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33,369 posts 132 reps Joined Nov 2009
Thu, Mar 23, 2023 3:35 PM
posted by birddog23

Shoot. If you think they can make it through Texas and Houston, might as sprinkle a little bit on their Championship odds at +4200.

Yes, do that. Then just bet against them in the FF/Title game as a hedge.

justincredible Honorable Admin
37,969 posts 247 reps Joined Nov 2009
Thu, Mar 23, 2023 4:00 PM
posted by geeblock

Took Xavier to make final 4 +700 

+600 now


justincredible Honorable Admin
37,969 posts 247 reps Joined Nov 2009
Thu, Mar 23, 2023 4:04 PM
posted by Laley23

Yes, do that. Then just bet against them in the FF/Title game as a hedge.

So what's the strategy when hedging?

Por ejemplo:

Say he puts $10 on Xavier to win the 'ship at +4200. Xavier gets there and are heavy underdogs. Alabama ML is -200. Do you just bet $20 to cover the potential $10 loss or do you bet more?

33,369 posts 132 reps Joined Nov 2009
Thu, Mar 23, 2023 4:43 PM
posted by justincredible

So what's the strategy when hedging?

Por ejemplo:

Say he puts $10 on Xavier to win the 'ship at +4200. Xavier gets there and are heavy underdogs. Alabama ML is -200. Do you just bet $20 to cover the potential $10 loss or do you bet more?

Would be a $420 payout. So yeah, I would put like $25 on Bama and then in title another $20. Could also take a look at the title odds once the FF is set. If Creighton gets there, with Kansas State or MSU, or something. You'd be able to put a smaller amount on them and still cover the $10 and make money. 


geeblock Member
1,123 posts 0 reps Joined May 2018
Thu, Mar 23, 2023 4:45 PM
posted by justincredible

So what's the strategy when hedging?

Por ejemplo:

Say he puts $10 on Xavier to win the 'ship at +4200. Xavier gets there and are heavy underdogs. Alabama ML is -200. Do you just bet $20 to cover the potential $10 loss or do you bet more?

You would bet as much as you wanted to guarantee a cash.. so if you know that say if Xavier wins the game that you collect 4200 let’s say. Then you might bet 2000 on the opponent so that you guarantee yourself to win a certain amount. Hopefully it wouldn’t be -200. You might be even in a spot where u could bet Xavier with the points and they could lose but you still win. 


justincredible Honorable Admin
37,969 posts 247 reps Joined Nov 2009
Thu, Mar 23, 2023 5:23 PM

Ok that all makes sense. 

33,369 posts 132 reps Joined Nov 2009
Thu, Mar 23, 2023 5:26 PM

Oh yeah, if X was a favorite, you 100% take the other team and the points. That way you can try and middle. But guaranteed to win one of the bets (Xavier wins, and if they lose, the other team obviously covers the spread).

QuakerOats Senior Member
11,701 posts 66 reps Joined Nov 2009
Thu, Mar 23, 2023 5:36 PM
posted by QuakerOats

Took Poston to win today vs Im + 155; have Rory to win it all at +900

Took Wallace for T10 in the other event.

Took North Texas to win  NIT at +290

Still have Alabama to win NCAA + 750

Put a buck on Princeton at +15,000

And had $5 on the Penguins OVER last night at -102, and Rust scored an empty netter with 19 seconds left for a 5-2 win.



To be sure I jinx it, Wallace is in 3rd place after round 1

geeblock Member
1,123 posts 0 reps Joined May 2018
Thu, Mar 23, 2023 7:36 PM
posted by Laley23

Oh yeah, if X was a favorite, you 100% take the other team and the points. That way you can try and middle. But guaranteed to win one of the bets (Xavier wins, and if they lose, the other team obviously covers the spread).

All of this 


justincredible Honorable Admin
37,969 posts 247 reps Joined Nov 2009
Thu, Mar 23, 2023 8:50 PM
posted by justincredible

1u Quickley O2.5 AST -111

1u Quickley O12.5 PTS, O3.5 REB, O2.5 AST +480

1u Franz Wagner O4.5 Alt AST +142

1u Randle O39.5 Alt PRA -112

Both Quickley bets hit so I'm in the green for the night. Just need one more assist from Wagner in the 4th. Randle isn't really close but could still hit with a big 4th quarter.

justincredible Honorable Admin
37,969 posts 247 reps Joined Nov 2009
Thu, Mar 23, 2023 9:11 PM

Wagner hit so I'm +3u minimum on the night. Also took Allen O10.5 REB against the Nets and was sweating it earlier since he only had 2 at the half. He's up to 8 and there are still a few minutes left in the 3rd so that looks pretty good now.

My brother-in-law sent me a parlay he did on NCAA tonight and I tailed but Arkansas +9.5 alt spread isn't looking good.  A couple other dumb parlays that probably won't hit on NBA as well.

33,369 posts 132 reps Joined Nov 2009
Fri, Mar 24, 2023 12:25 AM

Went 5/5 on NCAAT. Of course couldn’t parlay them because I had to wait for golf bets to finish. Ugh.

Gonzaga, KST, UConn ML. FAU point. FAU/Tennessee under

justincredible Honorable Admin
37,969 posts 247 reps Joined Nov 2009
Fri, Mar 24, 2023 12:29 AM

Ended up hitting a +329 parlay on the OKC/LAC game and then a last minute Gonzaga ML bet. A nice +6u day.

birddog23 Senior Member
1,173 posts 8 reps Joined Aug 2010
Fri, Mar 24, 2023 7:17 AM

Crushed the FanDuel boost of both UCLA/Zaga scoring 70 each. 


Was a little worried at half with the Zags, but obviously that turned out okay. 


UConn -3.5 was nice too. 


Hoping to hit some golf matchups today then have another good NCAAB night. 


I didn’t touch the NBA last night. Felt good actually lol. 

geeblock Member
1,123 posts 0 reps Joined May 2018
Fri, Mar 24, 2023 8:09 AM
posted by geeblock

I like Kansas st  ML 

Gonzaga  ML 


Today 

40$ ML parlay paid 164 


33,369 posts 132 reps Joined Nov 2009
Fri, Mar 24, 2023 9:48 AM

Have Rickie, Morikawa, Tom Kim, Davis Thompson, Rory to win group goin today. McNealy is already eliminated. 

About to go thru the lines for today and make a few bets. Probably only the AM wave, as I got screwed having money tied up in afternoon wave yesterday and missed a chance to parlay all 5 of my bets, which went 5/5 in NCAAT.

33,369 posts 132 reps Joined Nov 2009
Fri, Mar 24, 2023 9:56 AM

Ok, singles .5 U:

  • Morikawa
  • Cantlay
  • Rory
  • Si Woo
  • Tom Kim


Parlay Ladder of them all:

  • Cantlay/Si Woo - .5U
  • Add Rory - .5U
  • Add Morikawa .25U
  • Add Tom Kim .25U
QuakerOats Senior Member
11,701 posts 66 reps Joined Nov 2009
Fri, Mar 24, 2023 10:36 AM

With about 9 minutes left in KSU game, took 'Yes' game will go to OT at +880.  All I did. 

Still have Poston to win his group, great comeback yesterday after being down 3 with six to play.

Matt Wallace now tied for lead in the other tournament, fingers crossed. 



birddog23 Senior Member
1,173 posts 8 reps Joined Aug 2010
Fri, Mar 24, 2023 11:29 AM

JT Poston > McNealy

Si Woo Kim > Kuchar

lets get it!

justincredible Honorable Admin
37,969 posts 247 reps Joined Nov 2009
Fri, Mar 24, 2023 12:29 PM

Any good bets on the NCAA tonight? 

How do we feel about an alt spread on Alabama giving plus odds?

-16.5 at +350

-13.5 at +235

-10.5 at +150

FanDuel has a boost on Alabama and Texas to both win from +100 to +175.

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