 2023 10:13 AM

Had a play with both Evans and Dak scoring a TD, +2136.  Prescott scores on a bootleg in the first half, but Evans lets a long TD pass slip through his fingertips near the end --- dang!! 


At least I didn't have the over, 45.5, as the fourth missed extra point (in a row) proved costly.  

33,369 posts 132 reps Joined Nov 2009
Wed, Jan 18, 2023 1:38 AM

Well, after a rough couple days of NBA bets due to fucking injuries (Mitchell I had a big live bet on for points and he got hurt) and bad decisions. I nailed my lock of the decade — McDonald and Nadal O30.5 games. Legit was such an easy call to make, and then Nadal gets hurt. Thank God he is a warrior and gutted it out, and somehow won his first 5 games of set 3 before falling 4-6, 4-6, 5-7. 32 games total on a $250 wager.

I anticipated Mackie McDonald giving Nadal fits early on, and was hoping for a 7-6, 7-5 type of start. Was even better when McDonald won the first set. No way did I anticipate Nadal going down in straights, and after his injury, it barely made it to 31 games. He almost had to retire.

birddog23 Senior Member
1,173 posts 8 reps Joined Aug 2010
Wed, Jan 18, 2023 7:55 AM
posted by Laley23

Well, after a rough couple days of NBA bets due to fucking injuries (Mitchell I had a big live bet on for points and he got hurt) and bad decisions. I nailed my lock of the decade — McDonald and Nadal O30.5 games. Legit was such an easy call to make, and then Nadal gets hurt. Thank God he is a warrior and gutted it out, and somehow won his first 5 games of set 3 before falling 4-6, 4-6, 5-7. 32 games total on a $250 wager.

I anticipated Mackie McDonald giving Nadal fits early on, and was hoping for a 7-6, 7-5 type of start. Was even better when McDonald won the first set. No way did I anticipate Nadal going down in straights, and after his injury, it barely made it to 31 games. He almost had to retire.

^^^^ That all is foreign language to me lol

33,369 posts 132 reps Joined Nov 2009
Wed, Jan 18, 2023 8:44 AM
posted by birddog23

^^^^ That all is foreign language to me lol

Basically, betting sites set the line at 30.5 total games. Minimum in a match is 18. That would be a 6-0, 6-0, 6-0 win for someone. On the men’s side, almost impossible. I expected McDonald to really test Nadal early (who is looking old, and wild early on in matches). Was hoping for 7-6 or 7-5 first set, which is 12. At that point, would only need 6-4, 6-3 to win bet. When McDonald won the first set, it was basically a guaranteed win, as Nadal has never lost in straight sets; so he was going to win a set. If both players win a set, basically impossible to be less than 30.5 games.

But then Nadal got hurt at the end of the 2nd set and nearly screwed me. McDonald at that point was looking like he could win 614, 6-4, 6-2 or something haha. Or Nadal could even retire. Needed Nadal to get at least 5 games or it would end at under 30.5 total. He gutted out 5 games on his serve, before McDonald finally took him down. But then it was 7-5, which is 12. 6-4, 6-4, 7-5 = 32, which won the O over 30.5. 

So I win the bet, but almost in the exact OPPOSITE way anticipated. Figured the start of the match perfectly, but McDonalds level never dipped, Nadals never was raised and then Nadal got hurt lol.


friendfromlowry Senior Member
7,778 posts 86 reps Joined Nov 2009
Wed, Jan 18, 2023 11:19 AM

I’ve just been making micro bets usually daily on college bball. Betting a few bucks with a 3-4x return. It’s not as exciting as Laley but I’ve turned $10 into $150. I got lucky last night on Kansas - Kansas State going to overtime to get the over and KSU eventually winning. Then Kentucky winning and covering the spread after trailing at halftime. 

I had an 8 leg last week that I had hit on 7 but lost when Dayton choked that game away to VCU. Think it was a $5 bet with a $130 payout. 

33,369 posts 132 reps Joined Nov 2009
Wed, Jan 18, 2023 11:41 AM
posted by friendfromlowry

I’ve just been making micro bets usually daily on college bball. Betting a few bucks with a 3-4x return. It’s not as exciting as Laley but I’ve turned $10 into $150. I got lucky last night on Kansas - Kansas State going to overtime to get the over and KSU eventually winning. Then Kentucky winning and covering the spread after trailing at halftime. 

I had an 8 leg last week that I had hit on 7 but lost when Dayton choked that game away to VCU. Think it was a $5 bet with a $130 payout. 

Those are fun. I like to sprinkle $5 on Same Game Parlays or SGP+. Usually pick 1 actual prop, and then a bunch of -700 or more bets to jack up the "standard 50/50". What usually happens is I hit 7/8 and miss on one stupid one (like Mitchell getting hurt). The best is hitting like 90% of it at the half, and then sweating that final leg well into the 4th. 

33,369 posts 132 reps Joined Nov 2009
Wed, Jan 18, 2023 11:42 AM

I might hammer Garlands O assists tonight. Not sure what it is, but no Mitchell means he will have the ball a ton like last year. Problem is Memphis could blow them out and limit his minutes, and they are the top defense in the league. 

friendfromlowry Senior Member
7,778 posts 86 reps Joined Nov 2009
Wed, Jan 18, 2023 11:49 AM

I was going to ask about that. DK has a promotion to bet the money line and if your team at any point goes up by 10+ you automatically win. Seemed like a no brainer to pick Memphis with Mitchell likely out. 

33,369 posts 132 reps Joined Nov 2009
Wed, Jan 18, 2023 12:33 PM
posted by friendfromlowry

I was going to ask about that. DK has a promotion to bet the money line and if your team at any point goes up by 10+ you automatically win. Seemed like a no brainer to pick Memphis with Mitchell likely out. 

I would be stunned if the Cavs are not down 10 at any point. Plus, even if they aren't, you are still making a perfectly logical ML bet that may still cash with Memphis favored by like 8.

33,369 posts 132 reps Joined Nov 2009
Wed, Jan 18, 2023 12:35 PM

Tennis and golf are my 2 best sports for finding value and using my actual knowledge. If anyone cares, I am not sure why Casper Ruud and Jensen Brooksby is projected to be a close match. Ruud -5.5 seems like a no brainer here and I will be placing money on it.

QuakerOats Senior Member
11,701 posts 66 reps Joined Nov 2009
Wed, Jan 18, 2023 1:56 PM
posted by Laley23

I might hammer Garlands O assists tonight. Not sure what it is, but no Mitchell means he will have the ball a ton like last year. Problem is Memphis could blow them out and limit his minutes, and they are the top defense in the league. 

8.5 on FanDuel

33,369 posts 132 reps Joined Nov 2009
Wed, Jan 18, 2023 2:35 PM
posted by QuakerOats

8.5 on FanDuel

Hoping that gets get down to 7.5, or at least enough on the U that the 8+ prop is closer to -125 vs the -145 it is now.


friendfromlowry Senior Member
7,778 posts 86 reps Joined Nov 2009
Wed, Jan 18, 2023 11:25 PM

Think the Cavs cost people money tonight? I lucked out taking Memphis on the moneyline. 

33,369 posts 132 reps Joined Nov 2009
Thu, Jan 19, 2023 12:02 AM

The Garland over was pretty easy, and glad I hammered it. What a fucking whiff in the Brooksby v Ruud match though. Turned a great night into an ok night.

birddog23 Senior Member
1,173 posts 8 reps Joined Aug 2010
Thu, Jan 19, 2023 7:58 AM

Take another stab this weekend at The American Express...:

Outright winners

Finau +1400

Young +2100

C. Davis +3400

Putnam +6000

T. Pendrith +8500

T10

Schauffle +170

Harman +310

Montgomery +340

Matchups

Davis > Wise

Fowler > Day


Off the Im and Kim train this weekend....so they will probably both finish top 5

QuakerOats Senior Member
11,701 posts 66 reps Joined Nov 2009
Thu, Jan 19, 2023 10:29 AM

I have Zalatoris +1900, and Im +2100, in the Win column, and in the T-10.


Parlay - Poston and Hadwin T-20, +1260

justincredible Honorable Admin
37,969 posts 248 reps Joined Nov 2009
Sat, Jan 21, 2023 4:51 PM

Finally won a bet. 

justincredible Honorable Admin
37,969 posts 248 reps Joined Nov 2009
Sat, Jan 21, 2023 7:59 PM

Needed 54 points. Damn. 

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